Realized P&L (90d)
+$1.15K
Unrealized P&L
+$299
Hit rate
67.7%
Resolved (90d)
4,203
Trades (90d)
19,237
19,237 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$78.3K
$78.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.15K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-14
last 10-29 07:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
73% 42% +$469
Crypto
22% 52% +$590
Politics
4% 47% +$112
Sports
1% 33% -$25
Tech
1% 31% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 1565 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +246 $89 98¢ $243 +$154 10-25 21:58
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +90 $56 82¢ $74 +$18 10-05 11:43
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? No +64 $47 99¢ $64 +$17 10-20 06:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +50 $21 99¢ $50 +$29 10-13 11:43
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +40 $36 99¢ $40 +$3 10-25 17:09
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +40 $34 99¢ $39 +$5 10-27 11:07
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +40 $24 93¢ $37 +$14 10-28 14:50
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +40 $30 91¢ $36 +$6 10-28 16:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +50 $24 72¢ $36 +$12 10-23 22:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +35 $30 97¢ $34 +$4 10-27 17:25
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +40 $36 80¢ $32 -$4 10-28 22:00
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +40 $33 77¢ $31 -$3 10-15 10:50
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +59 $31 52¢ $30 $0 10-28 03:36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +40 $27 72¢ $29 +$1 10-28 21:23
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +30 $26 94¢ $28 +$3 10-27 17:50
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +29 $13 96¢ $28 +$14 10-10 06:21
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +30 $24 90¢ $27 +$3 09-21 14:04
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +30 $22 88¢ $27 +$5 10-20 17:16
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +30 $24 84¢ $25 +$1 10-12 13:19
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +30 $24 82¢ $25 +$1 10-07 20:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +30 $18 82¢ $24 +$7 10-25 21:53
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +50 $22 48¢ $24 +$2 10-28 03:36
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +30 $25 77¢ $23 -$2 10-27 18:56
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +23 $23 100¢ $23 +$0 10-13 20:33
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +30 $22 74¢ $22 +$0 10-25 16:02
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +32 $21 66¢ $21 $0 10-25 17:08
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? No +20 $19 100¢ $20 +$1 10-25 16:15
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? No +20 $18 100¢ $20 +$2 10-19 06:17
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +20 $15 100¢ $20 +$5 10-18 14:18
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +20 $19 99¢ $20 +$1 10-26 20:52