Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$398

Unrealized P&L

+$51

Hit rate

25.8%

Resolved

133

Trades

11,941

lifetime

Volume

$80.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$19.9K

30 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-26 21:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Politics

49% 72% -$118

Other

37% 84% -$133

Crypto

10% 0% -$180

Sports

4% 67% +$26

Tech

0% 100% +$6

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 218 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+6,033	$5,192	96¢	$5.8K	+$597	10-25 23:33
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+5,016	$3,626	84¢	$4.2K	+$562	10-26 21:03
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	+3,346	$1,557	82¢	$2.7K	+$1,170	10-20 19:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,737	$1,431	86¢	$1.5K	+$71	10-24 14:44
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+1,297	$1,107	98¢	$1.3K	+$163	10-26 13:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	+1,174	$1,067	99¢	$1.2K	+$98	10-21 16:53
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5,015	$1,324	16¢	$827	-$497	10-26 11:11
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	+3,351	$1,786	18¢	$620	-$1,166	10-26 09:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+606	$260	93¢	$564	+$303	10-26 22:14
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+6,024	$840	4¢	$244	-$596	10-26 03:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,737	$300	14¢	$235	-$66	10-23 07:31
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+235	$147	66¢	$154	+$7	10-26 21:27
Blue tsunami in 2026?	Yes	+198	$89	58¢	$115	+$26	10-26 16:15
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+263	$98	34¢	$91	-$8	10-26 12:45
Blue tsunami in 2026?	No	+215	$115	42¢	$90	-$24	10-23 18:29
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	+75	$37	78¢	$58	+$21	10-26 01:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+612	$392	7¢	$43	-$349	10-26 22:27
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+60	$35	66¢	$39	+$5	10-26 11:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+44	$27	84¢	$37	+$9	10-25 22:10
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+41	$29	82¢	$34	+$5	10-22 03:28
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,311	$185	2¢	$26	-$158	10-26 13:55
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+58	$27	34¢	$20	-$7	10-25 23:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+31	$23	60¢	$18	-$4	10-26 16:36
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+17	$4	74¢	$13	+$8	10-25 23:31
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+50	$19	18¢	$9	-$11	10-25 18:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,055	$99	1¢	$8	-$90	10-21 17:42
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+17	$11	42¢	$7	-$4	10-26 19:01
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+28	$17	26¢	$7	-$10	10-26 11:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+18	$8	40¢	$7	-$1	10-26 16:36
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	+26	$11	22¢	$6	-$5	10-25 10:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	1,874	$10.8K	21,514	0	+21,514	No	-$50	08-20 09:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	1,049	$9.2K	18,302	272	+18,030	No	-$5	09-16 23:53
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1,259	$7.4K	14,271	2,214	+12,057	open	—	10-26 03:50
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1,030	$6.8K	11,880	1,850	+10,031	open	—	10-26 21:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	296	$4.5K	5,267	4,049	+1,218	open	—	10-26 22:27
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	552	$4.3K	4,689	2,082	+2,607	open	—	10-26 13:55
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	1,017	$4.3K	7,900	1,203	+6,697	open	—	10-26 09:34
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	466	$3.2K	3,972	2,347	+1,625	Yes	-$143	09-18 13:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?	427	$2.5K	3,998	2,719	+1,279	No	-$37	09-22 23:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	251	$2.2K	3,929	455	+3,474	open	—	10-24 14:44
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	417	$2.0K	4,187	0	+4,187	No	+$65	07-19 21:14
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	298	$1.7K	1,648	1,548	+100	open	—	10-26 01:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	310	$1.7K	3,060	830	+2,230	open	—	10-21 17:42
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	274	$1.4K	2,671	0	+2,671	Yes	-$42	07-19 19:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	199	$834	1,055	982	+73	open	—	10-26 11:34
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026	11	$687	375	436	-60	Yes	+$123	02-06 22:50
Blue tsunami in 2026?	170	$686	908	495	+413	open	—	10-26 16:15
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	84	$658	781	662	+118	open	—	10-26 11:24
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	60	$617	895	397	+498	open	—	10-26 21:27
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	141	$593	1,130	0	+1,130	No	-$28	07-19 23:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	128	$530	583	534	+48	open	—	10-26 16:36
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	67	$505	1,210	0	+1,210	Egypt	-$20	07-03 20:51
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	119	$484	511	466	+45	open	—	10-26 11:18
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	78	$403	452	361	+91	open	—	10-25 18:41
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	96	$382	742	0	+742	No	-$11	07-18 16:52
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?	106	$378	560	195	+365	open	—	10-26 17:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	115	$366	458	451	+7	open	—	10-26 15:49
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	12	$357	250	250	+0	Yes	-$49	02-07 13:29
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	44	$336	730	0	+730	Yes	-$56	07-03 19:57
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	10	$329	131	251	-121	Yes	+$52	02-06 23:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:27:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x7ab93a…
10-26 22:14:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x23c304…
10-26 21:27:59	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xc02d6b…
10-26 21:03:44	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x47d248…
10-26 20:05:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x0ba885…
10-26 20:01:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xc87579…
10-26 19:53:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x07e248…
10-26 19:51:30	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x7b1112…
10-26 19:48:35	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	No	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x024ca5…
10-26 19:42:21	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x9af516…
10-26 19:39:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x6282d7…
10-26 19:01:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xe506dd…
10-26 19:01:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe506dd…
10-26 18:44:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xad2b4b…
10-26 18:43:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x451afa…
10-26 17:55:29	Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdf2642…
10-26 17:55:24	Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9b8556…
10-26 17:55:24	Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x9b8556…
10-26 17:55:23	Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xc3c042…
10-26 17:08:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x4deda3…
10-26 17:06:23	Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x43bf0c…
10-26 17:04:14	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x131df6…
10-26 16:53:00	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xedd4b2…
10-26 16:48:27	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x70248d…
10-26 16:48:27	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	1	57¢	$0	0x70248d…
10-26 16:48:26	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	No	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x335b57…
10-26 16:36:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x97e7f6…
10-26 16:36:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x97e7f6…
10-26 16:15:05	Blue tsunami in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x641f79…
10-26 15:49:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x514929…
10-26 15:49:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x514929…
10-26 15:22:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xd3960c…
10-26 15:20:15	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xbe199c…
10-26 14:49:47	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xd2fc61…
10-26 14:49:47	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd2fc61…
10-26 14:42:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xfa85c9…
10-26 14:42:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x698a83…
10-26 14:41:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x6deb47…
10-26 14:40:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x12c168…
10-26 14:40:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x7ef6fd…
10-26 14:16:44	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbe7c45…
10-26 14:01:45	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xf3cb40…
10-26 13:55:51	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe95145…
10-26 13:55:51	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe95145…
10-26 13:55:48	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd2145f…
10-26 13:46:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9a9b45…
10-26 13:44:27	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x3d40ff…
10-26 13:37:06	Blue tsunami in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xcac632…
10-26 13:36:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x858b29…
10-26 13:14:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe0cb79…
10-26 12:45:41	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0xc45275…
10-26 12:45:41	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc45275…
10-26 11:45:06	Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	No	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0xd1a341…
10-26 11:45:06	Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x627584…
10-26 11:45:06	Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x627584…
10-26 11:34:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x5b63a1…
10-26 11:24:02	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0xd787e7…
10-26 11:18:35	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x0ed5ae…
10-26 11:11:33	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x7a8079…
10-26 10:30:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x0bd1c4…
10-26 10:12:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xc57871…
10-26 09:51:14	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x0136db…
10-26 09:50:20	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x82afa4…
10-26 09:48:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$2	0x1bed33…
10-26 09:35:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x640ea9…
10-26 09:34:02	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x37bdb1…
10-26 09:31:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xb6ba6c…
10-26 08:44:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x6e9662…
10-26 08:43:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xfe710c…
10-26 08:26:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x837570…
10-26 08:25:20	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x6eb3aa…
10-26 08:23:05	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x977297…
10-26 08:20:56	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x0e78c1…
10-26 06:58:35	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xace01a…
10-26 06:50:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x9ed75b…
10-26 06:44:56	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x3a5ac7…
10-26 06:08:06	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xd8dbd8…
10-26 06:08:06	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd8dbd8…
10-26 05:43:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x23c7df…
10-26 05:38:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb7fe1c…
10-26 05:17:23	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x888442…
10-26 05:04:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x4c424c…
10-26 04:36:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x6c0879…
10-26 04:03:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x0c0675…
10-26 03:51:53	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x33b3b2…
10-26 03:50:47	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x66c471…
10-26 02:49:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x9446f9…
10-26 01:51:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xe4c4c6…
10-26 01:51:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xe4c4c6…
10-26 01:46:03	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x942452…
10-26 01:33:54	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xae8bfe…
10-26 01:23:56	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xe3060e…
10-26 01:23:56	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x1471e5…
10-26 01:04:17	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x058c36…
10-26 00:36:57	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x8179c6…
10-26 00:36:57	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0x8179c6…
10-25 23:40:15	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x81985e…
10-25 23:40:14	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x4f5f19…
10-25 23:33:30	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe397db…
10-25 23:33:30	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xe397db…