Ornate-Flight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.62K

Unrealized P&L

-$99

Hit rate

90.0%

Resolved

337

Trades

847

lifetime

Volume

$117.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$138

Open exposure

$178

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 10-25 15:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Other

78% 57% -$338

Crypto

18% 85% -$666

Sports

2% 44% -$464

Politics

1% 33% $0

Tech

0% 0% -$147

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	+609	$190	22¢	$131	-$59	09-18 14:05
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+300	$45	8¢	$25	-$20	10-07 09:40
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+200	$28	6¢	$13	-$15	10-05 04:11
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+200	$14	4¢	$8	-$6	10-03 01:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	8	$6.8K	3,415	3,415	+0	No	+$14	06-16 03:19
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	4	$4.2K	2,129	2,129	+0	No	+$21	06-16 15:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	8	$2.9K	1,450	1,450	+0	No	+$2	05-28 21:53
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	2	$2.7K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$31	06-21 18:24
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	14	$2.2K	1,148	1,148	+0	No	-$71	06-28 18:04
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	18	$1.7K	841	841	+0	No	+$6	06-28 18:54
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	5	$1.4K	831	630	+201	No	+$45	08-18 14:51
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	3	$1.4K	1,415	100	+1,315	No	+$110	06-18 15:13
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	2	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$1	06-12 07:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	3	$1.4K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$1	05-19 19:09
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	2	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$1	06-10 06:36
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	2	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$1	06-08 08:55
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	9	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$1	06-08 13:11
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	13	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$1	05-12 15:43
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	3	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$2	06-08 00:05
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	3	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	-$1	06-12 14:18
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	3	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$7	06-09 15:25
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	4	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$12	06-21 07:09
bitcoin above 58k on july 8 2026	3	$1.3K	659	659	+0	Yes	+$11	07-07 13:43
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	4	$1.2K	621	621	+0	No	+$5	06-29 10:30
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	3	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$3	07-12 10:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$1	05-20 14:01
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	4	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$5	06-20 14:52
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	5	$1.1K	570	570	+0	No	+$13	08-06 10:54
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	5	$1.1K	676	665	+11	No	+$103	06-15 16:03
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	2	$1.1K	538	538	+0	No	+$4	06-18 17:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	2	$998	500	500	+0	No	+$0	06-02 16:46
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	2	$998	500	500	+0	No	+$1	07-12 16:02
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	14	$997	500	500	+0	No	+$1	05-07 08:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$994	500	500	+0	No	+$0	05-27 11:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 15:47:33	Hull City AFC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x70dbb4…
10-25 08:54:39	Kawasaki Frontale vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x7650f5…
10-25 08:54:29	Kawasaki Frontale vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xc64613…
10-25 08:01:33	Iwaki FC vs. Júbilo Iwata: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x11febb…
10-25 05:53:30	Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xea5370…
10-25 05:21:24	Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xab4118…
10-25 05:17:09	Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xfa1c81…
10-25 05:01:39	Pumas de la UNAM vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x51e9a2…
10-25 04:32:12	Portland Timbers vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x80d842…
10-25 04:26:56	Pumas de la UNAM vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x4c2b60…
10-25 04:26:56	Pumas de la UNAM vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x438bbe…
10-25 04:26:54	Pumas de la UNAM vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	170	15¢	$25	0xe38198…
10-25 04:26:54	Pumas de la UNAM vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x5100f8…
10-25 03:50:27	Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xeee31c…
10-25 03:25:42	Real Salt Lake vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x3f3883…
10-25 01:33:20	Orlando City SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x27aa5f…
10-25 01:33:05	Atlanta United FC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xf33241…
10-24 19:07:17	CF Montréal vs. Nashville SC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xda45a3…
10-24 17:47:56	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0xa77bb7…
10-24 15:48:12	Preston North End FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x746934…
10-24 15:47:15	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xf92f75…
10-24 15:21:09	RB Leipzig vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x984903…
10-24 15:09:20	RB Leipzig vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0xf486e9…
10-24 14:49:02	IK Sirius vs. AIK: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xf2eefd…
10-24 14:34:44	Coventry City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xc69608…
10-24 14:25:30	Ratchaburi FC vs. Chonburi FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x13450c…
10-24 13:11:57	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x5919fa…
10-24 13:08:47	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	182	12¢	$22	0x0fb788…
10-24 13:08:45	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x5d4896…
10-24 10:27:45	Melbourne Victory FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x30c5a6…
10-24 10:14:32	Persikad Depok vs. PSPS Pekanbaru: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	159	12¢	$19	0xb224ee…
10-24 10:14:32	Persikad Depok vs. PSPS Pekanbaru: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x4051ab…
10-24 08:21:48	Gamba Ōsaka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x38ee11…
10-24 07:52:35	Vissel Kōbe vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xb0de3a…
10-24 07:48:32	Kashima Antlers vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xa93365…
10-24 05:14:23	Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0x602297…
10-24 05:13:32	Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	56	12¢	$7	0xddf3eb…
10-24 05:13:30	Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x6f15ef…
10-24 05:13:29	Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	113	12¢	$14	0x8fd6eb…
10-23 12:25:54	FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FK Kudrivka: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x092fac…
10-23 02:46:50	Atlético Nacional vs. AD Pasto: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	83	21¢	$17	0x3ae490…
10-23 02:46:45	Atlético Nacional vs. AD Pasto: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x7400d2…
10-23 02:45:59	Atlético Nacional vs. AD Pasto: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x73b391…
10-23 02:07:29	Atlético Nacional vs. AD Pasto: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0xd17da1…
10-22 10:17:50	Persik Kediri vs. PSS Sleman: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x370905…
10-22 02:49:57	Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xbb3aad…
10-21 11:54:24	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x297198…
10-21 11:04:21	FC Tōkyō vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x05c72a…
10-21 10:48:26	Kawasaki Frontale vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xe0bcd8…
10-21 01:32:23	CD Guadalajara vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x24de6e…
10-21 01:14:57	Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Atlético Nacional: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xd4b828…
10-21 01:09:24	Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Atlético Nacional: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x66c30d…
10-20 02:43:14	AD Pasto vs. Alianza FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x75ab7a…
10-20 02:43:12	AD Pasto vs. Alianza FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x70bd45…
10-20 02:43:12	AD Pasto vs. Alianza FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	94	8¢	$8	0x4a1283…
10-20 02:43:11	AD Pasto vs. Alianza FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x293e7f…
10-20 02:43:09	AD Pasto vs. Alianza FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x78904f…
10-20 02:43:09	AD Pasto vs. Alianza FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x6ce90a…
10-20 02:43:08	AD Pasto vs. Alianza FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0xad4e9f…
10-20 00:51:18	SC Corinthians Paulista vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xf8ced3…
10-19 03:00:26	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	111	10¢	$11	0xce37d9…
10-19 03:00:26	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	56	10¢	$6	0xcc4d50…
10-19 03:00:26	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	111	10¢	$11	0xa2fae9…
10-19 03:00:26	CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x8aa542…
10-19 02:32:50	AD Cali vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xfeb881…
10-19 02:32:50	AD Cali vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	74	14¢	$10	0xeeb39a…
10-19 02:32:50	AD Cali vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	211	14¢	$30	0x81e9ed…
10-19 02:32:50	AD Cali vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x5d50c2…
10-19 02:30:39	AD Cali vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xf2b8fa…
10-19 01:51:23	CSD Municipal vs. CD Guastatoya: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x38fd8c…
10-18 17:13:29	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x720727…
10-18 17:07:50	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x91b557…
10-18 16:38:35	Vålerenga Fotball vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	85	20¢	$17	0x78a3fd…
10-18 16:38:32	Vålerenga Fotball vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	67	20¢	$13	0x349c7d…
10-18 16:38:27	Vålerenga Fotball vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xb7177a…
10-18 16:38:24	Vålerenga Fotball vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0x340d64…
10-18 15:07:21	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x1817bc…
10-18 14:59:53	FK Dinamo Moskva vs. PFK CSKA Moskva: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xf5ed28…
10-18 12:47:26	FK Zenit vs. RFK Akhmat Groznyi: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x1e7843…
10-18 12:42:51	FK Zenit vs. RFK Akhmat Groznyi: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	95	40¢	$38	0xc5958d…
10-18 12:42:51	FK Zenit vs. RFK Akhmat Groznyi: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	31	40¢	$12	0x649a83…
10-18 12:42:50	FK Zenit vs. RFK Akhmat Groznyi: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	41	40¢	$16	0xc72102…
10-18 12:42:48	FK Zenit vs. RFK Akhmat Groznyi: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0x1bb4c1…
10-18 06:57:17	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0xdaf29e…
10-18 06:49:44	Fagiano Okayama vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x00bf32…
10-18 04:27:50	Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x28b964…
10-18 04:18:45	Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Diego FC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xd36700…
10-17 14:51:23	Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC vs. Empoli FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0x3fa3d1…
10-17 14:51:21	Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC vs. Empoli FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0xf8fa12…
10-17 14:46:59	Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x4ea4d4…
10-17 14:41:39	Calcio Padova vs. Virtus Entella: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x9fa3c5…
10-17 14:41:29	Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC vs. Empoli FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xce1e33…
10-17 12:44:08	VfL Wolfsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x7a7508…
10-17 12:42:23	SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0xc39fa0…
10-17 11:51:29	Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. Júbilo Iwata: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x76afc6…
10-17 11:42:30	Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. Júbilo Iwata: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xc79a90…
10-17 10:30:17	Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x34f4fb…
10-17 10:23:27	Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x5950d0…
10-17 00:15:42	AA Ponte Preta vs. AC Goianiense: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xf29e73…
10-17 00:08:09	AA Ponte Preta vs. AC Goianiense: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x1c27bf…