Pertinent-Temptation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

Trades

471

lifetime

Volume

$5.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 08-10 19:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

74% 100% +$3

Politics

15% 20% $-7

Sports

6% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	38	$790	426	426	+0	open	—	05-28 20:59
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	15	$496	170	338	-168	open	—	06-29 20:29
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	8	$314	163	163	+0	open	—	04-05 16:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$260	135	151	-16	open	—	07-05 00:25
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	5	$244	131	131	+0	open	—	04-13 04:45
will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	14	$237	193	193	+0	open	—	02-22 01:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	11	$232	137	122	+15	open	—	04-27 09:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$223	133	142	-9	open	—	07-22 18:25
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	12	$216	256	12	+243	open	—	04-26 22:44
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	6	$182	111	77	+34	open	—	07-30 20:41
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	11	$161	90	90	+0	open	—	04-03 18:46
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	7	$157	104	77	+27	open	—	04-29 05:11
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$140	73	73	+0	open	—	03-31 20:37
another us bank failure by march 31	12	$130	75	75	+0	open	—	03-31 20:11
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	4	$114	65	65	+0	open	—	06-29 03:24
meta above 600 on january 30 2026	2	$104	54	54	+0	open	—	01-30 21:57
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	8	$102	158	0	+158	open	—	06-08 22:36
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	5	$95	174	0	+174	open	—	08-10 19:25
will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$90	131	130	+0	open	—	02-20 17:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	5	$83	264	0	+264	open	—	08-09 19:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	3	$60	75	0	+75	open	—	07-06 23:01
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	2	$59	58	10	+49	open	—	08-10 19:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$55	29	29	+0	open	—	05-12 18:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$54	54	0	+54	open	—	01-30 22:06
another us bank failure by february 28	4	$51	29	29	+0	open	—	02-11 21:16
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	2	$50	78	0	+78	open	—	07-22 18:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$49	53	20	+33	open	—	05-12 18:15
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	5	$46	171	0	+171	open	—	06-06 19:39
us iran nuclear deal by july 31	2	$37	59	0	+59	open	—	06-08 07:03
bitcoin above 66k on march 1	5	$35	37	24	+13	open	—	03-01 07:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 19:25:34	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x55997e…
08-10 19:25:16	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$3	0xdc335d…
08-10 19:23:36	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc148df…
08-10 19:22:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x71dc0c…
08-09 19:59:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2d04cc…
08-09 19:58:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x3995f0…
08-09 19:58:30	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x3fb99b…
08-08 20:32:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x397961…
08-08 20:32:13	US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf47dc3…
08-06 22:42:20	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x0f6f50…
08-06 22:41:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xb8eb21…
07-30 21:08:26	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	BUY	39	62¢	$24	0x9d9a3a…
07-30 20:42:18	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x82861d…
07-30 20:41:14	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xfa506d…
07-30 20:41:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xa5cf6c…
07-30 20:41:00	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc0f3ab…
07-24 21:49:16	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x0bf156…
07-22 18:31:18	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x0b19ad…
07-22 18:27:30	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x3453a3…
07-22 18:26:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x20f645…
07-22 18:26:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x6ec7a1…
07-22 18:26:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x62620c…
07-22 18:25:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	142	99¢	$140	0xe5db93…
07-06 23:01:28	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0xb39b48…
07-06 23:00:56	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x6d784c…
07-06 20:58:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	93	40¢	$37	0x1b2ce6…
07-06 20:56:32	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x99d09d…
07-05 00:46:04	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x104d59…
07-05 00:45:31	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	BUY	63	48¢	$30	0x8a3ad0…
07-05 00:26:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x698304…
07-05 00:26:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0x4caae4…
07-05 00:25:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	84¢	$41	0x18e7c7…
07-05 00:25:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	151	100¢	$150	0x5cfde6…
07-02 00:19:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x47a918…
06-29 20:29:32	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x3c49e4…
06-29 20:29:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x3ffd7e…
06-29 03:25:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	101	62¢	$63	0x1aa2ac…
06-29 03:24:38	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0x22de61…
06-11 09:27:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0xe2eaa5…
06-08 22:37:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x8aaf70…
06-08 22:36:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x1932d5…
06-08 22:36:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x7c37b4…
06-08 07:03:54	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	48	65¢	$31	0x6eda7e…
06-08 07:03:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x2b89d4…
06-07 22:13:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x572ae7…
06-07 22:13:16	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x5de6ba…
06-06 22:13:31	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	25	79¢	$19	0x0c40de…
06-06 22:13:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0xa0961e…
06-06 22:12:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	43	97¢	$41	0x1f3924…
06-06 19:39:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	28	76¢	$21	0x4a9a49…
06-06 19:39:16	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x371ecf…
06-06 19:38:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x685bba…
06-05 07:35:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x9bc7cc…
06-05 07:34:48	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x151505…
06-05 07:33:37	US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1ea2bc…
06-05 07:31:00	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x6c7325…
06-05 07:30:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x5d59a6…
06-05 07:30:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xa6b5f1…
06-05 02:07:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x07eae7…
06-05 02:06:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x1bd640…
06-03 09:00:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	73	80¢	$58	0x1e04f9…
06-03 09:00:11	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x1a5ce6…
06-03 07:54:23	US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x48b41b…
06-03 07:53:57	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xbb67e2…
06-03 07:53:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0xddf4d7…
06-03 00:53:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	170	97¢	$166	0x5703ed…
06-02 19:47:14	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x3a1428…
06-02 19:46:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf352c8…
06-02 19:46:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x503f62…
06-02 19:46:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0xe5768b…
06-02 19:46:04	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x82ca3b…
06-02 18:08:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6ef5b4…
06-02 02:45:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	32	67¢	$21	0xdda7d4…
06-02 02:45:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0xa3c1a7…
06-02 02:39:59	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xd4b83c…
06-02 02:39:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x75c17b…
06-01 18:49:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xc8936d…
06-01 18:48:40	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0x078009…
06-01 08:54:50	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb0f52a…
06-01 08:54:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0634b3…
06-01 08:14:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$6	0x53cd09…
06-01 08:10:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x5638f9…
06-01 08:09:54	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0xcd6c93…
06-01 08:09:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xb6b008…
05-31 08:30:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x86300e…
05-31 08:29:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbadbc2…
05-31 08:19:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2292df…
05-28 20:59:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	55	52¢	$28	0x072c8f…
05-28 20:59:32	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	140	25¢	$35	0xcb1c9b…
05-28 20:59:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0x6c801b…
05-19 21:39:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	31	95¢	$29	0xbedf49…
05-19 21:02:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0x8706cf…
05-19 20:58:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x5fb9f4…
05-19 20:11:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x2febdb…
05-17 02:59:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x34c59c…
05-16 23:18:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0x5bf5a0…
05-16 23:17:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$3	0xe10f2b…
05-16 08:29:02	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa2df80…
05-16 08:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe1ad27…
05-16 08:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2f0902…