Quarrelsome-Dolor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$96

1 position

First seen

2026-03-18

last 07-19 00:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 100% +$0

Crypto

41% 100% +$0

Politics

9% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		+101	$91	94¢	$96	+$5	06-14 02:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	5	$260	260	260	+0	open	—	07-19 00:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	05-15 10:01
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$118	150	150	+0	open	—	05-26 09:56
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	03-20 09:27
bitcoin above 72k on march 18	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	03-18 08:16
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-26 19:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	5	$91	101	0	+101	open	—	06-14 02:20
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 360 379	1	$90	90	0	+90	open	—	04-21 20:22
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 13corbelow	2	$65	66	0	+66	open	—	04-12 13:38
bitcoin above 70k on april 4	1	$65	65	0	+65	open	—	04-04 09:43
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	1	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	03-22 19:02
highest temperature in chicago on april 13 2026 55forbelow	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-12 10:57
will bitcoin dip to 56k march 30 april 5	1	$48	48	0	+48	open	—	04-04 09:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	05-26 11:18
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 220 239	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	03-20 09:32
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-27 10:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 26?	2	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-26 13:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-27 10:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	04-27 10:41
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 4-10?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	05-07 21:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	3	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	05-15 10:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	04-27 10:38
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 140 164	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-22 07:05
highest temperature in seoul on march 27 2026 6corbelow	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-26 19:45
will sp 500 spx hit 7100 high in march 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-28 18:31
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-04 09:55
btc updown 5m 1773820500	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	03-18 08:01
cs2 tl1 mglz 2026 03 22	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	03-22 19:00
will the us invade iran by march 31	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-28 18:30
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-18 20:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 00:16:46	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	130	5¢	$6	0x1f6f90…
07-18 21:40:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7ffd99…
07-18 21:35:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa5d047…
07-18 21:15:22	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	130	95¢	$124	0x448ee7…
07-13 14:49:46	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x160c65…
07-13 14:48:23	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	90	97¢	$87	0x42f7d1…
07-12 21:10:16	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	130	3¢	$4	0xb8559b…
07-08 21:03:52	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0d4bc4…
07-03 21:10:17	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 3	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x29db0c…
07-03 20:53:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x8e2003…
06-14 02:20:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x08d924…
06-14 01:47:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x6ff53c…
06-14 01:34:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	18	90¢	$17	0x9300f0…
06-14 01:18:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x5297e0…
06-14 00:50:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xeb489c…
05-26 13:52:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7b5634…
05-26 12:10:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x503350…
05-26 11:21:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ab026…
05-26 11:18:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x9d3767…
05-26 09:56:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	150	39¢	$58	0x171286…
05-26 09:54:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0xff54fa…
05-15 13:39:53	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xde94db…
05-15 10:58:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3ab832…
05-15 10:13:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0bf2f8…
05-15 10:01:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc3e29a…
05-15 10:01:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x64ef08…
05-07 21:12:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x57fab4…
05-07 21:12:45	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5a67f2…
04-27 10:41:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x6cb8d5…
04-27 10:40:28	Counter-Strike: STATE vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group A	STATE	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x804b4a…
04-27 10:40:08	Shymkent 2: Samuele Pieri vs Max Wiskandt	Max Wiskandt	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x21f115…
04-27 10:39:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x323655…
04-27 10:38:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xa6937f…
04-27 10:38:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x26b8e1…
04-22 07:05:52	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 140 164	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8fe504…
04-21 20:22:24	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 360 379	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x46920c…
04-18 20:07:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x140785…
04-18 20:06:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x467fd9…
04-18 20:05:32	cs2 furia vit 2026 04 18	Vitality	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xfa4957…
04-12 13:38:57	highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 13corbelow	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xf9ae81…
04-12 10:59:05	lol bro2 kt 2026 04 12	KT Rolster	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x2b5720…
04-12 10:58:27	atp sachko rehberg 2026 04 12	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x772620…
04-12 10:57:17	highest temperature in chicago on april 13 2026 55forbelow	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x40c0b7…
04-12 10:52:57	highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 13corbelow	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7a4c81…
04-04 09:58:59	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x046466…
04-04 09:58:33	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdae66a…
04-04 09:58:07	will claude opus 4 6 thinking have the top ai model on april 10 2026 style control on	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3da5c2…
04-04 09:57:29	cs2 nrg voc 2026 04 04	NRG	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x2ba775…
04-04 09:56:53	Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in April?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xebad31…
04-04 09:56:13	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6ffb5c…
04-04 09:55:39	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xdacf85…
04-04 09:44:09	bitcoin above 66k on april 4	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1b8d53…
04-04 09:43:17	bitcoin above 70k on april 4	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x35d876…
04-04 09:39:59	btc updown 5m 1775295300	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x572904…
04-04 09:38:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9b3384…
04-04 09:34:07	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x987c2e…
04-04 09:33:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x745d62…
04-04 09:32:47	highest temperature in shanghai on april 5 2026 24c	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x67602c…
03-29 20:29:22	btc updown 5m 1774815900	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x303a46…
03-29 20:27:12	nba lac mil 2026 03 29	Clippers	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x7c2d04…
03-28 18:31:13	will sp 500 spx hit 7100 high in march 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x033a76…
03-28 18:30:07	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x720fe2…
03-28 18:28:43	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xba5c15…
03-26 19:52:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x67e7f0…
03-26 19:48:27	dota2 aur1 tundra 2026 03 26	Tundra Esports	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2fbc24…
03-26 19:45:47	highest temperature in seoul on march 27 2026 6corbelow	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd4c6c5…
03-22 19:02:01	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x1dd8f4…
03-22 19:00:55	btc updown 5m 1774206000	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x440b24…
03-22 19:00:31	cs2 tl1 mglz 2026 03 22	TheMongolz	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x762fde…
03-20 09:32:19	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 220 239	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd614bc…
03-20 09:30:35	ufc rom2 chr20 2026 03 21	Christian Leroy Duncan	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x946a22…
03-20 09:28:09	bitcoin above 68k on march 20	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x037f50…
03-20 09:27:31	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x1b9a3a…
03-20 09:27:01	btc updown 5m 1773998700	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x8c6235…
03-18 08:16:55	bitcoin above 72k on march 18	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x9fb2b9…
03-18 08:01:39	btc updown 5m 1773820500	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xa2c0c1…
03-18 07:57:55	btc updown 5m 1773820500	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x244aa4…