Realized P&L
+$1.14K
Unrealized P&L
+$299
Hit rate
67.8%
Resolved
4,125
Trades
18,756
lifetime
Volume
$76.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.05K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-14
last 10-27 05:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Other
73% 42% +$448
Crypto
22% 52% +$609
Politics
4% 47% +$108
Sports
1% 33% -$25
Tech
1% 31% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 1565 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +246 $89 98¢ $241 +$152 10-25 21:58
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +90 $56 84¢ $75 +$19 10-05 11:43
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? No +64 $47 99¢ $64 +$17 10-20 06:00
Will Israel election happen as scheduled? Yes +50 $45 99¢ $50 +$5 10-22 13:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +50 $21 98¢ $49 +$28 10-13 11:43
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +40 $36 96¢ $38 +$2 10-25 17:09
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +40 $33 77¢ $31 -$3 10-15 10:50
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +30 $24 90¢ $27 +$3 09-21 14:04
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +30 $22 88¢ $27 +$5 10-20 17:16
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +29 $13 91¢ $26 +$13 10-10 06:21
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +30 $22 86¢ $26 +$4 10-17 19:48
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +30 $24 84¢ $25 +$1 10-12 13:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +50 $24 50¢ $25 +$0 10-23 22:01
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +30 $24 80¢ $24 +$0 10-07 20:24
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +23 $23 100¢ $23 +$0 10-13 20:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +30 $20 76¢ $23 +$3 10-24 19:04
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? No +21 $12 100¢ $21 +$9 10-25 14:35
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +30 $22 72¢ $21 -$1 10-25 16:02
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +32 $21 65¢ $21 $0 10-25 17:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? Yes +40 $12 50¢ $20 +$9 10-22 15:20
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? No +20 $19 100¢ $20 +$1 10-25 16:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +30 $18 66¢ $20 +$2 10-25 21:53
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? No +20 $18 99¢ $20 +$2 10-19 06:17
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $12 98¢ $20 +$7 10-06 04:50
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +20 $11 98¢ $20 +$9 09-24 13:20
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +20 $15 98¢ $20 +$4 10-18 14:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +20 $18 97¢ $19 +$1 10-17 01:22
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 10-23 17:21
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +20 $15 96¢ $19 +$4 10-22 20:29
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +20 $19 95¢ $19 +$0 10-26 20:52