Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

898

lifetime

Volume

$330.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$368

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-27 18:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% 100% +$5

Politics

33% 100% +$18

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	96	$34.7K	17,852	17,852	+0	open	—	06-22 04:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	74	$31.1K	18,343	17,420	+923	open	—	07-06 02:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	34	$26.9K	15,322	16,303	-981	open	—	05-26 17:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	51	$20.9K	13,105	13,105	+0	open	—	04-28 12:39
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	20	$17.6K	8,985	8,985	+0	open	—	05-21 15:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	62	$12.2K	11,224	11,224	+0	open	—	06-23 23:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$11.4K	6,822	6,822	+0	open	—	06-01 03:01
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	75	$11.3K	4,788	6,795	-2,007	open	—	06-06 13:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	16	$11.3K	7,817	6,346	+1,471	open	—	07-27 18:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	31	$11.1K	5,756	5,713	+43	open	—	05-10 01:25
fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	84	$11.0K	12,000	12,000	+0	open	—	06-19 01:00
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	18	$11.0K	5,446	5,729	-283	open	—	03-30 14:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$7.9K	5,539	2,807	+2,731	open	—	06-16 05:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	6	$7.4K	5,170	2,510	+2,660	open	—	06-15 08:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	5	$6.9K	4,629	4,629	-0	open	—	07-07 14:24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	15	$6.9K	3,570	3,570	+0	open	—	05-16 07:10
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	23	$6.7K	3,418	3,417	+0	open	—	05-18 21:24
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	4	$6.2K	3,177	3,177	+0	open	—	07-08 15:51
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	35	$5.5K	2,912	2,912	+0	Yes	+$3	04-22 20:35
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	6	$4.9K	2,530	2,530	+0	open	—	04-15 14:41
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	5	$4.8K	2,446	2,446	+0	open	—	04-13 13:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	2	$4.7K	2,421	2,421	+0	open	—	06-05 06:12
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	7	$4.7K	2,817	2,600	+217	open	—	06-02 05:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	20	$4.6K	2,406	2,406	+0	open	—	06-04 13:58
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$3.7K	1,930	1,930	+0	open	—	05-23 17:05
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	19	$3.4K	1,744	1,744	+0	open	—	05-16 09:23
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	15	$3.1K	9,309	0	+9,309	open	—	07-09 22:06
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	4	$2.9K	1,449	1,449	+0	open	—	04-22 07:49
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	73	$2.5K	1,287	1,287	+0	open	—	04-20 02:24
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$2.3K	1,218	1,218	+0	open	—	03-27 10:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 18:36:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,471	77¢	$1,132	0x8201ff…
07-26 13:27:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1,242	85¢	$1,055	0xa96095…
07-26 13:15:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,242	83¢	$1,031	0x43cd8e…
07-26 09:00:48	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	75	98¢	$74	0x1092e8…
07-25 22:34:15	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	SELL	1,054	98¢	$1,031	0xe37d31…
07-25 15:16:07	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	1,033	98¢	$1,009	0x830df3…
07-25 15:12:33	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xb61317…
07-25 15:10:12	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xc010a1…
07-25 07:15:06	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0xbc9793…
07-24 20:32:49	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0xc6eb6a…
07-23 07:10:36	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0x45f5b7…
07-22 09:45:39	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	75	90¢	$68	0x6dd67d…
07-19 09:13:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,522	70¢	$1,066	0xde4a88…
07-19 08:08:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,100	69¢	$759	0x303621…
07-19 06:53:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0x9c6c28…
07-19 06:29:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdd6754…
07-19 06:22:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	396	69¢	$273	0x513b28…
07-15 06:53:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	98	82¢	$80	0x23143b…
07-15 06:27:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	350	82¢	$287	0x27ed9e…
07-15 06:26:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x03688f…
07-15 06:21:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	621	82¢	$509	0x86d482…
07-15 06:18:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x06e64d…
07-13 11:59:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,076	81¢	$872	0x9933a1…
07-13 00:37:34	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x932ce5…
07-12 13:39:37	will the us house pass the sunshine protection act by july 17 20260710183842097	Yes	BUY	105	70¢	$74	0xfbffca…
07-09 22:06:10	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	3,133	33¢	$1,034	0x3ad63e…
07-09 22:02:04	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x6f4a14…
07-09 22:01:23	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x0d7711…
07-09 21:59:05	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xd80025…
07-09 21:58:26	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x361e9f…
07-09 21:58:14	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	73	33¢	$24	0x2ccb19…
07-09 21:48:07	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb9189e…
07-09 21:29:05	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	295	33¢	$97	0x9c93c4…
07-09 21:24:46	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	78	33¢	$26	0xad76d9…
07-09 21:17:43	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x710016…
07-09 20:59:02	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xd069be…
07-09 20:44:31	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x5dc3be…
07-09 20:42:52	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0xb82243…
07-09 20:42:22	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	74	33¢	$24	0xee8cb9…
07-09 20:42:19	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	5,596	33¢	$1,847	0x1e64f5…
07-09 10:37:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x2b5aa9…
07-09 10:28:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	258	84¢	$216	0xbfa47b…
07-09 10:18:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3,489	84¢	$2,931	0x82caf7…
07-09 02:41:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3,748	83¢	$3,110	0x552661…
07-08 15:51:52	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	SELL	1,616	98¢	$1,582	0x7f978c…
07-08 14:46:05	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	SELL	680	98¢	$666	0x934eed…
07-08 02:28:17	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	SELL	882	98¢	$863	0xa0b471…
07-08 02:00:34	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	BUY	3,177	97¢	$3,079	0x63a7db…
07-07 14:24:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	399	99¢	$395	0x5f2884…
07-06 06:32:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd1642a…
07-06 06:29:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	394	98¢	$385	0xe059a7…
07-06 02:55:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3,077	100¢	$3,074	0x6c2e86…
06-26 05:17:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	58	90¢	$52	0x88ff85…
06-26 05:12:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$0	0xf9ab06…
06-26 05:12:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x0dd7d9…
06-26 05:12:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x9f1ac8…
06-26 05:12:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x96f6e2…
06-26 05:12:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x7feacb…
06-26 02:03:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	85	94¢	$80	0x993b40…
06-25 07:41:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	85	70¢	$59	0xaf1a75…
06-23 23:45:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,988	97¢	$2,909	0x6d9117…
06-23 23:44:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5,346	53¢	$2,833	0x0f69c1…
06-22 07:38:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5,346	58¢	$3,101	0x394d9d…
06-22 04:01:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,630	99¢	$1,607	0x9bd559…
06-22 01:53:19	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x8814f8…
06-22 01:47:16	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,185	98¢	$1,167	0x29274f…
06-22 01:30:19	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	152	98¢	$149	0x507860…
06-22 00:14:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0xa43092…
06-22 00:13:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x2b7237…
06-22 00:13:13	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	229	98¢	$225	0x03c87d…
06-21 22:21:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	4,230	73¢	$3,088	0x2e8ab6…
06-21 21:04:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	4,230	72¢	$3,046	0x97226f…
06-21 08:41:28	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,102	98¢	$3,046	0x24bc1a…
06-21 08:20:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	174	98¢	$171	0x17601b…
06-21 06:41:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x30a964…
06-21 06:04:11	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0xb192e8…
06-21 05:30:19	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	256	98¢	$251	0x84f136…
06-21 05:20:58	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	526	98¢	$516	0xca7bd6…
06-21 05:20:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	168	98¢	$165	0xe5d00f…
06-21 05:05:44	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x90d0fa…
06-21 05:05:10	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	994	98¢	$975	0x3d5187…
06-21 05:01:11	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0xfe8161…
06-21 05:01:10	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xa45d90…
06-21 03:59:50	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x9b0dc9…
06-21 03:57:13	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	526	98¢	$516	0xa2acca…
06-21 02:00:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,192	93¢	$1,108	0xeb3adb…
06-21 01:57:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xd14626…
06-21 01:57:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	879	93¢	$817	0xd29286…
06-21 01:56:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	58	93¢	$54	0x5c4e32…
06-21 01:56:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,141	93¢	$1,061	0x3a7457…
06-21 01:53:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,272	92¢	$3,010	0x5f47e9…
06-20 12:15:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	96	51¢	$49	0x745d2c…
06-20 12:15:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x14bf3a…
06-20 12:14:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	70	51¢	$36	0xab6141…
06-20 12:14:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	84	51¢	$43	0x40d860…
06-20 12:14:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	63	51¢	$32	0x5fe41a…
06-20 11:38:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0xd7f2a4…
06-20 11:38:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xb96240…
06-20 11:37:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x4ff397…
06-20 11:32:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9973ce…