Realized P&L (24h)
-$12
Unrealized P&L
-$392
Hit rate
66.2%
Resolved (24h)
41
Trades (24h)
73
1,917 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$376
$66.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$389
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 10:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Other
61% 59% -$3,104
Tech
13% 86% +$667
Sports
11% 93% +$107
Politics
9% 77% +$224
Pop-Culture
6% 78% +$428
Crypto
1% 100% +$27
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +200 $160 26¢ $52 -$108 04-30 09:50
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? Yes +295 $247 14¢ $40 -$207 10-31 02:41
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes +40 $27 73¢ $29 +$3 11-05 16:38
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? Yes +165 $123 12¢ $21 -$102 11-05 15:29
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 6? No +13 $10 98¢ $13 +$3 11-05 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 6? No +13 $10 97¢ $13 +$3 11-04 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on November 6? No +12 $10 100¢ $12 +$3 11-05 11:03
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 7? No +13 $10 85¢ $11 +$2 11-05 15:03
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 6? No +13 $9 86¢ $11 +$2 11-05 14:03
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 6? No +11 $10 100¢ $11 +$1 11-04 18:05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on November 7? No +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$1 11-05 13:04
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on November 6? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$1 11-05 05:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 7? No +13 $10 78¢ $10 +$0 11-05 12:03
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on November 7? No +12 $9 84¢ $10 +$1 11-06 00:05
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 6? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 11-05 05:03
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 6? No +15 $10 66¢ $10 +$0 11-05 18:03
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on November 7? No +12 $10 84¢ $10 $0 11-06 03:05
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 6? No +10 $9 96¢ $9 +$0 11-05 02:03
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C on November 7? No +11 $10 83¢ $9 $0 11-05 10:03
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 7? Yes +22 $9 41¢ $9 $0 11-06 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on November 6? No +9 $9 100¢ $9 +$0 11-04 20:03
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 8? No — +14 $9 62¢ $9 $0 11-06 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6? No +8 $5 100¢ $8 +$3 11-06 03:05
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 7? No +9 $7 89¢ $8 +$1 11-05 22:03
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 7? No +10 $6 76¢ $8 +$2 11-06 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on November 7? Yes +31 $10 24¢ $8 -$2 11-06 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 7? No +12 $9 63¢ $8 -$2 11-05 18:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on November 7? Yes +12 $6 60¢ $7 +$1 11-05 17:03
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 6? No +7 $5 100¢ $7 +$2 11-05 04:03
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on November 6? No +7 $6 100¢ $7 +$1 11-06 00:05