Flashy-Liberty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.10K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

467

lifetime

Volume

$16.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 08-11 08:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

54% 0% $-1,105

Other

31% — —

Sports

14% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	41	$3.2K	3,989	4,023	-34	open	—	03-22 20:58
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	8	$2.5K	2,597	0	+2,597	open	—	01-31 18:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	8	$1.5K	1,397	317	+1,079	Yes	$-1,088	05-08 19:19
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	25	$1.1K	7,606	801	+6,805	open	—	03-10 07:32
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	5	$1.0K	1,063	11	+1,051	open	—	04-14 02:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	19	$951	1,709	1,709	+0	Yes	$-17	02-13 15:51
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the february meeting	2	$594	600	0	+600	open	—	02-13 10:32
nothing ever happens israel edition	4	$591	597	0	+597	open	—	02-28 06:44
will seguro win portugals abroad votes	11	$440	337	319	+18	open	—	02-08 21:29
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2025	3	$348	359	0	+359	open	—	02-08 20:20
will ben shelton win the 2026 australian open	4	$340	10,000	9,289	+711	open	—	01-28 06:28
Will Rayan Cherki break the Premier League assists record?	5	$296	301	0	+301	open	—	03-26 19:40
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	11	$286	199	199	+0	open	—	02-28 21:01
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	28	$233	1,257	721	+536	open	—	06-23 03:57
will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of costa ricas presidential election	4	$182	240	0	+240	open	—	02-01 09:37
will cd win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	11	$175	731	0	+731	open	—	03-27 02:07
will putin meet with zelenskyy by march 31 2026	12	$170	3,405	2,491	+914	open	—	03-07 12:24
iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	10	$161	175	175	+0	open	—	03-11 13:15
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2530	5	$157	161	0	+161	open	—	02-18 14:51
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$151	129	129	+0	open	—	06-26 13:17
will kylian mbappe score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	7	$149	519	519	+0	open	—	07-18 12:19
will pacto histrico win 27 29 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election 315 883	2	$146	184	0	+184	open	—	03-13 20:31
wta arango baptist 2026 03 04	27	$132	219	219	+0	open	—	03-06 02:59
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	9	$127	3,589	3,589	+0	open	—	01-22 21:13
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	7	$115	175	175	+0	open	—	07-06 22:16
will novak djokovic win the 2026 australian open	14	$105	829	829	+0	open	—	01-28 06:27
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	5	$89	244	244	+0	open	—	08-11 08:08
world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	4	$82	1,749	0	+1,749	open	—	07-06 15:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	9	$74	5,600	350	+5,250	open	—	04-25 10:48
will pacto histrico win 24 26 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election 354 836	2	$66	87	0	+87	open	—	03-13 20:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 08:08:37	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	16¢	$19	0x809cbc…
08-04 03:18:21	wta osorio alexand 2026 08 04	Ekaterina Alexandrova	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xdcf578…
08-02 21:09:30	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	25	43¢	$11	0xccc523…
08-02 17:49:48	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xa951d4…
08-02 17:47:29	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0xd0737e…
08-01 17:09:26	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	20¢	$12	0xd5529d…
08-01 15:17:45	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0x687055…
08-01 13:35:03	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	19¢	$9	0x28f8f7…
08-01 13:09:42	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	32	37¢	$12	0x615f28…
08-01 13:03:42	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0xf89992…
08-01 12:53:42	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x8d41bc…
08-01 12:53:26	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	47	40¢	$19	0xde139c…
08-01 12:48:11	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2c68e7…
08-01 12:47:03	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x94a459…
07-31 13:40:38	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	244	19¢	$46	0x3fb68a…
07-18 12:19:15	will kylian mbappe score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	264	19¢	$49	0x2e00c8…
07-18 12:18:54	will kylian mbappe score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	254	19¢	$48	0xb61c60…
07-14 21:53:25	will kylian mbappe score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x3d96f2…
07-14 21:43:22	will kylian mbappe score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	72	10¢	$7	0xfa2156…
07-14 21:40:56	will kylian mbappe score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	122	10¢	$12	0x2b9ff2…
07-14 21:34:10	will kylian mbappe score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	198	10¢	$20	0x466573…
07-14 21:34:07	will kylian mbappe score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	67	10¢	$7	0x6e7307…
07-06 22:16:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x946606…
07-06 20:56:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	64	34¢	$22	0x2242bf…
07-06 20:56:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	105	32¢	$34	0x94ca11…
07-06 20:55:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xa25fb7…
07-06 20:55:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	38	31¢	$12	0x7c24f2…
07-06 15:27:13	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	861	5¢	$43	0x67ccf8…
07-06 15:25:59	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	189	4¢	$8	0x625726…
07-06 14:43:17	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	626	4¢	$28	0x49607a…
07-06 14:38:49	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	73	5¢	$3	0x3f8eac…
07-03 12:08:19	wta kasatki osaka 2026 07 03	Daria Kasatkina	BUY	111	16¢	$18	0x7ba33b…
06-26 13:17:43	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	110	96¢	$105	0x282d5f…
06-25 18:34:56	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x2db34b…
06-25 00:05:35	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x809e32…
06-23 03:57:19	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	168	8¢	$13	0xd6e969…
06-23 01:46:56	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x2ae411…
06-23 01:14:35	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	38	7¢	$3	0x579de1…
06-23 01:07:52	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	7	7¢	$1	0x81e98c…
06-23 00:56:02	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x9bd725…
06-23 00:50:23	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0x5a5077…
06-22 23:32:38	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x8e880a…
06-22 23:02:56	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xb79c19…
06-22 21:36:22	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xbc48d0…
06-22 21:20:43	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	52	8¢	$4	0x4be0cb…
06-22 21:13:22	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	47	8¢	$4	0x706fd6…
06-22 21:09:41	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xcd2640…
06-22 21:05:31	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0xb3a29b…
06-22 20:59:58	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x448b4a…
06-22 20:43:37	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x2c1cce…
06-22 20:23:56	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x638aaa…
06-22 19:57:40	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x7bae3b…
06-22 19:45:16	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x911bc9…
06-22 19:27:16	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x0dd41d…
06-22 19:19:35	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x0890df…
06-22 19:05:56	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	39	8¢	$3	0x57cbdc…
06-22 17:43:55	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	144	8¢	$12	0x921b83…
06-22 17:25:55	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	106	8¢	$8	0x92b41e…
06-22 17:16:56	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	46	8¢	$4	0x862ad7…
06-22 17:06:14	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x5be658…
06-22 16:50:53	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x803ea2…
06-22 16:43:13	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xe24bd5…
06-18 17:34:01	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,257	14¢	$176	0xce71e6…
06-16 03:55:25	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	41	26¢	$11	0xc07af4…
06-16 00:56:01	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	88	26¢	$23	0x19a361…
06-06 13:15:37	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	36	18¢	$6	0xebb245…
06-06 13:10:57	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	37	18¢	$7	0x119fee…
05-31 12:05:10	Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann	Jil Teichmann	BUY	105	10¢	$10	0x2422fe…
05-31 12:01:31	Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann	Jil Teichmann	BUY	90	10¢	$9	0x0d8516…
05-15 22:08:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	54	9¢	$5	0xed8ecd…
05-15 21:52:41	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	54	9¢	$5	0x8bbe60…
05-15 18:30:19	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	108	10¢	$10	0xe8c109…
05-08 19:19:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	159	70¢	$112	0x827816…
05-08 18:59:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	159	68¢	$108	0xb4fb82…
05-04 21:31:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8b0e22…
05-04 21:31:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	664	94¢	$625	0x45d80a…
05-04 21:31:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0xdb50e1…
05-04 18:54:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xbd6c49…
05-04 18:54:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	677	93¢	$631	0xaa45de…
05-04 18:54:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x38beab…
04-25 10:48:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,250	1¢	$42	0xad24e2…
04-14 02:11:51	Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x374578…
04-12 18:45:25	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xe699ba…
04-12 18:42:29	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xf6bbdb…
04-12 18:42:29	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x3d3129…
04-12 18:42:13	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xa6f800…
04-12 18:42:13	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x2130b3…
04-12 18:42:11	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xdafce4…
04-12 18:42:09	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0xc1bc24…
04-12 18:42:09	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x74e8d5…
04-12 18:42:05	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xfc01ed…
04-12 18:42:03	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x4d8631…
04-12 18:41:59	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xd22153…
04-12 18:41:59	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x2624fc…
04-12 18:41:55	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xa732b1…
04-12 18:41:53	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x241504…
04-12 18:41:53	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x1afd0c…
04-12 18:41:51	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xd5568f…
04-12 18:41:49	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x0c97d7…
04-12 18:41:47	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xb77ca4…