Acidic-Chaplain — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$394

Unrealized P&L

-$234

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

171

1,686 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$2.32K

$23.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$198

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-29 17:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

51% 23% -$309

Politics

22% 41% +$795

Sports

21% 30% -$2,222

Crypto

6% 50% +$53

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	+1,400	$220	6¢	$77	-$143	10-28 17:35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+181	$65	40¢	$73	+$9	10-29 17:53
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+440	$102	9¢	$40	-$62	10-28 00:16
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+49	$42	8¢	$4	-$37	10-03 20:26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+70	$4	6¢	$4	+$0	08-01 15:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	127	$2.4K	4,572	2,004	+2,568	Yes	+$1,874	10-25 14:18
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	27	$2.0K	2,507	0	+2,507	Justin Gaethje	-$1,957	06-14 04:20
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	36	$1.7K	7,744	0	+7,744	No	-$1,680	09-04 18:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	37	$1.3K	871	871	+0	No	+$158	06-01 17:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	107	$1.2K	1,650	1,842	-193	No	+$237	06-20 07:55
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	55	$884	1,211	1,211	+0	Yes	+$176	06-15 03:54
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	65	$824	1,072	1,072	+0	Yes	+$323	07-08 19:55
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	85	$755	2,284	843	+1,440	No	-$242	07-27 01:36
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	57	$544	3,828	0	+3,828	No	-$544	08-03 13:37
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	57	$501	2,327	1,184	+1,143	Yes	+$1,186	10-25 15:33
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	20	$487	1,590	0	+1,590	Max Holloway	-$487	07-11 19:31
us iran nuclear deal by july 31	32	$453	950	250	+700	Yes	+$513	06-12 15:58
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	5	$443	341	177	+164	Yes	+$50	07-04 22:49
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	81	$366	2,695	1,499	+1,196	No	-$57	09-28 14:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	36	$363	1,719	1,119	+600	No	+$59	04-25 15:46
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	9	$346	697	597	+99	Sean Strickland	+$33	05-10 04:24
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	23	$345	800	800	+0	No	-$55	04-22 16:32
will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	19	$327	470	275	+195	No	-$162	08-11 20:03
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	35	$321	1,356	302	+1,053	Yes	-$103	07-21 23:09
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 1pt5	5	$301	351	175	+175	Under	-$133	07-04 22:47
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	13	$279	689	0	+689	No	-$279	10-25 23:37
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	30	$221	1,635	630	+1,005	No	-$74	05-29 20:14
highest temperature in dallas on february 12 2026 72 73f	2	$220	120	120	+0	No	+$20	02-12 22:54
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	22	$220	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	10-28 17:35
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	31	$211	1,164	509	+656	No	-$112	06-28 23:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$203	180	180	+0	Yes	+$157	05-09 11:34
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	5	$199	245	0	+245	Yes	+$46	04-07 20:35
will diogo dalot attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000827858	8	$182	208	208	+0	No	-$1	08-11 19:58
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$171	361	361	+0	Yes	+$15	01-30 23:25
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	18	$169	186	186	+0	open	—	06-15 05:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:53:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x6da822…
10-28 17:48:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x7bbfad…
10-28 17:39:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x9a2b76…
10-28 17:35:53	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	6¢	$10	0x0ff2bf…
10-28 14:47:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x62b0bf…
10-28 04:33:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x8853ea…
10-28 02:57:50	Will Delcy Rodríguez win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	No	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x6d5c67…
10-28 02:51:21	Will Delcy Rodríguez win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x6a640f…
10-28 02:38:06	Will Delcy Rodríguez win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x75253a…
10-28 00:16:11	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	56	7¢	$4	0x8a5b1b…
10-27 19:26:39	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	44	7¢	$3	0x4020ea…
10-27 14:24:18	Will Delcy Rodríguez win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x050314…
10-27 14:24:14	Will Delcy Rodríguez win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x9acde0…
10-27 11:42:29	Will Edmundo González win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	No	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0x461d69…
10-26 20:11:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	102	25¢	$26	0x925b9f…
10-26 20:04:38	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0x011e30…
10-26 17:35:18	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x2f4967…
10-26 16:40:57	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x82f120…
10-26 16:30:26	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	51	30¢	$16	0xb7fa06…
10-26 15:46:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	51	32¢	$16	0xf059fa…
10-26 01:12:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x83d42b…
10-26 01:04:18	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x502196…
10-25 23:37:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	6¢	$9	0x53f19d…
10-25 23:20:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x9124f0…
10-25 23:19:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x5fafed…
10-25 23:11:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x125a8f…
10-25 22:26:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x7d01b7…
10-25 20:40:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xdf2b6f…
10-25 20:24:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x2bed5f…
10-25 17:21:08	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x125643…
10-25 17:20:41	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xe4c573…
10-25 17:18:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x273fad…
10-25 15:33:45	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x383ec0…
10-25 14:19:42	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x580725…
10-25 14:19:15	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0xf43a4c…
10-25 14:19:15	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	SELL	15	17¢	$3	0x55d20b…
10-25 14:18:39	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x81a36d…
10-25 14:15:41	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x52269f…
10-25 14:12:53	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x1ea502…
10-25 14:06:29	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	101	25¢	$25	0x34b953…
10-25 09:08:57	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	34	22¢	$8	0xa32679…
10-25 09:03:14	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xedbec1…
10-25 06:51:42	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x9cbcaa…
10-25 06:51:42	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x947243…
10-25 04:29:02	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	46	23¢	$11	0xb5d06c…
10-24 21:06:53	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	99	27¢	$27	0x366e67…
10-24 21:04:26	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xcb6e90…
10-24 20:41:14	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x686529…
10-24 20:39:56	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xc30cf1…
10-24 20:36:17	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x74b61a…
10-24 20:30:29	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x39e033…
10-24 20:27:57	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	SELL	72	11¢	$8	0x82a0d2…
10-24 20:18:17	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	21	31¢	$6	0x643298…
10-24 20:01:44	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x446fbd…
10-24 19:41:26	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x24f2c8…
10-24 19:22:50	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc25f33…
10-24 19:20:56	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	BUY	51	50¢	$26	0x9a3fd9…
10-24 19:07:30	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	41	42¢	$17	0xf22053…
10-24 19:00:06	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Rizvan Kuniev	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x6dc46a…
10-24 17:18:21	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	SELL	85	8¢	$7	0xe0bef5…
10-24 14:21:26	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	SELL	250	9¢	$22	0xf8d6e3…
10-24 08:09:12	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0x3cdf64…
10-24 01:28:45	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	SELL	90	11¢	$10	0x0faf7a…
10-23 23:38:53	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	149	8¢	$12	0xd0143d…
10-23 19:48:53	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x5a6f45…
10-23 19:38:33	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	335	34¢	$114	0x86d831…
10-23 05:11:35	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	70	25¢	$18	0x778322…
10-23 02:51:24	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x1ac15f…
10-23 00:57:35	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x57f840…
10-22 23:18:44	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	99	31¢	$31	0x33376d…
10-22 09:52:08	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x168a9b…
10-22 09:52:02	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	82	2¢	$1	0x215959…
10-21 19:02:11	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xeaeb7d…
10-21 19:01:05	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0x0487e2…
10-20 23:33:23	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	49	21¢	$10	0xecb48b…
10-20 23:33:20	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	31	21¢	$6	0xe550aa…
10-20 23:33:20	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x7df406…
10-20 12:59:14	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf8e46f…
10-19 15:36:45	Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xde4721…
10-19 15:08:38	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x92391c…
10-19 15:04:56	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0xb800d0…
10-19 03:05:14	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	52	5¢	$3	0x3956e3…
10-18 12:22:48	Will Ilia Topuria fight Justin Gaethje next?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x87388a…
10-18 12:22:39	Will Ilia Topuria fight Justin Gaethje next?	Yes	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0xe722b4…
10-18 12:22:39	Will Ilia Topuria fight Justin Gaethje next?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x1c2e5a…
10-17 15:06:14	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0xae4929…
10-17 06:42:08	Will Ilia Topuria fight Justin Gaethje next?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x40d6d2…
10-16 03:17:48	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	181	2¢	$4	0xda9123…
10-16 03:17:16	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	No	SELL	64	96¢	$62	0xea6711…
10-16 03:17:13	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x197c9f…
10-15 17:42:47	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	Yes	BUY	95	24¢	$23	0xaabd8d…
10-15 17:42:38	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x4adf03…
10-15 13:48:35	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$2	0x14a62a…
10-15 13:48:14	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	62	4¢	$2	0x84f174…
10-14 20:13:51	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	Yes	BUY	103	26¢	$27	0xdc439d…
10-14 19:05:28	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by october 310728195821515	Yes	BUY	208	6¢	$12	0x507094…
10-14 14:18:20	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	Yes	BUY	150	29¢	$44	0x85993d…
10-14 12:23:57	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by october 310728195821515	Yes	BUY	198	5¢	$10	0x01f3f0…
10-14 12:23:36	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by october 310728195821515	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x7b4210…
10-14 12:23:36	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by october 310728195821515	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x4eb64d…