Quarrelsome-Dolor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$85

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

86.4%

Resolved

Trades

136

lifetime

Volume

$3.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$340

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 09-14 19:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

37% 87% +$5

Politics

30% 89% +$1

Crypto

21% 88% -$93

Sports

9% 100% +$3

Tech

3% 33% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+170	$165	98¢	$167	+$2	09-14 19:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+170	$153	98¢	$166	+$13	06-14 02:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+170	$13	2¢	$4	-$10	06-14 14:44
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+170	$5	2¢	$3	-$2	09-12 02:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$350	350	350	+0	open	—	06-26 00:06
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$350	350	350	+0	No	+$0	06-15 23:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	11	$274	560	220	+340	open	—	06-14 14:44
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	6	$272	175	175	+0	open	—	07-04 12:08
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$260	260	260	+0	open	—	08-26 17:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	5	$260	260	260	+0	No	+$0	07-19 00:16
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$170	340	0	+340	open	—	09-14 19:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	1	$120	120	0	+120	Yes	+$0	05-15 10:01
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$118	150	150	+0	No	-$2	05-26 09:56
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$105	105	0	+105	Yes	+$0	03-20 09:27
bitcoin above 72k on march 18	1	$100	105	0	+105	No	-$100	03-18 08:16
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	03-26 19:52
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$98	195	5	+190	Yes	+$1	05-25 19:41
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	10	$95	244	156	+88	Yes	-$1	06-02 21:06
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 360 379	1	$90	90	0	+90	No	+$0	04-21 20:22
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 13corbelow	2	$65	66	0	+66	No	+$0	04-12 13:38
bitcoin above 70k on april 4	1	$65	65	0	+65	No	+$0	04-04 09:43
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	11	$63	170	170	+0	open	—	08-11 15:36
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	03-22 19:02
highest temperature in chicago on april 13 2026 55forbelow	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-12 10:57
will bitcoin dip to 56k march 30 april 5	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	04-04 09:58
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$45	150	150	+0	open	—	07-27 00:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	1	$45	45	0	+45	Yes	+$0	05-26 11:18
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 220 239	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	03-20 09:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 26?	2	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-26 13:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	04-27 10:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	1	$38	38	0	+38	Yes	+$0	04-27 10:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	04-27 10:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	3	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	05-15 10:58
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 4-10?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	05-07 21:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 19:52:45	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	170	97¢	$165	0x276246…
09-12 02:22:33	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	170	3¢	$5	0x4a2018…
09-11 21:22:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x60acc2…
08-26 17:39:24	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	130	93¢	$120	0xd62aa6…
08-23 20:53:34	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	130	8¢	$10	0x6e8262…
08-18 02:17:24	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	130	92¢	$120	0xe5f855…
08-11 15:36:21	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	170	18¢	$30	0x43ce94…
08-11 00:12:37	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	130	8¢	$10	0xe92e3e…
07-31 12:37:53	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xedb004…
07-31 12:37:42	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x42eeb2…
07-31 12:32:06	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0x1c7e84…
07-31 12:30:17	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x6051a1…
07-31 12:25:39	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xe5c87b…
07-31 11:10:51	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xf9b4cb…
07-31 11:10:23	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3a85b8…
07-31 11:02:02	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0xb1c03c…
07-31 10:40:02	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xf2bde4…
07-31 10:00:30	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x842d38…
07-31 09:00:29	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x700d94…
07-28 03:29:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0xb1ee0f…
07-27 00:35:45	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	150	14¢	$22	0xeddbfb…
07-19 00:16:46	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	130	5¢	$6	0x1f6f90…
07-18 21:40:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7ffd99…
07-18 21:35:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa5d047…
07-18 21:15:22	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	130	95¢	$124	0x448ee7…
07-13 14:49:46	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x160c65…
07-13 14:48:23	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	90	97¢	$87	0x42f7d1…
07-12 21:10:16	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	130	3¢	$4	0xb8559b…
07-12 21:09:31	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x30b17b…
07-08 22:22:38	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	150	16¢	$24	0x888775…
07-08 21:48:11	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x9480d3…
07-08 21:03:52	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0d4bc4…
07-04 12:08:08	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	78¢	$19	0x83df49…
07-04 06:19:04	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	78¢	$59	0x6e0e95…
07-04 05:53:25	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x1c223c…
07-04 05:09:44	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	78¢	$56	0x248cb6…
07-03 21:10:17	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 3	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x29db0c…
07-03 20:53:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x8e2003…
07-03 20:52:01	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x21b481…
07-01 20:33:58	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	78¢	$117	0x2a31de…
07-01 20:30:04	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x31d7e6…
06-26 00:06:23	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	175	79¢	$139	0xb5f3cc…
06-25 23:48:49	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	175	21¢	$37	0xd8c1b7…
06-21 18:16:14	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	175	78¢	$136	0xbe342a…
06-21 14:09:08	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	175	22¢	$39	0x2afa4f…
06-15 23:29:31	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	175	17¢	$30	0xe811fd…
06-15 22:32:00	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	175	83¢	$146	0xdbb044…
06-15 14:53:06	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	175	84¢	$146	0x570586…
06-14 21:57:34	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	175	16¢	$29	0x86b469…
06-14 14:44:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	170	9¢	$15	0xf80e36…
06-14 02:20:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x08d924…
06-14 02:07:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	69	90¢	$62	0xf12656…
06-14 01:47:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x6ff53c…
06-14 01:34:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	18	90¢	$17	0x9300f0…
06-14 01:18:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x5297e0…
06-14 00:50:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xeb489c…
06-02 21:06:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	130	16¢	$21	0x477285…
06-02 20:55:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	26	16¢	$4	0xb05554…
06-02 10:14:39	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xd9d1e0…
06-02 10:14:39	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x2e47be…
06-02 10:14:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xdcc360…
06-02 10:14:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x70101b…
06-02 10:14:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xc39b6e…
06-02 10:14:29	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0x5e324a…
06-02 10:14:03	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf480b8…
06-02 10:09:17	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	200	17¢	$33	0x3b5fc3…
05-26 13:52:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7b5634…
05-26 12:10:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x503350…
05-26 11:21:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ab026…
05-26 11:18:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x9d3767…
05-26 09:56:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	150	39¢	$58	0x171286…
05-26 09:54:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0xff54fa…
05-25 19:41:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xb1d1d2…
05-25 19:41:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	190	15¢	$28	0x11ac56…
05-25 19:40:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x0049f8…
05-23 19:29:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	190	14¢	$27	0x01cdc2…
05-23 06:01:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x72168c…
05-23 00:41:58	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	95	54¢	$51	0x8f510e…
05-22 02:53:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x9022b0…
05-21 21:00:43	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4884c0…
05-15 13:39:53	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xde94db…
05-15 10:58:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3ab832…
05-15 10:13:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0bf2f8…
05-15 10:01:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc3e29a…
05-15 10:01:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x64ef08…
05-07 21:12:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x57fab4…
05-07 21:12:45	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5a67f2…
04-27 10:41:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x6cb8d5…
04-27 10:40:28	Counter-Strike: STATE vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group A	STATE	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x804b4a…
04-27 10:40:08	Shymkent 2: Samuele Pieri vs Max Wiskandt	Max Wiskandt	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x21f115…
04-27 10:39:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x323655…
04-27 10:38:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xa6937f…
04-27 10:38:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x26b8e1…
04-22 07:05:52	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 140 164	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8fe504…
04-21 20:22:24	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 360 379	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x46920c…
04-18 20:07:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x140785…
04-18 20:06:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x467fd9…
04-18 20:05:32	cs2 furia vit 2026 04 18	Vitality	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xfa4957…
04-12 13:38:57	highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 13corbelow	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xf9ae81…
04-12 10:59:05	lol bro2 kt 2026 04 12	KT Rolster	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x2b5720…