Realized P&L (30d)
+$503
Unrealized P&L
+$305
Hit rate
66.5%
Resolved (30d)
1,827
Trades (30d)
8,295
18,893 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$34.1K
$76.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.09K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-14
last 10-27 20:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Other
73% 42% +$441
Crypto
22% 52% +$614
Politics
4% 47% +$114
Sports
1% 33% -$25
Tech
1% 31% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 1565 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +246 $89 98¢ $243 +$154 10-25 21:58
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +90 $56 84¢ $76 +$20 10-05 11:43
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? No +64 $47 99¢ $64 +$17 10-20 06:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +50 $21 98¢ $49 +$28 10-13 11:43
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +40 $34 98¢ $39 +$4 10-27 11:07
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +40 $36 96¢ $39 +$3 10-25 17:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +50 $24 74¢ $37 +$12 10-23 22:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +35 $30 96¢ $34 +$4 10-27 17:25
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +40 $33 79¢ $32 -$2 10-15 10:50
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +30 $22 93¢ $28 +$6 10-17 19:48
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +30 $26 92¢ $27 +$2 10-27 17:50
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +29 $13 94¢ $27 +$14 10-10 06:21
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +30 $24 90¢ $27 +$3 09-21 14:04
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +30 $22 89¢ $27 +$5 10-20 17:16
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +30 $24 84¢ $25 +$1 10-12 13:19
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +30 $24 80¢ $24 +$0 10-07 20:24
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +30 $15 78¢ $23 +$8 10-27 17:21
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +23 $23 100¢ $23 +$0 10-13 20:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +30 $20 76¢ $23 +$3 10-24 19:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +30 $18 72¢ $22 +$4 10-25 21:53
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +30 $22 72¢ $21 -$1 10-25 16:02
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +32 $21 66¢ $21 $0 10-25 17:08
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? No +20 $19 100¢ $20 +$1 10-25 16:15
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? No +20 $18 100¢ $20 +$2 10-19 06:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +20 $18 98¢ $20 +$2 10-17 01:22
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$1 10-26 20:52
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +20 $11 97¢ $19 +$9 09-24 13:20
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $12 96¢ $19 +$7 10-06 04:50
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +20 $15 96¢ $19 +$4 10-22 20:29
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +30 $25 64¢ $19 -$6 10-27 18:56