Realized P&L
-$87
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
71.2%
Resolved
128
Trades
1,019
lifetime
Volume
$53.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
$1.06K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-28 11:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Politics
73% 51% -$376
Other
19% 38% -$92
Sports
8% 50% +$419
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$19
Tech
0% 0% -$57
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +700 $640 96¢ $674 +$34 10-19 22:06
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +175 $140 100¢ $175 +$35 10-27 20:17
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -614 -$80 13¢ $-80 +$0 08-19 14:40
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? No +70 $69 100¢ $70 +$1 10-25 16:43
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +2,800 $16 1¢ $21 +$5 10-25 16:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? Yes +3,202 $85 0¢ $14 -$71 10-25 06:41
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +325 $14 4¢ $14 $0 10-28 11:33
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +7 $6 72¢ $5 -$1 09-13 23:02
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 05-09 00:59
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +525 $7 1¢ $3 -$4 10-25 16:02