Ornate-Flight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$181

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-02 16:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 100% +$1

Other

36% — —

Sports

6% 100% +$0

Tech

3% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	7	$2.6K	1,200	1,450	-250	open	—	05-28 21:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	3	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	05-19 19:09
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	13	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	05-12 15:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	05-20 14:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	2	$998	500	500	+0	open	—	06-02 16:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$994	500	500	+0	open	—	05-27 11:41
epl ast sun 2026 04 19 ast	1	$846	861	0	+861	open	—	04-19 14:44
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	3	$797	400	400	+0	open	—	05-11 05:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$795	400	400	+0	open	—	05-26 12:47
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	3	$686	400	400	+0	open	—	04-26 07:32
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	12	$511	3,050	3,050	+0	open	—	04-27 11:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	2	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	04-30 10:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$395	200	200	+0	open	—	04-22 06:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	1	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	05-13 09:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	1	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	05-21 10:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	1	$299	300	0	+300	Yes	+$1	05-12 10:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$294	200	200	+0	open	—	05-04 15:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	05-07 10:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	05-10 14:04
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	3	$117	60	60	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 21:02
nba orl det 2026 04 19	1	$100	125	0	+125	open	—	04-19 13:53
Knicks vs. Hawks	1	$100	213	0	+213	open	—	04-25 17:07
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	1	$100	196	0	+196	open	—	04-25 17:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	05-08 09:30
nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	2	$95	134	0	+134	open	—	04-18 03:08
nba min den 2026 04 20	1	$60	83	0	+83	open	—	04-20 14:23
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$59	100	0	+100	open	—	04-17 19:36
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$50	82	0	+82	open	—	04-27 01:37
nba den min 2026 04 23	1	$50	91	0	+91	open	—	04-23 13:24
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$50	68	0	+68	open	—	04-24 14:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 16:46:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0xad8c22…
06-02 09:46:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xcf0794…
05-29 07:29:16	Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1510 and 1520?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x0ced07…
05-29 02:44:38	Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1510 and 1520?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6b0f51…
05-28 21:53:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0x1c9dd2…
05-28 09:29:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0x461bc1…
05-27 11:41:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x61fce5…
05-27 06:02:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$497	0x772095…
05-26 12:47:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$398	0x492fda…
05-26 09:11:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	400	99¢	$397	0x000fa6…
05-22 12:27:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	250	99¢	$247	0x7311bf…
05-22 01:33:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	250	99¢	$247	0x221c47…
05-21 11:01:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$247	0xf7255e…
05-21 10:15:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xb5b4fb…
05-21 07:51:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	550	99¢	$543	0xf9649f…
05-21 06:31:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	550	99¢	$542	0x3c6fb2…
05-20 14:01:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	SELL	600	99¢	$596	0x11a997…
05-20 08:59:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	600	99¢	$595	0x866f92…
05-19 19:09:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	700	100¢	$699	0x7e3ec1…
05-19 09:51:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	682	100¢	$681	0xb8f663…
05-19 09:39:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf6b92b…
05-13 09:59:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xeb8895…
05-12 15:43:32	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0xeb5b06…
05-12 12:28:43	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xcdf3fe…
05-12 12:13:00	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$142	0x0e97a3…
05-12 10:51:36	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$168	0xcaa051…
05-12 10:00:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xf3ef46…
05-11 06:30:24	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0x42cc0a…
05-11 05:03:22	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	SELL	397	100¢	$395	0xf363eb…
05-11 04:09:28	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb312c2…
05-11 03:49:53	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0xf8bef3…
05-10 14:04:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x47b9b2…
05-09 09:30:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x945f4f…
05-08 09:30:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf4f208…
05-08 08:10:38	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	93	99¢	$93	0xe9b7a5…
05-08 08:00:01	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x37df2a…
05-08 07:34:09	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x66562d…
05-08 07:29:48	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb286f1…
05-08 07:13:49	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x48566f…
05-08 06:34:54	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6cfce6…
05-08 04:44:22	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0xbec92c…
05-07 10:56:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xdaea43…
05-07 10:54:51	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x3b4649…
05-04 15:12:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0xbe4fb9…
05-03 08:10:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0xa92d72…
04-30 10:25:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xa3b698…
04-30 03:01:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xa1afe2…
04-27 11:09:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	455	6¢	$27	0xf18c0d…
04-27 11:09:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xb34722…
04-27 11:09:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	1,906	6¢	$114	0x45a6f0…
04-27 11:08:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x87e615…
04-27 11:08:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	159	6¢	$10	0xdea745…
04-27 11:08:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xa3056f…
04-27 11:08:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	45	6¢	$3	0x22d7e2…
04-27 11:07:14	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	419	6¢	$25	0x057242…
04-27 04:30:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x2fe9b8…
04-27 01:37:36	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x84042d…
04-26 14:21:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2,842	11¢	$313	0xca1a3e…
04-26 14:21:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0xac8ed1…
04-26 07:32:24	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	SELL	400	86¢	$344	0xd3bec1…
04-25 19:24:22	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x8ea6f7…
04-25 18:00:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xe8d29c…
04-25 17:07:28	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x9834f7…
04-25 17:07:10	Knicks vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xa7cdf4…
04-25 10:56:10	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x3b80fc…
04-24 21:02:02	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	60	98¢	$58	0x074b67…
04-24 14:08:02	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0xa3688a…
04-24 14:07:42	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x864e7d…
04-23 13:24:22	nba den min 2026 04 23	Nuggets	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xddb5cf…
04-23 13:24:04	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	Knicks	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xe9156a…
04-22 06:04:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x0085ff…
04-21 11:20:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0x61a1f9…
04-21 01:34:14	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xf558e5…
04-21 01:32:06	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x76c189…
04-20 14:23:02	nba min den 2026 04 20	Nuggets	BUY	83	72¢	$60	0x865b4e…
04-20 14:22:48	nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	Knicks	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xbbddd7…
04-20 14:22:34	nba tor cle 2026 04 20	Cavaliers	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x356f46…
04-19 14:44:22	epl ast sun 2026 04 19 ast	Yes	BUY	861	98¢	$846	0x95d648…
04-19 13:54:54	nba por sas 2026 04 19	Trail Blazers	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x6b2d62…
04-19 13:53:24	nba orl det 2026 04 19	Pistons	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x431d95…
04-19 13:52:30	nba phi bos 2026 04 19	76ers	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x9d9263…
04-18 19:05:00	nba atl nyk 2026 04 18	Knicks	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x974cc4…
04-18 19:04:44	nba min den 2026 04 18	Nuggets	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x6b24f5…
04-18 03:08:36	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Suns	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xbd9e08…
04-17 19:36:02	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x544a6c…
04-17 12:32:30	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Suns	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x33a5c5…
04-17 12:30:54	nba cha orl 2026 04 17	Hornets	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x6fa7ce…