Graceful-Vellum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.8%

Resolved

2,006

Trades

2,072

lifetime

Volume

$20.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-27 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 218 days

Categories

Other

81% 98% -$3

Sports

15% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 97% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:06	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c9ce4…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41d5dc…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe7067a…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe34ff2…
10-23 06:10:05	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4a34f…
10-21 17:08:39	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe273fb…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f88e1…
10-20 18:39:09	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdbb41e…
10-19 18:51:59	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb17228…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf06d70…
10-15 20:32:41	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7f2c45…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ed1b8…
10-14 20:56:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32c421…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6c297…
10-13 20:58:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8b96cb…
10-13 14:15:25	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeb291a…
10-12 09:05:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb03f82…
10-11 20:16:13	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x325df6…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa116d5…
10-11 10:26:14	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed5c76…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1a1fc…
10-10 10:21:46	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x913037…
10-09 02:09:59	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3800b…
10-08 07:10:49	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xef5c72…
10-07 14:42:13	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb92822…
10-07 10:16:24	Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc1be37…
10-07 06:30:53	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6a8d8f…
10-06 20:46:27	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7bb600…
10-06 16:07:30	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f0b59…
10-04 23:23:19	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc67eac…
10-04 20:17:38	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf35e49…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xca1bd8…
10-03 14:50:32	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ad723…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa7c7e8…
10-03 05:54:29	wta sakkari hunter 2026 10 01	Maria Sakkari	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x366a9a…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ae4e2…
10-02 14:15:29	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x639977…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2cef02…
10-01 20:46:18	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb3e606…
10-01 20:42:27	Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9353cc…
10-01 20:36:03	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd70c6c…
10-01 16:08:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe48d74…
10-01 12:07:32	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x951bc7…
10-01 11:41:47	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xed9b9f…
10-01 06:03:11	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71f16b…
10-01 05:16:09	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb3d37e…
10-01 04:48:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd5b35…
09-30 23:54:57	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa030b2…
09-30 01:58:15	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd757a6…
09-29 13:58:48	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39935c…
09-29 13:21:26	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x29a8c3…
09-29 13:16:03	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13a781…
09-29 00:46:30	atp dickers pereir 2026 09 28	Jose Pereira	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6bc361…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ccf6f…
09-28 10:07:56	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf6188…
09-27 20:41:56	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1418db…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfe97c1…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea12b5…
09-27 12:11:59	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb9071f…
09-26 23:23:50	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31552d…
09-26 20:05:59	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x762187…
09-26 16:16:57	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d3846…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee1652…
09-25 22:57:44	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1e977b…
09-24 20:45:09	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e3e38…
09-23 22:37:43	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1347cd…
09-23 16:27:36	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae3abe…
09-23 04:45:05	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb77c4f…
09-21 18:44:34	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8b897d…
09-21 13:01:35	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc59f2f…
09-21 04:47:01	itf ishii1 suzuki2 2026 09 21	Sayaka Ishii	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa40b35…
09-20 22:25:40	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ce40c…
09-20 21:48:07	Will Panaitolikos Agrinio win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7cb71…
09-20 21:08:28	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0c278…
09-20 20:53:01	KKS Lech Poznan leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x81c300…
09-20 16:13:28	Will FC Zlín win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x728777…
09-20 02:59:37	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6aee8c…
09-20 00:02:52	Southeastern Louisiana vs. Louisiana-Monroe	Southeastern Louisiana	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc22a39…
09-19 01:33:06	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfed7d3…
09-18 20:03:36	Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xafce63…
09-18 19:14:45	Valencia: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Joelle Steur	Joelle Steur	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x221d80…
09-18 00:54:24	Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x83843c…
09-17 17:27:06	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x290fdd…
09-17 14:00:49	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7abbb4…
09-16 12:24:48	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe15097…
09-16 01:10:06	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3c86b…
09-15 16:15:00	cs2 wraith morrow 2026 09 15	MORROW	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x626216…
09-15 12:58:34	Valencia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Eva Vedder	Jennifer Ruggeri	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73c061…
09-14 04:36:52	atp peliwo ziegann 2026 09 13	Filip Peliwo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe42e25…
09-13 14:59:10	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff7c22…
09-13 09:00:21	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on September 12?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd047d…
09-13 02:51:25	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x480e8b…
09-12 17:08:25	European T20 Premier League: Dublin Guardians vs Glasgow Cosmic	Glasgow Cosmic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2ef37…
09-12 09:32:25	Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing	Max Basing	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2cff9a…
09-11 21:06:31	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55e2df…
09-11 10:50:04	Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Masur	Daniel Masur	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95cbb0…
09-11 02:58:30	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba531d…
09-10 19:00:03	USA vs. Hungary/Japan	USA	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8dee7f…
09-10 18:48:24	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd2f882…
09-10 17:31:49	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x29bf24…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:01
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 02:05
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23 set totals 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Under 2.5	+$0	03-19 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 25?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-25 02:08
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-28 16:31
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:53
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:36
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:10
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:36
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:31
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 03:59
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-25 16:25
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:52
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:13