Witty-Daylight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$95

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-13

last 07-19 09:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

39% 100% +$17

Other

31% 100% +$5

Politics

26% 100% +$73

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes		+15	$10	61¢	$9	$-1	06-15 10:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$200	263	0	+263	open	—	04-15 13:25
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$200	223	0	+223	open	—	04-13 18:19
highest temperature in miami on april 24 2026 82 83f	1	$101	107	0	+107	open	—	04-24 18:40
Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$100	128	0	+128	open	—	04-13 18:18
Fluent FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$100	117	0	+117	Yes	+$17	04-15 13:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	6	$91	146	20	+126	Yes	+$55	05-08 18:54
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	1	$50	93	0	+93	open	—	04-26 09:00
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$50	58	0	+58	open	—	04-25 11:08
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$27	40	40	+0	open	—	05-16 22:56
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	05-15 17:12
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 26?	1	$24	36	0	+36	open	—	04-26 09:06
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$23	30	0	+30	open	—	05-15 09:06
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	2	$22	50	50	+0	open	—	07-19 09:04
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	4	$22	40	40	+0	open	—	05-13 12:00
highest temperature in miami on april 24 2026 80 81f	5	$21	11,013	0	+11,013	open	—	04-24 18:25
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on April 26?	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	04-26 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 26?	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	04-26 09:04
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on April 26?	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	04-26 09:04
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 26?	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	04-26 09:03
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	04-26 09:00
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	05-02 20:22
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	1	$15	20	0	+20	Yes	+$5	05-10 14:18
hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	1	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	06-22 12:06
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	340	0	+340	open	—	05-16 23:01
gmgn fdv above 300m one day after launch	1	$10	40	0	+40	open	—	06-20 13:08
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 26?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-26 09:03
highest temperature in seattle on april 24 2026 62 63f	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 17:56
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 24 2026 24c	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 17:28
highest temperature in chicago on april 24 2026 70 71f	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	04-24 17:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	28	0	+28	Yes	+$18	05-08 18:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 09:04:07	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x54c15f…
06-22 12:06:31	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xc672f2…
06-20 13:08:56	gmgn fdv above 300m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x457603…
06-20 08:34:32	gmgn fdv above 200m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x480be2…
06-15 10:31:49	StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x267316…
06-01 19:00:12	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x7812fa…
05-17 16:38:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xb1fd8c…
05-16 23:01:13	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	340	3¢	$10	0x6ccbd9…
05-16 23:00:36	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0xb8ac54…
05-16 23:00:29	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0xc14ad4…
05-16 23:00:20	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0xe45ebd…
05-16 23:00:17	Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x942e14…
05-16 22:56:50	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	21¢	$8	0x94a0db…
05-15 17:12:27	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x7f683b…
05-15 09:06:34	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x4162e4…
05-15 06:58:17	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0x90d104…
05-13 12:00:23	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x97f99d…
05-13 11:58:12	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0x725962…
05-13 11:57:32	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x31eda7…
05-12 19:34:53	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x13ffd7…
05-12 19:29:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xee7307…
05-10 16:58:31	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xdab979…
05-10 14:18:20	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xa3a86f…
05-08 18:55:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xf3be42…
05-08 18:54:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x0762d5…
05-08 18:51:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	59¢	$45	0xf27a6b…
05-08 18:45:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	40¢	$19	0x3e61b8…
05-08 18:45:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xea8fd9…
05-08 18:45:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb640aa…
05-08 18:03:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xeaa255…
05-08 14:54:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x569030…
05-02 20:22:20	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xcd7985…
04-26 09:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	36	67¢	$24	0xddd5a7…
04-26 09:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on April 26?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x3f1868…
04-26 09:04:48	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x3781a3…
04-26 09:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x0ca095…
04-26 09:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x3c6be7…
04-26 09:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xde0008…
04-26 09:00:22	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xa792e7…
04-26 09:00:10	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x9c7aec…
04-25 11:08:58	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x6f897a…
04-25 10:58:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xc0f255…
04-24 18:40:46	highest temperature in miami on april 24 2026 82 83f	Yes	BUY	107	95¢	$101	0x183e9b…
04-24 18:25:28	highest temperature in miami on april 24 2026 80 81f	Yes	BUY	3,556	0¢	$4	0x5fb3c7…
04-24 18:25:28	highest temperature in miami on april 24 2026 80 81f	Yes	BUY	1,444	0¢	$1	0x1644fb…
04-24 18:24:38	highest temperature in miami on april 24 2026 80 81f	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xfef414…
04-24 18:20:14	highest temperature in miami on april 24 2026 80 81f	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3d32ee…
04-24 17:56:14	highest temperature in seattle on april 24 2026 62 63f	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb0fc74…
04-24 17:28:22	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 24 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x76461c…
04-24 17:20:24	highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 82 83f	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd76485…
04-24 17:19:32	highest temperature in chicago on april 24 2026 70 71f	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x35b904…
04-24 17:18:02	highest temperature in miami on april 24 2026 80 81f	Yes	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x07c6cb…
04-23 18:34:30	highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9316f1…
04-23 18:24:22	highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 70 71f	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3ef18f…
04-15 13:37:30	Fluent FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	117	85¢	$100	0xfefd85…
04-15 13:25:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0x06380e…
04-13 18:19:01	Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	223	90¢	$200	0x6d108a…
04-13 18:18:35	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x387033…