Mild-Estate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$257

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 09-07 14:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Sports

57% 45% -$5

Other

30% 93% +$9

Crypto

14% 100% +$3

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	3	$3.8K	1,892	1,885	+7	No	-$2	02-01 12:57
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$2.7K	1,347	1,340	+7	No	-$1	02-03 13:05
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 280 299	1	$1.8K	1,849	0	+1,849	No	+$2	02-02 05:24
will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	1	$1.5K	1,471	0	+1,471	No	+$1	01-29 05:39
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$999	500	500	+0	No	-$1	02-03 13:05
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 240plus	1	$844	845	0	+845	No	+$1	01-27 04:45
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 40 64	1	$404	407	0	+407	No	+$4	01-28 05:39
nba sac nyk 2026 01 27	1	$403	403	0	+403	Knicks	+$0	01-28 02:51
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 480 499	1	$400	401	0	+401	No	+$1	01-27 04:44
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	1	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	01-27 04:45
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$66	67	0	+67	No	+$1	08-09 14:18
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	04-21 06:39
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$55	56	0	+56	No	+$1	02-16 07:37
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	04-21 06:39
Will XRP reach $3.00 in June?	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	06-13 12:52
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$34	35	0	+35	No	+$1	05-17 02:39
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	06-14 13:45
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 0 19	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	01-31 07:55
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-15 13:47
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 100 119	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	01-26 11:49
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	08-07 14:04
will solana dip to 10 in september 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	09-07 14:43
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	02-03 13:05
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 300 319	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	02-02 14:03
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 240plus	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	03-11 13:51
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 40 64	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-02 05:24
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-27 04:42
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-31 03:33
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-15 13:46
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	03-11 13:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-07 14:43:07	will solana dip to 10 in september 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf570b8…
09-07 14:42:54	will bitcoin dip to 55k in september 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xfa5590…
08-09 14:18:54	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xc7b529…
08-07 14:04:10	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x76a37a…
07-31 03:33:51	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc5e3ce…
07-31 03:33:33	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa62768…
07-31 03:33:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe69640…
06-14 13:45:00	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xbf64f2…
06-13 12:53:15	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x46284d…
06-13 12:53:04	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x619e23…
06-13 12:52:51	Will XRP reach $3.00 in June?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x7d16a6…
05-17 02:39:59	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x54dfc8…
05-15 13:47:05	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd91eb3…
05-15 13:46:53	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xef1d5d…
05-15 13:46:42	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcd2f53…
04-21 06:39:14	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xc7da56…
04-21 06:39:00	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x6fc3f9…
03-28 12:35:03	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xed360d…
03-28 12:34:43	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 460 479	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5fe434…
03-11 13:52:05	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xab53ad…
03-11 13:51:43	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 240plus	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa99219…
03-11 13:51:31	nba hou den 2026 03 11	Nuggets	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb8f0c6…
03-11 13:51:23	nba cle orl 2026 03 11	Cavaliers	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x790a0d…
02-16 07:37:37	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x393a06…
02-16 07:37:09	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 580plus	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8f526a…
02-16 07:36:55	bitcoin above 74k on february 16	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x58c81c…
02-16 07:36:43	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 420 439	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfd4436…
02-03 13:05:56	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x488677…
02-03 13:05:44	Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$499	0x455623…
02-03 13:05:38	Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	1,340	100¢	$1,335	0x9a1395…
02-03 06:15:46	Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1,347	100¢	$1,343	0x779c47…
02-03 06:13:36	Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x4a2961…
02-02 14:03:16	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 300 319	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb6b17e…
02-02 05:24:18	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 280 299	No	BUY	1,849	100¢	$1,848	0xaa8dee…
02-02 05:24:02	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 40 64	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe0e611…
02-01 12:58:46	nba okc den 2026 02 01	Nuggets	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x32d6ba…
02-01 12:57:20	Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	1,412	100¢	$1,409	0x92ed52…
02-01 12:55:16	Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	473	100¢	$472	0x4ff4a2…
02-01 09:11:20	nba bkn det 2026 02 01	Pistons	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0xcc5d40…
02-01 09:10:58	Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	1,892	100¢	$1,890	0x82306c…
01-31 07:55:06	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 0 19	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x122fae…
01-29 05:40:24	nba sac phi 2026 01 29	76ers	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0x769db6…
01-29 05:40:08	nba okc min 2026 01 29	Thunder	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd905c6…
01-29 05:39:50	will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	No	BUY	1,471	100¢	$1,470	0xf4204e…
01-28 05:39:11	elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 40 64	No	BUY	407	99¢	$404	0xb9643d…
01-28 02:51:11	nba sac nyk 2026 01 27	Knicks	BUY	403	100¢	$403	0x46f5fb…
01-27 04:45:59	elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 240plus	No	BUY	845	100¢	$844	0x945253…
01-27 04:45:09	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xb13155…
01-27 04:44:01	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 480 499	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0xf7971f…
01-27 04:42:59	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa58956…
01-26 11:49:49	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 100 119	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x739f05…
01-26 11:49:33	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 740plus	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x036e03…
01-26 11:48:57	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x20076d…
01-26 11:48:27	nba mem hou 2026 01 26	Rockets	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x3a95b1…