Realized P&L (30d)
-$7
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
5.5%
Resolved (30d)
59
Trades (30d)
192
4,278 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$3.05K
$28.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$1.42K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-13
last 11-07 15:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Crypto
80% 65% +$498
Other
12% 21% -$91
Politics
5% 0% -$5
Sports
3% 50% -$4
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +214 $137 54¢ $114 -$22 10-31 01:51
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +214 $80 46¢ $100 +$20 10-28 01:00
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? Yes +100 $88 96¢ $96 +$7 11-06 22:29
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +100 $86 89¢ $89 +$3 11-07 03:09
Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2027? No +100 $88 88¢ $88 $0 11-06 22:30
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +100 $85 88¢ $88 +$3 11-01 19:41
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Yes +101 $86 87¢ $87 +$1 11-06 00:26
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? No +100 $83 83¢ $83 +$0 11-03 21:08
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +100 $90 82¢ $82 -$8 11-01 20:11
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +100 $79 77¢ $77 -$3 10-28 22:40
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +50 $48 97¢ $49 +$0 11-07 15:49
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +50 $46 96¢ $48 +$2 11-06 22:29
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No +50 $46 94¢ $47 +$1 11-06 22:56
Will Trevor Lawrence win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +50 $44 89¢ $45 +$1 11-06 21:21
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +50 $39 86¢ $43 +$4 11-07 03:09
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award? Yes +50 $38 78¢ $39 +$1 11-07 11:32
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? No +50 $36 71¢ $36 +$0 11-07 08:55
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? No +100 $22 23¢ $23 +$1 10-28 22:40
Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 4% to 5.5%? No +25 $21 92¢ $23 +$2 11-05 21:31
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 11-07 15:00
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +20 $19 95¢ $19 $0 11-07 12:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +20 $18 91¢ $18 $0 11-07 07:23
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? No +100 $17 18¢ $18 +$1 11-01 13:49
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes +100 $20 17¢ $17 -$2 11-02 09:31
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? Yes +50 $15 29¢ $15 $0 11-07 08:55
Will the Democrats win Michigan in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +20 $14 70¢ $14 $0 11-07 14:46
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? No +100 $22 13¢ $13 -$9 11-06 00:26
Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $16 12¢ $12 -$4 11-05 13:12
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Yes +100 $27 12¢ $12 -$15 11-01 08:45
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? No +20 $13 60¢ $12 -$1 11-07 03:09