Realized P&L (7d)
+$163
Unrealized P&L
+$303
Hit rate
73.1%
Resolved (7d)
391
Trades (7d)
1,891
19,155 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$7.83K
$77.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.13K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-14
last 10-28 19:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Other
73% 42% +$470
Crypto
22% 52% +$598
Politics
4% 47% +$106
Sports
1% 33% -$25
Tech
1% 31% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 1565 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +246 $89 98¢ $241 +$152 10-25 21:58
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +90 $56 82¢ $74 +$18 10-05 11:43
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? No +64 $47 99¢ $64 +$17 10-20 06:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +50 $21 99¢ $50 +$29 10-13 11:43
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +40 $34 100¢ $39 +$5 10-27 11:07
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +40 $36 98¢ $39 +$3 10-25 17:09
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +40 $30 95¢ $38 +$8 10-28 16:40
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +59 $31 63¢ $37 +$6 10-28 03:36
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +40 $24 84¢ $34 +$10 10-28 14:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +35 $30 96¢ $33 +$4 10-27 17:25
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +40 $33 77¢ $31 -$3 10-15 10:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +50 $24 60¢ $30 +$6 10-23 22:01
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +30 $26 94¢ $28 +$3 10-27 17:50
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +29 $13 96¢ $28 +$14 10-10 06:21
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +30 $22 90¢ $27 +$5 10-20 17:16
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +30 $24 90¢ $27 +$3 09-21 14:04
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +30 $27 86¢ $26 -$1 10-28 10:41
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +30 $24 84¢ $25 +$1 10-12 13:19
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +30 $24 84¢ $25 +$1 10-07 20:24
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +30 $25 77¢ $23 -$2 10-27 18:56
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +23 $23 100¢ $23 +$0 10-13 20:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +30 $20 74¢ $22 +$2 10-24 19:04
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +30 $22 74¢ $22 $0 10-25 16:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +30 $18 73¢ $22 +$4 10-25 21:53
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +32 $21 68¢ $22 +$0 10-25 17:08
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? No +20 $19 100¢ $20 +$1 10-25 16:15
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? No +20 $18 100¢ $20 +$2 10-19 06:17
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $12 99¢ $20 +$7 10-06 04:50
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +20 $15 99¢ $20 +$4 10-18 14:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +20 $18 98¢ $20 +$2 10-17 01:22