Rotten-Gland — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

96.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$151

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-13 02:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

76% 97% +$41

Politics

10% 75% -$41

Sports

9% 100% +$1

Crypto

6% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 30, 2026?	No		+95	$92	97¢	$92	+$0	11-13 02:10
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in November?	No		+60	$59	98¢	$59	-$1	11-13 02:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$128	129	0	+129	Yes	+$1	06-15 08:03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$115	119	0	+119	No	+$4	04-18 07:08
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	03-27 02:47
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in October?	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	10-19 08:24
will deepseek have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	02-03 08:08
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-09 07:07
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 30, 2026?	1	$92	95	0	+95	open	—	11-13 02:10
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 27?	3	$89	100	0	+100	Yes	+$11	07-27 08:57
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in November?	1	$59	60	0	+60	open	—	11-13 02:16
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$55	53	53	+0	Yes	-$45	04-18 07:07
will trump meet with kim jong un in march 2026 215	1	$54	55	0	+55	No	+$1	03-07 09:44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	2	$54	55	0	+55	No	+$1	09-14 03:56
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	02-03 08:35
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of march	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	03-27 02:58
will wti dip to 80 by april 6 2026	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	04-05 21:54
will deepseek have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$50	52	0	+52	No	+$2	03-07 09:43
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in July?	1	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$1	07-29 03:47
hengam island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013456856	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	07-27 09:02
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	07-29 03:48
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	10-19 08:21
greater tunb island no longer under iranian control by september 30	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	08-29 12:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	08-29 12:53
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	04-09 09:44
will wti reach 145 by april 6 2026	2	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	04-06 07:06
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	1	$28	30	0	+30	No	+$2	08-09 09:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	1	$27	28	0	+28	No	+$1	05-16 11:15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	1	$27	30	0	+30	Yes	+$3	05-16 11:13
world cup fastest goal in a final record broken 20260609182956386	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	07-09 15:06
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?	1	$22	30	0	+30	Yes	+$8	05-16 11:13
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of July 27 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-29 03:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 02:16:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in November?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x8aceb1…
11-13 02:10:40	Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	95	97¢	$92	0xa1dc67…
10-19 08:24:00	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in October?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xe73e4f…
10-19 08:21:48	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x942e0d…
09-14 03:56:07	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x69e359…
09-14 03:04:39	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xadd3f0…
08-29 12:55:24	will a european country take military action on iran by october 31	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xd594c6…
08-29 12:54:10	greater tunb island no longer under iranian control by september 30	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xea81c4…
08-29 12:53:54	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x00c85b…
08-29 12:53:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x774832…
08-09 09:17:00	will wti reach 110 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0dca12…
08-09 09:16:49	will wti dip to 50 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x43e0cb…
08-09 09:16:42	will wti dip to 45 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7f37c2…
08-09 09:15:48	will mu dip to 690 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4e935e…
08-09 09:13:30	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by september 30 20260728195821515	No	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x7aa601…
08-09 09:13:13	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x22d23f…
07-29 03:48:09	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0x02b674…
07-29 03:47:21	Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in July?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x4df3c1…
07-29 03:43:14	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of July 27 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5edfeb…
07-27 09:02:40	hengam island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013456856	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x0e0919…
07-27 08:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x9f99b7…
07-27 08:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xf4bdb1…
07-27 08:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x44bb33…
07-09 15:06:56	world cup fastest goal in a final record broken 20260609182956386	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x74f2d4…
06-15 08:03:55	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	129	99¢	$128	0x1b55f7…
05-16 11:15:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xc0e41d…
05-16 11:13:18	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x92537a…
05-16 11:13:01	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	Yes	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x2fdd5c…
05-16 11:12:31	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xf118b3…
05-16 11:12:15	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0xfd58f7…
05-16 11:11:37	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xcb85f0…
04-18 07:08:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	119	97¢	$115	0x0d327b…
04-18 07:07:14	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	53	9¢	$5	0x9fa51e…
04-09 09:44:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xcdf99f…
04-06 07:06:05	will wti reach 145 by april 6 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x412876…
04-05 22:15:59	will wti reach 145 by april 6 2026	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xa86098…
04-05 21:54:51	will wti dip to 80 by april 6 2026	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xb8f024…
04-05 21:52:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xdee5be…
03-27 02:58:33	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of march	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x8ad994…
03-27 02:47:57	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x2626fe…
03-07 09:44:05	will trump meet with kim jong un in march 2026 215	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xb5534d…
03-07 09:43:31	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xcf2d72…
03-07 09:43:11	will deepseek have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xd21e02…
02-03 08:35:12	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	53	99¢	$53	0x67d1f2…
02-03 08:08:04	will deepseek have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x935a7c…
01-09 07:07:40	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xef34a9…