Comfortable-Spelling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$538

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.9%

Resolved

142

Trades

300

lifetime

Volume

$1.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-21 08:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

65% 58% -$411

Crypto

25% 47% -$31

Politics

10% 50% -$96

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will jannik sinner win the 2026 australian open	1	$231	437	0	+437	No	-$231	01-29 15:42
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$100	159	0	+159	No	-$100	01-14 13:47
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	2	$75	102	100	+1	Yes	-$31	05-05 20:00
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	4	$42	5,012	2,269	+2,743	No	-$18	05-06 08:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:30 UTC	4	$39	65	31	+34	Down	+$17	03-07 22:34
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 7?	3	$34	56	56	+0	Yes	+$6	05-06 07:26
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 7?	2	$30	429	0	+429	No	-$30	05-05 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on April 26?	2	$29	99	0	+99	No	-$29	04-25 09:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 14:50 UTC	2	$26	22	22	+0	Up	+$4	03-04 14:53
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on April 26?	1	$25	66	0	+66	No	-$25	04-24 12:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 14:25 UTC	5	$25	219	9	+210	Up	-$18	03-04 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 14:40 UTC	2	$23	16	16	+0	Down	+$3	03-04 14:43
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 26?	2	$22	79	0	+79	No	-$22	04-24 12:46
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 26?	1	$20	57	0	+57	Yes	+$37	04-24 13:02
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	1	$19	39	0	+39	No	-$19	05-16 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	10	$19	29	29	+0	Down	+$7	10-21 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 26?	3	$16	24	23	+1	Yes	+$5	04-24 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 14:45 UTC	3	$16	20	10	+10	Up	-$4	03-04 14:47
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 26?	3	$15	61	0	+61	No	-$15	04-24 12:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	2	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	10-20 06:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 06:40 UTC	3	$15	47	0	+47	Down	-$15	03-08 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 25?	6	$15	100	95	+5	No	+$7	04-25 13:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 06:45 UTC	2	$15	14	13	+0	Down	+$5	03-08 06:50
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on April 26?	2	$15	39	0	+39	No	-$15	04-24 12:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	2	$14	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	05-06 14:13
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on May 7?	3	$14	29	29	+0	No	+$4	05-07 08:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	10	$14	61	15	+47	Up	-$2	10-21 07:54
highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 18c	5	$13	52	50	+2	No	+$5	04-21 09:10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 7?	2	$12	8	8	+0	Yes	+$2	05-06 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:10 UTC	3	$11	13	12	+0	Down	+$1	03-04 15:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 08:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9ea1a9…
10-21 08:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xf36f08…
10-21 08:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa4827b…
10-21 08:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7aab52…
10-21 08:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x92b922…
10-21 08:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6d4fb5…
10-21 08:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x25c298…
10-21 08:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc1264d…
10-21 08:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x973bdf…
10-21 08:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5b33ab…
10-21 08:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x73caad…
10-21 08:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x9a3f1d…
10-21 08:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xeb6e75…
10-21 08:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3afcd5…
10-21 08:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xda0eb0…
10-21 08:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xb9fc75…
10-21 08:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x789aac…
10-21 08:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x2a0373…
10-21 08:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3e4540…
10-21 08:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9d6235…
10-21 08:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb966de…
10-21 08:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x751e41…
10-21 08:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x21aa3e…
10-21 08:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4ad3cb…
10-21 08:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa24443…
10-21 08:14:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf84c0b…
10-21 08:12:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0x620b6e…
10-21 08:11:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3533c9…
10-21 08:11:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3cb865…
10-21 08:11:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x96d704…
10-21 08:11:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc596eb…
10-21 08:08:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x44dcc7…
10-21 08:08:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xdaff66…
10-21 08:08:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd8ad76…
10-21 08:08:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xec32bb…
10-21 08:07:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc83ef0…
10-21 08:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x5e57d1…
10-21 08:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0398d5…
10-21 08:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x625a03…
10-21 08:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x0444f0…
10-21 08:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbbcc83…
10-21 08:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0xd14011…
10-21 08:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc3ccfa…
10-21 08:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x4c4097…
10-21 08:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xde52b4…
10-21 08:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xf64e07…
10-21 07:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3d795e…
10-21 07:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x31ba29…
10-21 07:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4b7b45…
10-21 07:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	22	39¢	$9	0x91e0d2…
10-21 07:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9f6d76…
10-21 07:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x34f2e2…
10-21 07:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x40ae94…
10-21 07:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x8a1a7d…
10-21 07:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x439a67…
10-21 07:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0x2569bd…
10-21 07:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x49361a…
10-21 07:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0x8f97a8…
10-21 07:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdbcda0…
10-21 07:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x76fffd…
10-21 07:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf32e07…
10-21 07:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x910d91…
10-21 07:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb156ca…
10-21 07:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	46¢	$5	0xf41489…
10-21 07:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xfcaf99…
10-21 07:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6b3943…
10-21 07:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2ed5a1…
10-21 07:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb18d64…
10-21 07:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd8e6e4…
10-21 07:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x93b79b…
10-21 07:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2e3947…
10-20 06:02:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	No	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0x39ff2b…
09-10 10:48:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	No	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xac6e9c…
05-16 21:57:10	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	48¢	$19	0xf57846…
05-08 23:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xcaba89…
05-08 23:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xd6e60e…
05-08 23:23:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x6c32d6…
05-08 21:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbcc805…
05-08 07:34:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x12fac3…
05-08 06:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xaf8129…
05-08 06:41:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xe7c0fd…
05-08 06:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe6355d…
05-08 06:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xb5f776…
05-08 06:39:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xa655ba…
05-08 06:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x721e54…
05-08 06:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x8036eb…
05-08 06:39:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x2f66af…
05-08 06:38:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xdcc81b…
05-08 00:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x04acba…
05-07 18:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xe91164…
05-07 14:43:45	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xdf1337…
05-07 08:23:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x115e54…
05-07 08:17:32	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on May 7?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x4c7ce4…
05-06 14:18:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xf480c6…
05-06 14:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x5f4441…
05-06 14:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x6ee269…
05-06 14:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x631d23…
05-06 14:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd0c9bf…
05-06 14:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2e030a…
05-06 14:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0xbd70c5…