Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.9%

Resolved

Trades

5,340

lifetime

Volume

$27.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 08-04 00:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

86% — —

Politics

10% 0% $-18

Other

4% 100% +$20

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	13	$205	409	51	+358	open	—	05-25 15:25
btc updown 15m 1770200100	21	$189	271	0	+271	open	—	02-04 10:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	10	$181	198	198	+0	open	—	06-17 17:47
btc updown 15m 1770215400	32	$177	242	0	+242	open	—	02-04 14:39
btc updown 15m 1769874300	24	$172	306	0	+306	open	—	01-31 15:50
btc updown 15m 1770205500	31	$170	241	0	+241	open	—	02-04 11:56
btc updown 15m 1770179400	20	$164	213	0	+213	open	—	02-04 04:32
btc updown 15m 1769868900	24	$163	265	0	+265	open	—	01-31 14:16
btc updown 15m 1769884200	31	$161	219	0	+219	open	—	01-31 18:37
btc updown 15m 1770198300	20	$160	245	0	+245	open	—	02-04 09:52
btc updown 15m 1770204600	25	$157	220	0	+220	open	—	02-04 11:36
btc updown 15m 1770201000	27	$156	204	0	+204	open	—	02-04 10:38
btc updown 15m 1770194700	29	$154	194	0	+194	open	—	02-04 08:52
btc updown 15m 1769954400	37	$154	216	0	+216	open	—	02-01 14:08
btc updown 15m 1770197400	22	$153	204	0	+204	open	—	02-04 09:37
btc updown 15m 1769894100	30	$151	239	0	+239	open	—	01-31 21:26
btc updown 15m 1770196500	22	$148	186	0	+186	open	—	02-04 09:20
btc updown 15m 1770191100	22	$144	221	0	+221	open	—	02-04 07:48
btc updown 15m 1769896800	20	$141	250	0	+250	open	—	01-31 22:04
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	8	$141	261	24	+237	open	—	06-12 11:57
btc updown 15m 1770202800	26	$136	203	0	+203	open	—	02-04 11:06
btc updown 15m 1770165900	30	$133	174	0	+174	open	—	02-04 00:56
btc updown 15m 1770020100	34	$132	193	0	+193	open	—	02-02 08:27
btc updown 15m 1769911200	30	$128	169	0	+169	open	—	02-01 02:10
btc updown 15m 1770207300	21	$125	162	0	+162	open	—	02-04 12:20
btc updown 15m 1770221700	24	$125	170	0	+170	open	—	02-04 16:27
btc updown 15m 1769783400	29	$124	172	0	+172	open	—	01-30 14:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$123	77	77	+0	open	—	05-29 14:14
btc updown 15m 1769801400	28	$123	175	0	+175	open	—	01-30 19:38
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	8	$121	93	93	+0	open	—	06-30 09:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 00:53:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	71	62¢	$44	0xf70504…
08-03 21:20:47	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	41	59¢	$24	0x76c3b1…
08-03 07:27:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	36	68¢	$24	0x5540ff…
08-02 22:06:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	67¢	$23	0xe1a67e…
08-02 18:17:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	37	89¢	$33	0x99bdfa…
08-02 10:47:02	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	52	42¢	$22	0x827e89…
08-02 08:01:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0xae6f53…
08-02 07:57:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0xc0d759…
08-02 07:54:44	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	18	47¢	$9	0x7865e5…
08-02 07:08:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	35	68¢	$24	0xc0e833…
08-02 04:49:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	SELL	34	96¢	$32	0xf71ddd…
08-02 04:49:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0xfb5b4f…
08-02 04:22:15	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	44	55¢	$24	0x783a5b…
08-01 21:51:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	34	66¢	$22	0x96beae…
08-01 15:34:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	32	70¢	$22	0xe9b667…
07-31 22:35:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	37	60¢	$22	0xb3dabc…
07-31 21:11:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x4c1ea4…
07-31 21:10:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x8f68e8…
07-31 18:55:12	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	66¢	$22	0x406761…
07-30 14:04:42	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	31	69¢	$21	0xefae59…
07-30 14:04:09	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xf6823a…
07-30 00:44:17	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x91d7c8…
07-24 12:19:07	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	92	39¢	$36	0x4c0fd0…
07-22 05:49:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	31	71¢	$22	0xd38473…
07-22 05:46:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	31	72¢	$22	0xfab114…
07-22 05:44:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	31	72¢	$22	0x029ee6…
07-22 03:56:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xe28627…
07-22 03:56:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	34	54¢	$18	0x19e34c…
07-22 00:37:07	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0x85c1fc…
07-21 07:53:16	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	31	70¢	$22	0x8559cf…
07-21 03:07:03	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	45	43¢	$20	0x4d41a9…
07-21 02:52:52	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9fe4c4…
07-20 07:51:51	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	31	70¢	$21	0x22f3ee…
07-18 23:24:54	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	56	64¢	$36	0x2ef1be…
07-16 23:17:25	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x8ae189…
07-15 10:21:16	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	26	74¢	$19	0xf574ef…
07-14 18:45:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x7c814b…
07-14 18:45:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	25	66¢	$17	0x29e51d…
07-14 16:05:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	27	70¢	$19	0x9a5ce7…
07-11 23:23:35	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	26	70¢	$18	0x5dd0ca…
07-10 13:52:07	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	26	70¢	$18	0xa2ee4e…
07-10 13:49:37	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x88133b…
07-08 01:51:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	32	56¢	$18	0xbe1357…
07-07 00:30:02	will usa reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134479	No	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0x0fe97b…
07-05 16:43:14	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 btts	No	BUY	37	50¢	$18	0x26e717…
07-03 17:08:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	32	60¢	$19	0x3bec44…
07-03 11:30:22	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 btts	No	BUY	21	55¢	$12	0xe82a6d…
07-03 11:30:02	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 btts	No	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x0a31b9…
07-02 15:31:53	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbdf79b…
07-02 15:31:28	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	No	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x9c014e…
07-02 15:31:28	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	No	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x126576…
06-30 09:23:13	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	33	55¢	$18	0xf0c8d6…
06-30 09:22:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	38	65¢	$25	0x3d2fce…
06-30 01:57:16	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x0e10c1…
06-29 23:30:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0xf3b8f4…
06-29 21:51:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x7b22f8…
06-29 21:50:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	13	67¢	$8	0xb0cdee…
06-29 21:48:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	38	67¢	$26	0xc70f3f…
06-29 20:37:56	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	33	67¢	$22	0xb3b92d…
06-29 20:05:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	33	65¢	$22	0x8a0f58…
06-29 12:32:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x230f52…
06-29 09:37:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x5a3c67…
06-29 07:21:25	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	18	25¢	$5	0x06cf67…
06-29 07:18:14	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0xbb1133…
06-28 20:17:47	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	34	65¢	$22	0xac900c…
06-28 18:11:01	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x55fc0e…
06-28 12:01:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	27	70¢	$19	0x933372…
06-28 12:01:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7f94b1…
06-28 11:33:22	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	No	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x88bffe…
06-28 11:26:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x72ded0…
06-28 10:24:14	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	No	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x0545d9…
06-25 07:51:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	63	65¢	$41	0xe7c526…
06-24 18:27:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	31	69¢	$22	0x236566…
06-22 14:45:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0xf2eb1b…
06-22 04:21:58	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x2e7442…
06-20 14:14:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	75	17¢	$12	0x704430…
06-20 13:24:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0xc54365…
06-19 13:10:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	33	68¢	$22	0x19893d…
06-19 09:33:37	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	67¢	$21	0x39e7e3…
06-19 00:43:04	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	70¢	$22	0x2aa16d…
06-18 19:56:55	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	55	40¢	$22	0x6ddfc3…
06-18 18:07:46	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	82¢	$23	0x0e5cfb…
06-18 11:26:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x898598…
06-18 11:25:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0xcb5f09…
06-17 19:43:43	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	43	51¢	$22	0x9a80f1…
06-17 17:47:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	52	56¢	$29	0xaac395…
06-17 14:13:46	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	32	70¢	$23	0x2fb3eb…
06-17 12:41:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	52	43¢	$22	0x7706a7…
06-16 20:41:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	53	40¢	$21	0x06ff25…
06-16 20:20:07	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	36	64¢	$23	0xbbcacf…
06-16 19:18:04	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	36	62¢	$22	0xfe7532…
06-16 17:32:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	53	43¢	$23	0xf48a63…
06-16 16:01:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	30	58¢	$18	0x7f28d7…
06-16 15:58:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	8	58¢	$4	0x769bf1…
06-16 15:58:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x718f5e…
06-16 12:38:00	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	38	59¢	$22	0xeef6fd…
06-16 04:35:09	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	56	35¢	$20	0x063196…
06-15 09:25:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	32	13¢	$4	0x94325d…
06-14 19:08:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	35	73¢	$25	0xb3fa14…
06-14 18:38:57	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	56	40¢	$22	0x0c532d…