Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.37K

Unrealized P&L

-$470

Hit rate

94.6%

Resolved

121

Trades

1,323

lifetime

Volume

$433.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$328

Open exposure

$638

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-01 02:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Other

62% 75% +$779

Politics

35% 97% +$672

Crypto

2% 85% +$138

Sports

1% 67% -$3,066

Tech

0% 82% +$111

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,586	$1,103	40¢	$632	-$471	11-01 02:49
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	-7	-$6	94¢	$-6	-$1	07-16 12:52
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	+0	-$2	98¢	$0	+$2	08-11 19:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	96	$34.7K	17,852	17,852	+0	No	+$20	06-22 04:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	75	$31.9K	18,343	18,343	+0	No	+$329	07-06 02:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	35	$27.8K	16,303	16,303	+0	No	+$163	05-26 17:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	51	$20.9K	13,105	13,105	+0	No	+$258	04-28 12:39
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	20	$17.6K	8,985	8,985	+0	No	+$88	05-21 15:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	19	$14.8K	9,349	9,349	+0	open	—	07-28 01:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	76	$13.3K	6,795	6,795	+0	No	+$9	06-06 13:17
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	13	$13.2K	6,949	6,949	+0	No	+$46	06-15 13:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	62	$12.2K	11,224	11,224	+0	No	-$209	06-23 23:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$11.4K	6,822	6,822	+0	No	+$223	06-01 03:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	32	$11.1K	5,756	5,756	+0	No	+$42	05-10 01:25
fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	84	$11.0K	12,000	12,000	+0	No	+$120	06-19 01:00
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	18	$11.0K	5,446	5,729	-283	No	+$39	03-30 14:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$7.9K	5,539	2,807	+2,731	Yes	+$100	06-16 05:40
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	7	$7.9K	4,078	4,078	+0	No	+$11	08-05 04:38
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	23	$7.9K	5,237	2,874	+2,363	Yes	+$41	06-08 11:13
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	5	$6.9K	4,629	4,629	-0	No	+$47	07-07 14:24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	15	$6.9K	3,570	3,570	+0	No	+$4	05-16 07:10
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$6.7K	4,918	2,600	+2,317	No	+$124	06-02 05:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	23	$6.7K	3,418	3,417	+0	No	+$11	05-18 21:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	23	$6.3K	5,792	5,792	+0	No	-$330	09-03 13:44
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	4	$6.2K	3,177	3,177	+0	Yes	+$32	07-08 15:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	40	$5.7K	4,585	2,999	+1,586	open	—	11-01 02:49
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	35	$5.5K	2,912	2,912	+0	Yes	+$3	04-22 20:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	12	$5.4K	3,421	3,421	+0	Yes	+$34	06-18 02:31
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	6	$4.9K	2,530	2,530	+0	No	+$25	04-15 14:41
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	9	$4.8K	2,419	2,419	+0	No	+$2	06-12 04:05
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	5	$4.8K	2,446	2,446	+0	No	+$24	04-13 13:57
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	9	$4.7K	2,428	2,428	+0	No	+$24	06-11 15:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	2	$4.7K	2,421	2,421	+0	No	+$2	06-05 06:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 02:49:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	44¢	$17	0x852138…
10-23 06:25:00	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	38¢	$17	0x619eb8…
10-19 00:09:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	36¢	$17	0x314d21…
10-11 22:02:20	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	45¢	$17	0x020b7e…
10-05 09:11:41	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	Yes	BUY	34	50¢	$17	0x03e214…
09-19 08:55:25	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	60¢	$17	0xf196c4…
09-11 07:18:25	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xb47f5d…
09-04 01:36:37	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,316	60¢	$791	0x5f24f2…
09-03 13:44:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2,040	37¢	$755	0x1877f0…
09-03 00:57:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	704	55¢	$387	0x148215…
09-03 00:54:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4d15f8…
09-03 00:51:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf0202f…
09-03 00:47:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb5f64d…
09-03 00:43:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,324	55¢	$728	0x9c2af7…
09-02 19:16:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	188	58¢	$109	0x3c303b…
09-02 18:59:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xd0d79c…
09-02 18:51:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0xe34f0c…
09-02 18:35:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	125	58¢	$72	0xc27187…
09-02 18:35:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	36	58¢	$21	0x7ec4c0…
09-02 18:23:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x93ca24…
09-02 18:01:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	6	58¢	$4	0x46abcc…
09-02 17:59:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	13	58¢	$8	0x75f18e…
09-02 17:43:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x66a559…
09-02 17:40:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xe01e6b…
09-02 17:04:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	232	58¢	$135	0x7c512c…
09-02 17:03:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,212	58¢	$703	0x7de642…
09-02 16:50:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x0b12f7…
09-02 16:50:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	84	58¢	$49	0xa34322…
09-02 12:43:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,938	57¢	$1,104	0x675399…
09-02 10:57:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,815	61¢	$1,107	0x18ec6c…
09-02 07:43:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,815	60¢	$1,089	0x408726…
09-02 01:13:18	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	452	99¢	$449	0x0aeea8…
09-01 22:42:24	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	666	99¢	$661	0xb6ec77…
09-01 22:20:51	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3d5c14…
09-01 22:20:49	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x787a4b…
09-01 13:57:49	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,125	99¢	$1,113	0x8b82cf…
09-01 08:30:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xae07f0…
09-01 08:30:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	109	97¢	$106	0xdcf17d…
09-01 08:17:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0xe026f9…
09-01 08:10:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	1,000	97¢	$971	0xcb2cbd…
09-01 05:39:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	1,147	97¢	$1,112	0x4bb3db…
08-31 21:50:36	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1,132	98¢	$1,111	0xc73751…
08-31 15:11:06	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	606	98¢	$594	0x67603f…
08-31 15:08:27	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x8553e8…
08-31 14:56:46	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	519	98¢	$510	0x48e57c…
08-31 04:56:54	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	1,080	100¢	$1,078	0x7021b7…
08-31 03:58:18	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0dde2b…
08-31 03:19:28	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x214d2f…
08-31 02:42:13	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	1,113	100¢	$1,110	0x0f9d81…
08-30 23:13:13	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	721	100¢	$718	0xd753fb…
08-29 02:58:51	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$40	0x894c36…
08-29 02:58:42	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xa5a5ba…
08-29 02:20:07	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	676	96¢	$651	0x64edf3…
08-28 14:53:01	Will XRP reach $3.00 in August?	No	SELL	1,089	100¢	$1,086	0xe2ab5c…
08-28 13:34:54	Will XRP reach $3.00 in August?	No	BUY	1,089	100¢	$1,084	0xaa510c…
08-28 13:08:22	Will SpaceX have 16+ launches in August 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	1¢	$0	0xfd523c…
08-28 13:08:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,536	69¢	$1,053	0x6343c9…
08-27 15:12:51	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?	Yes	SELL	34	86¢	$29	0x93c459…
08-27 04:51:18	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?	Yes	BUY	34	84¢	$29	0x046c7a…
08-24 20:54:19	Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 20–25%?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x1db584…
08-18 07:15:55	Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?	Yes	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0x551d28…
08-18 04:16:01	Will 7 Brew Coffee be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xaabff7…
08-15 16:20:07	Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$17	0xfd0aeb…
08-15 16:20:01	Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x71e8c5…
08-15 16:19:19	Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x99bafa…
08-15 16:18:42	Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x3ac9c6…
08-14 13:30:48	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x8cbb9a…
08-14 11:13:55	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xded2b9…
08-14 06:53:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	30	82¢	$24	0x5bc361…
08-14 06:37:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x11027a…
08-14 06:15:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	54	82¢	$44	0x14b378…
08-14 06:13:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$0	0x2417c2…
08-14 05:24:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	197	82¢	$161	0x7a62cf…
08-14 04:32:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	157	82¢	$128	0xc6852f…
08-14 04:19:54	will california enact a law recognizing jews as an ethnic group by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x6f5042…
08-14 04:19:46	will california enact a law recognizing jews as an ethnic group by december 31	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x1faeeb…
08-14 03:38:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	738	82¢	$601	0x6ca594…
08-14 01:42:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	147	82¢	$120	0x935fbf…
08-14 01:41:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	213	82¢	$174	0x13aa16…
08-14 01:25:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	4¢	$2	0xd3c5e6…
08-14 00:09:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xd7dc2a…
08-13 23:56:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0x4e6c9c…
08-13 23:39:09	will california enact a law recognizing jews as an ethnic group by december 31	Yes	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x331538…
08-13 22:18:55	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?	No	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x0edf61…
08-13 21:44:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	1,314	97¢	$1,275	0x36cb10…
08-13 18:16:48	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?	No	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xdbeb77…
08-13 16:53:46	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?	No	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x87f039…
08-13 14:08:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	1,114	96¢	$1,066	0xe95a99…
08-13 14:08:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0xe07dec…
08-13 12:53:24	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?	No	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xf2441f…
08-13 09:58:12	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%?	No	SELL	967	92¢	$895	0x39f838…
08-13 07:29:36	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%?	No	BUY	967	92¢	$894	0x678522…
08-13 06:42:03	Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x3e69d5…
08-13 06:33:10	Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x7cfeac…
08-13 00:16:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	238	85¢	$201	0x88a0e9…
08-12 22:59:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0x5bdf6c…
08-12 21:23:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	340	85¢	$288	0x50376b…
08-12 20:01:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x543f96…
08-12 19:20:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xbfb91f…
08-12 19:00:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	200	85¢	$169	0xf71cf3…