Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

+$485

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

849

lifetime

Volume

$305.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$360

Open exposure

$922

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-06 06:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

67% 100% +$5

Politics

31% 100% +$18

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+923	$437	100¢	$922	+$485	07-06 02:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	96	$34.7K	17,852	17,852	+0	open	—	06-22 04:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	74	$31.1K	18,343	17,420	+923	open	—	07-06 02:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	34	$26.9K	15,322	16,303	-981	open	—	05-26 17:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	51	$20.9K	13,105	13,105	+0	open	—	04-28 12:39
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	20	$17.6K	8,985	8,985	+0	open	—	05-21 15:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	62	$12.2K	11,224	11,224	+0	open	—	06-23 23:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$11.4K	6,822	6,822	+0	open	—	06-01 03:01
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	75	$11.3K	4,788	6,795	-2,007	open	—	06-06 13:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	31	$11.1K	5,756	5,713	+43	open	—	05-10 01:25
fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	84	$11.0K	12,000	12,000	+0	open	—	06-19 01:00
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	18	$11.0K	5,446	5,729	-283	open	—	03-30 14:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$7.9K	5,539	2,807	+2,731	open	—	06-16 05:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	6	$7.4K	5,170	2,510	+2,660	open	—	06-15 08:59
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	15	$6.9K	3,570	3,570	+0	open	—	05-16 07:10
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	23	$6.7K	3,418	3,417	+0	open	—	05-18 21:24
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	4	$6.5K	4,629	4,230	+399	open	—	07-06 06:32
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	35	$5.5K	2,912	2,912	+0	Yes	+$3	04-22 20:35
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	6	$4.9K	2,530	2,530	+0	open	—	04-15 14:41
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	5	$4.8K	2,446	2,446	+0	open	—	04-13 13:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	2	$4.7K	2,421	2,421	+0	open	—	06-05 06:12
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	7	$4.7K	2,817	2,600	+217	open	—	06-02 05:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	20	$4.6K	2,406	2,406	+0	open	—	06-04 13:58
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$3.7K	1,930	1,930	+0	open	—	05-23 17:05
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	19	$3.4K	1,744	1,744	+0	open	—	05-16 09:23
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	4	$2.9K	1,449	1,449	+0	open	—	04-22 07:49
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	73	$2.5K	1,287	1,287	+0	open	—	04-20 02:24
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$2.3K	1,218	1,218	+0	open	—	03-27 10:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	5	$2.2K	1,135	1,135	+0	No	+$18	05-06 23:41
cbb pvam fl 2026 03 20	6	$2.2K	1,129	1,129	+0	open	—	03-20 22:38
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.9K	979	979	+0	open	—	04-12 19:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 06:32:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd1642a…
07-06 06:29:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	394	98¢	$385	0xe059a7…
07-06 02:55:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3,077	100¢	$3,074	0x6c2e86…
06-26 05:17:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	58	90¢	$52	0x88ff85…
06-26 05:12:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$0	0xf9ab06…
06-26 05:12:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x0dd7d9…
06-26 05:12:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x9f1ac8…
06-26 05:12:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x96f6e2…
06-26 05:12:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x7feacb…
06-26 02:03:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	85	94¢	$80	0x993b40…
06-25 07:41:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	85	70¢	$59	0xaf1a75…
06-23 23:45:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,988	97¢	$2,909	0x6d9117…
06-23 23:44:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5,346	53¢	$2,833	0x0f69c1…
06-22 07:38:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5,346	58¢	$3,101	0x394d9d…
06-22 04:01:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,630	99¢	$1,607	0x9bd559…
06-22 01:53:19	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x8814f8…
06-22 01:47:16	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,185	98¢	$1,167	0x29274f…
06-22 01:30:19	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	152	98¢	$149	0x507860…
06-22 00:14:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0xa43092…
06-22 00:13:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x2b7237…
06-22 00:13:13	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	229	98¢	$225	0x03c87d…
06-21 22:21:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	4,230	73¢	$3,088	0x2e8ab6…
06-21 21:04:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	4,230	72¢	$3,046	0x97226f…
06-21 08:41:28	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,102	98¢	$3,046	0x24bc1a…
06-21 08:20:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	174	98¢	$171	0x17601b…
06-21 06:41:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x30a964…
06-21 06:04:11	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0xb192e8…
06-21 05:30:19	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	256	98¢	$251	0x84f136…
06-21 05:20:58	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	526	98¢	$516	0xca7bd6…
06-21 05:20:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	168	98¢	$165	0xe5d00f…
06-21 05:05:44	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x90d0fa…
06-21 05:05:10	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	994	98¢	$975	0x3d5187…
06-21 05:01:11	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0xfe8161…
06-21 05:01:10	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xa45d90…
06-21 03:59:50	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x9b0dc9…
06-21 03:57:13	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	526	98¢	$516	0xa2acca…
06-21 02:00:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,192	93¢	$1,108	0xeb3adb…
06-21 01:57:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xd14626…
06-21 01:57:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	879	93¢	$817	0xd29286…
06-21 01:56:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	58	93¢	$54	0x5c4e32…
06-21 01:56:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,141	93¢	$1,061	0x3a7457…
06-21 01:53:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,272	92¢	$3,010	0x5f47e9…
06-20 12:15:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	96	51¢	$49	0x745d2c…
06-20 12:15:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x14bf3a…
06-20 12:14:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	70	51¢	$36	0xab6141…
06-20 12:14:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	84	51¢	$43	0x40d860…
06-20 12:14:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	63	51¢	$32	0x5fe41a…
06-20 11:38:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0xd7f2a4…
06-20 11:38:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xb96240…
06-20 11:37:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x4ff397…
06-20 11:32:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9973ce…
06-20 11:24:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	357	50¢	$179	0xc3e998…
06-20 08:35:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xe42213…
06-20 06:31:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0x39a19b…
06-20 06:30:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	80	54¢	$43	0xbc033f…
06-20 06:27:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xdb4b4a…
06-20 06:27:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xfef482…
06-20 06:27:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x5655ee…
06-20 06:25:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0xb2721e…
06-20 06:22:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0xfe4635…
06-20 06:20:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xfecbee…
06-20 06:20:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	59	54¢	$32	0xd96002…
06-20 05:51:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,558	54¢	$841	0xfd2fc1…
06-20 05:50:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xb6df12…
06-20 05:50:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x9646bb…
06-20 05:24:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x2b0d82…
06-20 05:22:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	27	54¢	$15	0x830b45…
06-20 05:17:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xd74a38…
06-20 05:17:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x72204b…
06-20 05:10:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	40	54¢	$22	0xe92926…
06-20 05:07:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x3d223e…
06-20 05:06:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x906904…
06-20 04:51:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x7e67e6…
06-20 04:28:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	24	54¢	$13	0xe21805…
06-20 04:26:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x61e4f0…
06-20 04:26:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,000	54¢	$540	0x1dbaad…
06-20 04:21:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x267f31…
06-20 04:21:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x4e27d3…
06-20 04:06:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x29c8ba…
06-20 03:57:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x55e4e5…
06-20 03:56:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x5199c1…
06-20 03:56:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x0f1b0c…
06-20 03:51:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0x953067…
06-20 03:50:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	35	54¢	$19	0x7e8f16…
06-20 03:44:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	35	54¢	$19	0x6a9689…
06-20 03:40:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x0b44b5…
06-20 03:38:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x61a372…
06-20 03:27:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x316f9e…
06-20 03:27:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xdbf484…
06-20 03:07:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x6163a4…
06-20 03:06:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xc71e52…
06-20 02:55:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x3d01ce…
06-20 02:55:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x2f16cd…
06-20 02:45:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	911	54¢	$492	0xc7efa3…
06-20 02:18:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	87	54¢	$47	0x7c5f79…
06-20 02:06:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,261	54¢	$681	0x7a563f…
06-20 01:58:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xc843ce…
06-20 01:38:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	26	54¢	$14	0x98f67f…
06-20 01:38:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	51	54¢	$27	0xd8ea64…
06-20 01:38:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	76	54¢	$41	0x8d9ef2…