Loving-Inglenook — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$2.78K

Hit rate

83.2%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

181

1,436 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$592

$64.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

$326

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 22:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Other

59% 58% -$537

Tech

14% 86% +$667

Sports

11% 93% +$107

Politics

9% 80% +$157

Pop-Culture

6% 78% +$428

Crypto

1% 100% +$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	+200	$130	94¢	$188	+$58	05-03 17:45
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	No	+200	$160	30¢	$61	-$99	04-30 09:50
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	+200	$129	18¢	$35	-$94	09-30 22:44
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	No	+3,000	$2,376	1¢	$34	-$2,341	09-30 20:44
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	No	+400	$308	2¢	$6	-$302	09-30 20:15
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	+20	$3	6¢	$1	-$2	05-03 17:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?	49	$3.4K	3,741	0	+3,741	Yes	+$324	04-06 15:17
will latvia win the 2026 iihf world junior championship	7	$2.9K	2,915	0	+2,915	No	+$7	01-02 22:30
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	16	$2.4K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	09-30 20:44
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?	4	$2.1K	2,675	0	+2,675	No	+$596	09-30 17:04
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	34	$2.0K	1,150	957	+193	No	-$21	02-18 12:37
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	45	$1.9K	1,686	700	+986	Yes	+$50	04-27 15:50
will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	10	$1.9K	1,039	1,039	-0	No	+$17	02-11 05:58
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	26	$1.7K	8,413	4,000	+4,413	No	-$541	09-30 19:49
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	3	$1.4K	1,400	0	+1,400	No	+$20	01-07 01:11
Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	31	$1.3K	1,325	1,300	+25	Yes	-$38	05-15 01:49
will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	7	$1.2K	1,300	200	+1,100	No	-$911	09-02 17:47
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	6	$1.2K	400	1,300	-900	No	+$626	02-10 00:24
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	11	$1.1K	773	800	-27	No	-$27	02-07 21:56
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	3	$982	500	500	+0	Yes	+$2	01-03 22:46
Will Drake feature Sampha on ICEMAN?	14	$924	700	453	+247	No	+$9	05-15 03:29
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?	9	$895	1,100	0	+1,100	Yes	+$205	09-02 17:10
Will Drake feature Morgan Wallen on ICEMAN?	32	$858	685	645	+40	No	+$33	05-08 19:48
will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	5	$855	641	400	+241	No	+$26	02-11 16:13
maduro mugshot released by january 9	2	$851	953	0	+953	No	+$2	01-10 03:03
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	9	$841	700	390	+310	Yes	-$65	02-28 06:51
Will "Six Seven" be said on ICEMAN?	15	$830	529	500	+29	No	+$39	05-04 15:41
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50m views in its first 7 days	4	$821	822	0	+822	No	+$1	02-10 18:03
Canadiens vs. Lightning	2	$810	1,000	1,000	+0	Canadiens	+$10	04-29 22:58
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	3	$800	500	400	+100	No	+$20	01-15 18:16
will lady gaga perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	1	$799	800	0	+800	Yes	+$1	02-09 01:26
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026?	19	$779	2,722	0	+2,722	No	-$557	09-30 17:05
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	2	$778	820	0	+820	Yes	+$42	05-19 14:56
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	20	$734	719	200	+519	Yes	+$121	05-28 15:52
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?	13	$704	400	347	+53	No	+$29	10-09 19:00
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	2	$672	400	400	+0	Yes	+$24	04-20 13:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 00:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	11	68¢	$8	0xdf8ddb…
10-30 00:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 30?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xeab630…
10-30 00:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc563ac…
10-30 00:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x8da55c…
10-30 00:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x7fbb1e…
10-30 00:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x228b84…
10-30 00:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 30?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x5e238a…
10-30 00:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$6	0x382b74…
10-29 22:52:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x275723…
10-29 20:12:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb32022…
10-29 19:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x26dcad…
10-29 19:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x064a99…
10-29 17:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe5de44…
10-29 17:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x073d9c…
10-29 17:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0xbe8d44…
10-29 17:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x99bd04…
10-29 17:04:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x78982c…
10-29 17:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x66076b…
10-29 16:12:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x98c9c2…
10-29 16:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x7796da…
10-29 16:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xb34ba8…
10-29 16:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x3e0fe6…
10-29 15:12:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x040476…
10-29 14:02:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x81c02c…
10-29 12:42:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x119647…
10-29 12:32:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xa5717e…
10-29 12:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xe9bbf2…
10-29 11:32:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x875cad…
10-29 11:22:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x59b91d…
10-29 10:42:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x12becc…
10-29 10:32:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x8800c4…
10-29 10:12:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x2100ce…
10-29 09:52:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xc236fe…
10-29 09:02:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x8dd68f…
10-29 08:52:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xb8591e…
10-29 08:52:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6b7ccc…
10-29 07:02:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x6a35c8…
10-29 06:03:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	29	26¢	$8	0x3da42f…
10-29 05:03:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 29?	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x12f024…
10-29 03:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x425775…
10-29 03:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0xc1a29f…
10-29 03:03:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x44fed9…
10-29 03:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x25fdde…
10-29 02:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 30?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xd681e6…
10-29 02:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	18	32¢	$6	0x45282c…
10-29 02:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x15159d…
10-29 01:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5e1f3e…
10-29 01:04:53	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 29?	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x45ea51…
10-29 01:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xfbc97a…
10-29 01:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0x25f840…
10-29 00:06:47	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xf050f9…
10-29 00:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xda78e5…
10-29 00:06:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 29?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$6	0xb4130f…
10-29 00:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xa24e2c…
10-29 00:06:46	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 30?	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x550dd7…
10-29 00:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x39954d…
10-29 00:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x936e59…
10-29 00:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$6	0x005d14…
10-29 00:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 29?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xfda91d…
10-29 00:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xdfcff4…
10-29 00:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb3c0b4…
10-29 00:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x918941…
10-29 00:06:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x623b2e…
10-29 00:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x12503a…
10-29 00:06:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x92947a…
10-28 23:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc353ad…
10-28 23:04:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 30?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xaa2d73…
10-28 23:04:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x67d24b…
10-28 23:04:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xf60abb…
10-28 23:04:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xdb0808…
10-28 23:03:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xd3d628…
10-28 23:03:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xd01645…
10-28 22:21:23	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc7f154…
10-28 22:21:23	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x96a1a2…
10-28 22:21:23	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x7a58d5…
10-28 22:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 29?	No	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xfeeb6d…
10-28 22:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 29?	No	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0xb4e5bf…
10-28 22:21:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 30?	No	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x559c4c…
10-28 22:21:22	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 29?	No	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0x552d7b…
10-28 22:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xebd757…
10-28 22:21:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xbb057d…
10-28 22:21:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x904f5a…
10-28 22:21:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 29?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x687655…
10-28 22:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x601fb3…
10-28 22:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xe1e7c6…
10-28 22:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xdf9e1c…
10-28 22:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x946b8b…
10-28 22:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x422ca6…
10-28 22:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x2c3013…
10-28 22:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x191f15…
10-28 22:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x74e3a7…
10-28 22:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x51df26…
10-28 22:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 30?	No	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xee79f1…
10-28 22:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xeb8c3b…
10-28 22:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x801b1c…
10-28 22:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x53646e…
10-28 22:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x503d40…
10-28 22:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$4	0x746b5a…
10-28 22:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x089aec…
10-28 19:42:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2d9cb7…