Loving-Inglenook — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$1.02K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.76K

Hit rate

45.8%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

464

1,345 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$9.96K

$63.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

$346

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 19:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

59% 60% -$534

Tech

14% 86% +$667

Sports

11% 93% +$107

Politics

9% 80% +$157

Pop-Culture

6% 78% +$428

Crypto

1% 100% +$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	+200	$130	93¢	$187	+$57	05-03 17:45
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	No	+3,000	$2,376	2¢	$57	-$2,319	09-30 20:44
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	+200	$129	24¢	$48	-$81	09-30 22:44
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	No	+200	$160	22¢	$44	-$116	04-30 09:50
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	No	+400	$308	2¢	$9	-$299	09-30 20:15
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	+20	$3	6¢	$1	-$2	05-03 17:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?	49	$3.4K	3,741	0	+3,741	Yes	+$324	04-06 15:17
will latvia win the 2026 iihf world junior championship	7	$2.9K	2,915	0	+2,915	No	+$7	01-02 22:30
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	16	$2.4K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	09-30 20:44
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?	4	$2.1K	2,675	0	+2,675	No	+$596	09-30 17:04
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	34	$2.0K	1,150	957	+193	No	-$21	02-18 12:37
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	45	$1.9K	1,686	700	+986	Yes	+$50	04-27 15:50
will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	10	$1.9K	1,039	1,039	-0	No	+$17	02-11 05:58
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	26	$1.7K	8,413	4,000	+4,413	No	-$541	09-30 19:49
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	3	$1.4K	1,400	0	+1,400	No	+$20	01-07 01:11
Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	31	$1.3K	1,325	1,300	+25	Yes	-$38	05-15 01:49
will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	7	$1.2K	1,300	200	+1,100	No	-$911	09-02 17:47
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	6	$1.2K	400	1,300	-900	No	+$626	02-10 00:24
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	11	$1.1K	773	800	-27	No	-$27	02-07 21:56
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	3	$982	500	500	+0	Yes	+$2	01-03 22:46
Will Drake feature Sampha on ICEMAN?	14	$924	700	453	+247	No	+$9	05-15 03:29
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?	9	$895	1,100	0	+1,100	Yes	+$205	09-02 17:10
Will Drake feature Morgan Wallen on ICEMAN?	32	$858	685	645	+40	No	+$33	05-08 19:48
will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	5	$855	641	400	+241	No	+$26	02-11 16:13
maduro mugshot released by january 9	2	$851	953	0	+953	No	+$2	01-10 03:03
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	9	$841	700	390	+310	Yes	-$65	02-28 06:51
Will "Six Seven" be said on ICEMAN?	15	$830	529	500	+29	No	+$39	05-04 15:41
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50m views in its first 7 days	4	$821	822	0	+822	No	+$1	02-10 18:03
Canadiens vs. Lightning	2	$810	1,000	1,000	+0	Canadiens	+$10	04-29 22:58
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	3	$800	500	400	+100	No	+$20	01-15 18:16
will lady gaga perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	1	$799	800	0	+800	Yes	+$1	02-09 01:26
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026?	19	$779	2,722	0	+2,722	No	-$557	09-30 17:05
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	2	$778	820	0	+820	Yes	+$42	05-19 14:56
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	20	$734	719	200	+519	Yes	+$121	05-28 15:52
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?	13	$704	400	347	+53	No	+$29	10-09 19:00
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	2	$672	400	400	+0	Yes	+$24	04-20 13:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 22:21:23	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc7f154…
10-28 22:21:23	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x96a1a2…
10-28 22:21:23	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x7a58d5…
10-28 22:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 29?	No	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xfeeb6d…
10-28 22:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 29?	No	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0xb4e5bf…
10-28 22:21:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 30?	No	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x559c4c…
10-28 22:21:22	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 29?	No	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0x552d7b…
10-28 22:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xebd757…
10-28 22:21:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xbb057d…
10-28 22:21:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x904f5a…
10-28 22:21:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 29?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x687655…
10-28 22:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x601fb3…
10-28 22:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xe1e7c6…
10-28 22:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xdf9e1c…
10-28 22:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x946b8b…
10-28 22:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x422ca6…
10-28 22:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x2c3013…
10-28 22:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x191f15…
10-28 22:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x74e3a7…
10-28 22:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x51df26…
10-28 22:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 30?	No	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xee79f1…
10-28 22:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xeb8c3b…
10-28 22:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x801b1c…
10-28 22:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x53646e…
10-28 22:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x503d40…
10-28 22:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$4	0x746b5a…
10-28 22:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x089aec…
10-28 19:42:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2d9cb7…
10-28 14:52:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8a3f42…
10-28 09:12:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xa925b8…
10-28 09:12:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x106b55…
10-28 08:32:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8086ab…
10-28 08:12:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe43ed9…
10-27 23:22:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x8bf624…
10-27 21:02:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x8a1915…
10-27 15:22:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc8212d…
10-27 13:52:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0d0d5b…
10-27 12:32:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x358e3d…
10-27 08:52:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6786b2…
10-27 01:22:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0fb798…
10-26 22:32:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x588d4e…
10-26 21:22:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x50f788…
10-26 20:12:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc512b9…
10-26 13:42:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x2cc41c…
10-26 12:32:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x6afd64…
10-26 10:52:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4da1c5…
10-26 10:22:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdf433e…
10-26 09:12:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1bbc0e…
10-26 09:12:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd194f3…
10-25 23:02:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xba41c2…
10-25 13:32:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8dbcdf…
10-25 11:52:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xe11245…
10-25 11:52:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc2157e…
10-25 10:52:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x48680b…
10-25 09:42:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x7ccece…
10-25 09:32:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xec1a35…
10-25 09:32:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa5c4be…
10-25 08:22:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe61a42…
10-25 08:22:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x464067…
10-25 08:22:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x31bf67…
10-25 06:52:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	No	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xb09ebe…
10-25 05:42:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xb66b89…
10-25 04:32:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x86b28d…
10-25 02:52:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x80896b…
10-25 01:42:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2f9a41…
10-24 22:12:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x3e4f62…
10-24 21:42:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5cf1c0…
10-24 19:42:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa92750…
10-24 14:32:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5b0d8e…
10-24 12:02:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xd318ad…
10-24 10:52:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x01bb4c…
10-24 09:52:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7896f3…
10-24 09:42:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x324263…
10-24 09:42:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x07f2b0…
10-24 08:52:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x10969c…
10-24 00:12:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x34adb4…
10-23 23:42:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x9b85e3…
10-23 23:12:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x080d58…
10-23 22:32:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xe87d3b…
10-23 20:02:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x128000…
10-23 20:02:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7307f5…
10-23 19:32:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7c6fc4…
10-23 18:12:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xec0dd1…
10-23 17:42:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x88828c…
10-23 16:12:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x4fb8ef…
10-23 15:02:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x9a2f5f…
10-23 14:02:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb88108…
10-23 13:02:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 24?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xfe9414…
10-23 13:02:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 25?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x7f8888…
10-23 12:42:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd1e8b5…
10-23 12:02:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xefb920…
10-23 11:32:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf0aab5…
10-23 11:12:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbe6f99…
10-23 10:52:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 24?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x366d9a…
10-23 10:22:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe4a5a3…
10-23 10:12:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc7da5d…
10-23 10:02:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x389321…
10-23 09:22:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xfd4c19…
10-23 09:22:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1bc268…
10-23 08:52:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x4d6b33…