Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 6?
No won
Total volume
$1,496
$676 in 24h
Trades
54
Unique wallets
36
Liquidity
$926
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-11-06
First seen
2026-11-04
last 11-06 12:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.4¢
(top1%: 16% YES on $30
vs crowd: 16% YES on $1.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $78 | $19 | +$59 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $60 | $854 | $795 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $38 | $32 | +$6 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $2 | $6 | $4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $5 | $26 | $21 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $6 | $829 | $823 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 3 | $2 | $2 | $0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $20 | $10 | +$10 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $132 | $45 | +$87 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x3a89…de7d | No | +553 | $538 | $538 | 2 | 11-06 09:54 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | +149 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 11-05 09:48 |
| Worthless-Omega 0x6b4a…3647 | Yes | +78 | $21 | $21 | 5 | 11-05 09:48 |
| Yellowish-Bin 0x9be5…6c75 | Yes | +65 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 11-05 06:56 |
| Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | +40 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-06 09:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x2dc2…cd31 | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 11-06 05:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +40 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 11-05 18:59 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-05 23:29 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 11-05 23:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x7287…5375 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 11-06 12:49 |
| Athletic-Trace 0x7b20…eb02 | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 11-05 18:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x3922…3aa4 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-05 23:29 |
| Kind-Neighbour 0x9775…b70d | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-05 13:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xea24…2cc8 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 11-05 06:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc37…afb6 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 11-05 06:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 11-05 06:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d10…dca1 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-05 23:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 11-05 13:56 |
| Bubbly-Vegetarianism 0x831d…3893 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-06 09:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a02…ad43 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-06 09:54 |
| Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 11-05 09:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xec62…9191 | Yes | +14 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-05 06:56 |
| Loving-Inglenook 0x1d5e…64dd | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-05 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xe73a…2335 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-06 12:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x78cb…f93e | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-05 09:48 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-06 12:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x520f…2d92 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-05 08:00 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-05 08:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x193a…8a58 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-05 18:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x84e8…5d3a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-04 12:25 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-06 12:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x193a…8a58 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-04 12:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x486c…6799 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-05 23:29 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-05 18:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x517e…0b70 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-05 18:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-06 12:49:03 | (anonymous) 0x7287…5375 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xc78847… |
| 11-06 12:49:03 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc78847… |
| 11-06 12:49:03 | (anonymous) 0xe73a…2335 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc78847… |
| 11-06 12:49:03 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc78847… |
| 11-06 09:54:28 | (anonymous) 0x3a02…ad43 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x876b00… |
| 11-06 09:54:28 | Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x876b00… |
| 11-06 09:54:28 | (anonymous) 0x3a89…de7d | No | BUY | 65 | 99¢ | $64 | 0x876b00… |
| 11-06 09:54:28 | Bubbly-Vegetarianism 0x831d…3893 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x876b00… |
| 11-06 05:29:30 | (anonymous) 0x2dc2…cd31 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4c33d1… |
| 11-06 05:29:30 | Putrid-Refund 0x7349…1a57 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4c33d1… |
| 11-05 23:29:04 | (anonymous) 0x2dc2…cd31 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xaca4f9… |
| 11-05 23:29:04 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xaca4f9… |
| 11-05 23:29:04 | Putrid-Refund 0x7349…1a57 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xaca4f9… |
| 11-05 23:29:04 | (anonymous) 0x5d10…dca1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xaca4f9… |
| 11-05 23:29:04 | (anonymous) 0x3a89…de7d | No | BUY | 488 | 97¢ | $474 | 0xaca4f9… |
| 11-05 23:29:04 | (anonymous) 0x3b22…6f69 | No | SELL | 398 | 97¢ | $386 | 0xaca4f9… |
| 11-05 23:29:03 | (anonymous) 0x486c…6799 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x18b862… |
| 11-05 23:29:03 | (anonymous) 0x3922…3aa4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x18b862… |
| 11-05 23:29:03 | Bubbly-Vegetarianism 0x831d…3893 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x18b862… |
| 11-05 23:29:03 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x18b862… |
| 11-05 18:59:33 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xb397cf… |
| 11-05 18:59:33 | (anonymous) 0x517e…0b70 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xb397cf… |
| 11-05 18:59:31 | Athletic-Trace 0x7b20…eb02 | No | BUY | 25 | 88¢ | $22 | 0x24856f… |
| 11-05 18:59:31 | (anonymous) 0x193a…8a58 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x24856f… |
| 11-05 18:59:31 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x24856f… |
| 11-05 13:56:19 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0xcc9e12… |
| 11-05 13:56:19 | Kind-Neighbour 0x9775…b70d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xcc9e12… |
| 11-05 09:48:10 | (anonymous) 0x17d2…4142 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 23¢ | $11 | 0xdeccdf… |
| 11-05 09:48:10 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | BUY | 15 | 22¢ | $3 | 0xdeccdf… |
| 11-05 09:48:10 | (anonymous) 0x78cb…f93e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xdeccdf… |
| 11-05 09:48:10 | Worthless-Omega 0x6b4a…3647 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0xdeccdf… |
| 11-05 09:48:10 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xdeccdf… |
| 11-05 08:03:46 | Loving-Inglenook 0x1d5e…64dd | No | BUY | 13 | 75¢ | $10 | 0x88f233… |
| 11-05 08:03:46 | Worthless-Omega 0x6b4a…3647 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 25¢ | $3 | 0x88f233… |
| 11-05 08:00:37 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xc930e7… |
| 11-05 08:00:37 | (anonymous) 0x520f…2d92 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xc930e7… |
| 11-05 07:43:45 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 25¢ | $11 | 0x0070fb… |
| 11-05 07:43:45 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x0070fb… |
| 11-05 07:43:45 | Worthless-Omega 0x6b4a…3647 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x0070fb… |
| 11-05 07:42:25 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xea9f40… |
| 11-05 07:42:25 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xea9f40… |
| 11-05 06:56:51 | (anonymous) 0xea24…2cc8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x3cd521… |
| 11-05 06:56:51 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x3cd521… |
| 11-05 06:56:51 | Worthless-Omega 0x6b4a…3647 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x3cd521… |
| 11-05 06:56:51 | Yellowish-Bin 0x9be5…6c75 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 35¢ | $23 | 0x3cd521… |
| 11-05 06:56:51 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x3cd521… |
| 11-05 06:56:51 | (anonymous) 0x3b22…6f69 | No | BUY | 398 | 66¢ | $262 | 0x3cd521… |
| 11-05 06:56:51 | (anonymous) 0xcc37…afb6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x3cd521… |
| 11-05 06:56:51 | (anonymous) 0x17d2…4142 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 33¢ | $16 | 0x3cd521… |
| 11-05 06:56:51 | (anonymous) 0xec62…9191 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x3cd521… |
| 11-05 06:56:51 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | BUY | 134 | 34¢ | $46 | 0x3cd521… |
| 11-05 06:56:51 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 35¢ | $18 | 0x3cd521… |
| 11-04 12:25:24 | (anonymous) 0x193a…8a58 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x43d701… |
| 11-04 12:25:24 | (anonymous) 0x84e8…5d3a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x43d701… |