Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

46.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$60

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-08

last 11-14 00:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

67% 47% -$4

Politics

32% 47% +$2

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	Yes		+4	$1	28¢	$1	+$0	11-11 12:21
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No		+1	$1	54¢	$1	$0	11-14 00:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	2	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$1	09-09 17:05
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	2	$2	4	+4	No	$0	10-07 22:25
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-09 17:17
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-09 08:47
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-08 10:30
saudi arabia military action against yemen on september 21 20260916	1	$1	5	+5	No	+$4	09-17 17:45
will trump say million 20 times remarks in north carolina	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-16 10:19
will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-23 14:39
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	-$1	09-08 00:19
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-13 22:00
Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-09 16:49
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-17 04:57
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-09 17:04
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-14 06:01
spy up or down on september 10 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	09-10 07:26
Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-16 02:17
will coin reach 180 by september 14 2026 from september 17	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-18 02:32
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	-$1	09-16 20:42
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	11-03 08:07
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	1	$1	4	+4	open	—	11-11 12:21
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-27 11:53
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	11-10 20:20
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	11-07 15:09
trump renames ai by september 30	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-27 21:04
will abnb reach 162 by september 28 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-30 13:49
will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-14 23:58
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	11-05 14:36
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	11-01 15:30
wti closes above 92 on october 1 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	10-01 08:56
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	10-15 16:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 00:22:04	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7ac38f…
11-12 16:21:58	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0bd10f…
11-12 08:21:51	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xecbb52…
11-11 12:21:04	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc36084…
11-11 04:20:27	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 11?	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x491f4a…
11-11 04:20:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 11?	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x50ed44…
11-10 20:20:13	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x42586d…
11-07 23:32:04	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x563afa…
11-07 15:09:16	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x89c96b…
11-06 00:32:33	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0b1186…
11-05 14:36:21	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x46784f…
11-05 06:15:21	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcd1979…
11-03 08:07:40	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1052b6…
11-02 00:06:01	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on November 2?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3f3a91…
11-01 15:30:28	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcda230…
11-01 05:19:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb3e0b5…
10-30 01:53:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xea5832…
10-15 16:42:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2a0b14…
10-15 08:32:44	will xagusd dip to 55 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x506cf9…
10-14 23:58:00	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa203cd…
10-14 01:55:17	meta close above 750 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf3f0d8…
10-11 03:03:29	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9dc6ba…
10-10 12:48:40	Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.075B?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf417f3…
10-09 03:48:06	spx up or down on october 9 2026	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x802c90…
10-08 19:44:17	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x161b69…
10-08 06:25:41	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa150bd…
10-07 22:25:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x22b355…
10-07 22:22:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd0924b…
10-05 00:06:01	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $183 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb56ad4…
10-02 14:36:20	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb15df2…
10-02 05:41:36	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5daad2…
10-01 16:56:51	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x28fbc6…
10-01 08:56:18	wti closes above 92 on october 1 2026	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x42c6f3…
09-30 23:01:59	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf0bc31…
09-30 13:49:09	will abnb reach 162 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xddb169…
09-30 05:11:47	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x91f6c2…
09-27 21:04:44	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x18214e…
09-27 11:53:17	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc76367…
09-27 01:07:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x115751…
09-26 12:37:02	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x51a69e…
09-23 14:39:47	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x11e7f5…
09-18 02:32:58	will coin reach 180 by september 14 2026 from september 17	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcd04f5…
09-17 17:45:52	saudi arabia military action against yemen on september 21 20260916	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3c832c…
09-17 04:57:42	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9f347a…
09-16 20:42:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb8ed15…
09-16 10:19:04	will trump say million 20 times remarks in north carolina	No	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x76a8cd…
09-16 02:17:57	Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x80fbdd…
09-14 06:01:40	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xffff83…
09-13 22:00:36	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3f2d6a…
09-10 07:26:42	spy up or down on september 10 2026	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xc2b4a9…
09-09 17:17:04	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xb56bc2…
09-09 17:05:39	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x411e33…
09-09 17:04:03	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xaab01d…
09-09 16:54:16	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x5d1506…
09-09 16:49:34	Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb8ba55…
09-09 08:47:55	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6db9d9…
09-08 10:30:25	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x7c5ce1…
09-08 00:19:10	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x94cd1b…