Bouncy-Land — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$55

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 07-21 05:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% 75% +$6

Crypto

34% — —

Tech

8% — —

Politics

7% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	+18	$10	76¢	$14	+$4	06-17 19:03
Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	+20	$10	63¢	$13	+$3	06-21 08:08
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	+16	$10	66¢	$10	+$0	07-17 05:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+62	$14	14¢	$8	$-6	07-06 07:30
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	+9	$5	76¢	$6	+$1	06-01 20:46
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	Yes	+32	$14	8¢	$3	$-12	06-16 01:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on april 9 2026	4	$541	785	754	+31	open	—	04-09 15:02
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$307	209	209	+0	open	—	03-27 21:53
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$195	257	0	+257	open	—	04-03 23:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$88	60	60	+0	open	—	07-08 00:46
Kash Patel out by June 30?	1	$54	0	56	-56	open	—	06-26 07:42
gpt 5pt6 released by june 23 2026	2	$35	24	24	+0	open	—	06-20 07:34
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$33	23	23	+0	open	—	07-03 04:32
next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	1	$32	61	0	+61	open	—	07-17 05:16
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$30	19	19	+0	open	—	05-29 06:39
gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	2	$15	34	34	+0	open	—	07-08 03:26
will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	06-27 08:39
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 23:16
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	2	$14	32	0	+32	open	—	06-16 01:11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	3	$14	62	0	+62	open	—	07-06 07:30
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	2	$14	10	10	+0	paiN	+$6	05-12 23:55
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	05-30 06:23
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	06-01 08:31
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	06-17 18:57
Kash Patel out by December 31?	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	06-21 08:08
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-27 20:39
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	07-11 08:53
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	07-21 05:40
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	07-17 05:12
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	06-17 19:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 22:15
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	06-08 17:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$7	0	9	-9	open	—	06-13 17:32
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	2	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	05-15 15:44
will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	1	$7	11	0	+11	open	—	07-03 04:41
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	1	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	06-17 19:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 05:40:31	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x55f0b6…
07-17 05:16:48	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	61	53¢	$32	0xafdb7c…
07-17 05:12:51	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xa03e24…
07-11 08:53:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb193c7…
07-08 03:26:04	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	SELL	34	16¢	$5	0x33b6e7…
07-08 00:46:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0x77d4ba…
07-06 07:30:31	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	17¢	$8	0xeaf0e3…
07-06 07:29:08	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x9fb364…
07-03 04:41:44	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0xb70851…
07-03 04:32:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	23	92¢	$21	0xe4e5ac…
06-27 08:41:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x3abeb8…
06-27 08:39:20	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xfea994…
06-26 07:45:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x513358…
06-26 07:42:43	Kash Patel out by June 30?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$54	0x7670e7…
06-21 08:22:29	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x1155ee…
06-21 08:08:46	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb2938f…
06-20 08:02:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xb074f9…
06-20 07:58:50	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xbcadf5…
06-20 07:34:08	gpt 5pt6 released by june 23 2026	No	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0xbfceb7…
06-17 19:03:08	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xf16ac8…
06-17 19:02:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xe4b6e9…
06-17 18:57:53	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xae016c…
06-16 01:43:39	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xb84d07…
06-16 01:11:00	OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0x9beab1…
06-16 00:58:06	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x4eabf7…
06-13 17:38:16	gpt 5pt6 released by june 23 2026	No	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0x2edaa7…
06-13 17:32:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0xc801d7…
06-08 20:05:40	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x63dafe…
06-08 17:32:18	cs2 g2 big5 2026 06 08	BIG	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x152994…
06-08 17:29:58	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa86534…
06-08 17:21:21	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0xa09a5e…
06-01 21:01:11	OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x93be65…
06-01 20:46:46	Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xf3a2a2…
06-01 08:35:48	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x737649…
06-01 08:31:11	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xdf11f1…
05-30 06:23:50	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	9	84¢	$7	0x87bc88…
05-30 06:21:58	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xf90edf…
05-29 06:39:15	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0xb720d4…
05-28 08:16:53	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb850d7…
05-28 08:02:53	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xafc35c…
05-27 22:04:30	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x65ad98…
05-27 14:12:37	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$2	0x636a0a…
05-26 23:44:04	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$3	0xaf06af…
05-24 17:03:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa82c44…
05-23 08:44:18	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x1b20a5…
05-23 00:04:52	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfd7ef3…
05-22 23:58:46	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x9bfbda…
05-16 15:05:37	Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	Virtus.pro	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x170578…
05-15 23:16:53	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Falcons	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc56538…
05-15 16:09:02	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6ac662…
05-15 15:44:20	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x04e767…
05-15 06:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x11be6e…
05-15 06:05:30	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x3ffc0c…
05-15 02:39:36	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x7b5ace…
05-15 02:38:37	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x89aaab…
05-14 22:15:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xa1dc0a…
05-14 06:33:32	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdd541d…
05-13 18:38:38	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Legacy	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xa88e3f…
05-13 18:36:53	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Liquid	BUY	31	23¢	$7	0xc7fb8c…
05-13 00:09:04	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Legacy	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x653b34…
05-12 23:55:55	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	paiN	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb38d0a…
05-12 20:16:35	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	paiN	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x7740e3…
05-10 08:42:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x7c37ee…
04-27 20:39:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xa95ae7…
04-15 06:51:20	btc updown 5m 1776235800	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3730c1…
04-09 15:02:05	bitcoin up or down on april 9 2026	Up	SELL	214	21¢	$46	0x1fc4de…
04-09 14:58:41	bitcoin up or down on april 9 2026	Up	SELL	214	25¢	$54	0x5c7f9a…
04-09 14:52:25	bitcoin up or down on april 9 2026	Up	SELL	326	25¢	$82	0x2fc1cb…
04-08 19:08:01	bitcoin up or down on april 9 2026	Up	BUY	785	46¢	$360	0x07d732…
04-03 23:57:25	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	257	76¢	$195	0xc5fbc1…
03-27 21:53:25	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	209	98¢	$205	0xc21e33…
03-21 04:52:25	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	209	49¢	$102	0x7ae05d…