Ornate-Flight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

131

lifetime

Volume

$22.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$172

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 08-01 14:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 100% +$1

Other

26% — —

Sports

4% 100% +$0

Tech

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	7	$2.6K	1,200	1,450	-250	open	—	05-28 21:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	3	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	05-19 19:09
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	13	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	05-12 15:43
bitcoin above 58k on july 8 2026	3	$1.3K	659	659	+0	open	—	07-07 13:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	05-20 14:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	2	$998	500	500	+0	open	—	06-02 16:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$994	500	500	+0	open	—	05-27 11:41
epl ast sun 2026 04 19 ast	1	$846	861	0	+861	open	—	04-19 14:44
bitcoin above 60k on july 12 2026	2	$828	415	415	+0	open	—	07-11 18:54
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	3	$797	400	400	+0	open	—	05-11 05:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$795	400	400	+0	open	—	05-26 12:47
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	3	$686	400	400	+0	open	—	04-26 07:32
bitcoin above 56k on july 11 2026	4	$598	300	300	+0	open	—	07-09 23:53
bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	19	$598	300	300	+0	open	—	07-21 03:53
will bitcoin dip to 45k in july 2026 597	2	$597	300	300	+0	open	—	07-19 00:59
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	3	$593	300	300	+0	open	—	07-15 11:21
bitcoin above 60k on july 22 2026	2	$592	300	300	+0	open	—	07-21 07:42
will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	2	$585	300	300	+0	open	—	07-14 13:56
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	12	$511	3,050	3,050	+0	open	—	04-27 11:09
bitcoin above 58k on july 17 2026	2	$499	250	250	+0	open	—	07-16 01:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	2	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	04-30 10:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$395	200	200	+0	open	—	04-22 06:04
bitcoin above 58k on august 4 2026	2	$392	400	0	+400	open	—	08-01 14:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	1	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	05-13 09:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	1	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	05-21 10:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	1	$299	300	0	+300	Yes	+$1	05-12 10:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$294	200	200	+0	open	—	05-04 15:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	05-07 10:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	05-10 14:04
bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	1	$124	125	0	+125	open	—	07-13 09:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 14:10:30	bitcoin above 58k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xd63613…
08-01 04:58:45	bitcoin above 58k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xe6b1c0…
07-21 07:42:39	bitcoin above 60k on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0xefe7c6…
07-21 03:53:18	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xca7764…
07-21 03:53:16	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xcae43b…
07-21 03:53:15	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x719ff5…
07-21 03:52:28	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9bf1ca…
07-21 03:48:06	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd136f9…
07-21 03:48:04	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xa0db50…
07-21 03:48:03	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb91308…
07-21 03:48:01	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xb1a0a0…
07-21 03:48:01	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9af321…
07-21 03:48:01	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x533474…
07-21 03:48:00	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x8503fc…
07-21 03:47:58	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb9f084…
07-21 03:47:57	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x06e8f8…
07-21 03:47:55	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x5f539c…
07-21 03:47:54	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x1d10d9…
07-21 03:46:21	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x81e7cd…
07-21 03:43:54	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xc09183…
07-21 03:43:51	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe93d4e…
07-20 07:19:52	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0xf6e3e0…
07-20 07:19:04	bitcoin above 60k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	300	98¢	$292	0xc35087…
07-19 00:59:06	will bitcoin dip to 45k in july 2026 597	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0x0d4cae…
07-16 01:38:20	bitcoin above 58k on july 17 2026	Yes	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x492cf3…
07-15 12:50:13	bitcoin above 58k on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xa2f284…
07-15 11:21:05	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	SELL	279	99¢	$276	0x16c360…
07-15 09:57:47	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xe295c0…
07-14 13:56:23	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	SELL	300	98¢	$294	0xad65bb…
07-13 09:14:58	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0x340f8c…
07-13 09:13:50	will bitcoin dip to 45k in july 2026 597	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0xcc8a69…
07-13 09:13:10	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0x93dedd…
07-13 09:08:32	bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$124	0x0ec41b…
07-11 18:54:04	bitcoin above 60k on july 12 2026	Yes	SELL	415	100¢	$414	0xe90b5c…
07-11 05:27:19	bitcoin above 60k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	415	100¢	$413	0x5722b1…
07-09 23:53:47	bitcoin above 56k on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x84b430…
07-09 23:53:35	bitcoin above 56k on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0xe81ec6…
07-09 23:53:23	bitcoin above 56k on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	82	100¢	$81	0x24ab99…
07-09 08:53:58	bitcoin above 56k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xec4102…
07-07 13:43:41	bitcoin above 58k on july 8 2026	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x70f369…
07-07 11:04:08	bitcoin above 58k on july 8 2026	Yes	SELL	651	100¢	$649	0xa542ec…
07-05 17:19:31	bitcoin above 58k on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	659	98¢	$646	0x5ecebf…
06-24 15:14:29	fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x06eae9…
06-24 15:13:43	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xd8cb0f…
06-02 16:46:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0xad8c22…
06-02 09:46:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xcf0794…
05-29 07:29:16	Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1510 and 1520?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x0ced07…
05-29 02:44:38	Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1510 and 1520?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6b0f51…
05-28 21:53:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0x1c9dd2…
05-28 09:29:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0x461bc1…
05-27 11:41:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x61fce5…
05-27 06:02:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$497	0x772095…
05-26 12:47:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$398	0x492fda…
05-26 09:11:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	400	99¢	$397	0x000fa6…
05-22 12:27:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	250	99¢	$247	0x7311bf…
05-22 01:33:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	250	99¢	$247	0x221c47…
05-21 11:01:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$247	0xf7255e…
05-21 10:15:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xb5b4fb…
05-21 07:51:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	550	99¢	$543	0xf9649f…
05-21 06:31:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	550	99¢	$542	0x3c6fb2…
05-20 14:01:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	SELL	600	99¢	$596	0x11a997…
05-20 08:59:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	600	99¢	$595	0x866f92…
05-19 19:09:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	700	100¢	$699	0x7e3ec1…
05-19 09:51:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	682	100¢	$681	0xb8f663…
05-19 09:39:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf6b92b…
05-13 09:59:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xeb8895…
05-12 15:43:32	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0xeb5b06…
05-12 12:28:43	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xcdf3fe…
05-12 12:13:00	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$142	0x0e97a3…
05-12 10:51:36	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$168	0xcaa051…
05-12 10:00:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xf3ef46…
05-11 06:30:24	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0x42cc0a…
05-11 05:03:22	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	SELL	397	100¢	$395	0xf363eb…
05-11 04:09:28	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb312c2…
05-11 03:49:53	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0xf8bef3…
05-10 14:04:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x47b9b2…
05-09 09:30:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x945f4f…
05-08 09:30:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf4f208…
05-08 08:10:38	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	93	99¢	$93	0xe9b7a5…
05-08 08:00:01	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x37df2a…
05-08 07:34:09	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x66562d…
05-08 07:29:48	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb286f1…
05-08 07:13:49	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x48566f…
05-08 06:34:54	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6cfce6…
05-08 04:44:22	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0xbec92c…
05-07 10:56:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xdaea43…
05-07 10:54:51	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x3b4649…
05-04 15:12:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0xbe4fb9…
05-03 08:10:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0xa92d72…
04-30 10:25:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xa3b698…
04-30 03:01:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xa1afe2…
04-27 11:09:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	455	6¢	$27	0xf18c0d…
04-27 11:09:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xb34722…
04-27 11:09:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	1,906	6¢	$114	0x45a6f0…
04-27 11:08:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x87e615…
04-27 11:08:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	159	6¢	$10	0xdea745…
04-27 11:08:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xa3056f…
04-27 11:08:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	45	6¢	$3	0x22d7e2…
04-27 11:07:14	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	419	6¢	$25	0x057242…
04-27 04:30:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x2fe9b8…