Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

166

Trades

251

lifetime

Volume

$2.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$36

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-26 19:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Other

65% 55% +$123

Politics

19% 36% +$4

Crypto

13% 35% -$18

Sports

3% 0% -$74

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	-37	-$22	70¢	$-26	-$4	09-21 12:43
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+13	$5	42¢	$6	+$1	09-21 12:46
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+36	$5	14¢	$5	$0	08-20 11:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$101	58	58	+0	Yes	+$11	01-31 10:51
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	2	$94	55	55	+0	No	+$14	01-21 19:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$91	53	53	+0	No	+$11	04-23 15:16
gc settle above 5100 jan 2026	2	$88	68	68	+0	No	+$28	01-28 08:27
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	2	$72	42	42	+0	No	+$12	02-20 16:49
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$63	45	45	+0	Yes	+$23	02-28 07:08
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31 853	2	$58	50	50	+0	Yes	+$18	01-25 07:07
will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	2	$52	38	38	+0	No	+$12	02-12 11:31
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	4	$52	29	29	+0	No	+$2	03-28 19:28
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$49	198	0	+198	No	-$49	05-06 19:50
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	2	$44	24	24	+0	Yes	+$4	03-09 07:27
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	2	$43	28	28	+0	No	+$3	01-27 16:00
will the price of bitcoin be less than 80000 on february 3	1	$40	43	0	+43	Yes	+$3	02-03 11:51
ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 bay1	2	$40	25	25	+0	Yes	+$10	03-10 21:22
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	3	$39	26	26	+0	Yes	-$1	01-25 19:50
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 26	2	$39	29	29	+0	Yes	+$19	01-26 16:59
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$35	98	74	+25	Yes	+$42	04-11 02:32
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	2	$35	26	10	+16	No	+$1	01-27 15:56
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	2	$34	22	22	+0	No	+$4	01-15 10:29
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	3	$32	68	68	+0	Yes	+$12	03-02 18:54
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	4	$31	168	79	+88	No	+$17	03-09 07:31
bun pau bay 2026 04 11 bay	1	$30	43	0	+43	Yes	+$13	04-11 10:21
bun bay stu 2026 04 19 bay	1	$30	43	0	+43	Yes	+$13	04-13 17:10
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	3	$30	57	0	+57	No	-$30	05-06 19:08
highest temperature in munich on april 9 2026 16corhigher	2	$28	71	68	+3	No	-$2	04-08 18:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 23	2	$26	18	18	+0	No	+$6	01-23 15:33
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$25	17	17	+0	Yes	+$5	04-12 18:01
bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 bay	2	$24	52	0	+52	No	-$24	03-14 16:05
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	2	$24	14	14	+0	Yes	+$4	03-09 07:28
uel cel4 scf 2026 04 16 scf	2	$23	22	21	+1	Yes	+$14	04-16 17:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:57:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x31fdfe…
10-14 21:52:13	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xa4fe20…
09-30 11:10:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x2c724a…
09-24 05:09:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x19bf26…
09-21 12:49:08	Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x499d0b…
09-21 12:46:00	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x2c91e5…
09-21 12:45:18	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x01cf5b…
09-21 12:43:23	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	37	61¢	$22	0x6479cb…
08-20 11:19:28	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x4b6bc0…
08-20 11:18:51	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x85e228…
07-15 16:09:34	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x078274…
06-25 04:37:34	Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2928c9…
06-25 04:36:49	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x756a2a…
06-25 04:35:52	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3026eb…
06-22 10:08:50	Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x24a964…
06-22 10:08:29	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x21bfc9…
06-21 07:31:02	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xdb2c3a…
06-21 07:30:17	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xde55cf…
06-20 22:02:08	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb5a563…
06-20 20:57:52	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x09c6b0…
06-20 12:17:26	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7ee2b7…
06-20 12:17:01	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xecca8e…
06-20 12:16:16	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x437ead…
06-20 12:15:44	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xfbe1d3…
06-20 12:15:10	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xc75250…
06-20 12:14:53	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x2818ae…
06-19 19:49:46	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x3e3528…
06-19 15:30:46	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x920c96…
06-19 15:30:17	Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x088a67…
06-19 15:29:22	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb738fc…
06-19 15:28:41	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x3ccd03…
06-18 17:46:56	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x49e916…
06-18 17:46:28	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x1e013d…
06-18 17:45:08	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xbd0afe…
06-18 17:44:56	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6c0c37…
06-17 04:59:56	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x311109…
06-17 04:59:25	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x121031…
06-17 04:58:04	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xbe2d63…
06-17 04:57:22	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x072f65…
06-16 12:23:42	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x308089…
06-16 12:23:12	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x1f736f…
06-16 12:22:45	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xeba189…
06-14 10:58:19	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x43c45e…
06-13 05:30:12	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x083b31…
06-12 07:31:21	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x1047a2…
06-12 07:30:52	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x82288a…
06-12 07:30:03	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0aa144…
06-11 12:07:36	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x386363…
06-07 15:46:49	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	13	90¢	$11	0x7daf35…
06-03 08:48:57	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xe07f04…
06-03 08:48:06	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x546842…
06-03 08:46:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0xc1b996…
05-16 20:17:28	Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	231	8¢	$19	0xab73d0…
05-16 11:05:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x7dc11b…
05-14 19:56:12	Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	231	1¢	$3	0x6a7059…
05-06 19:50:31	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xe405ce…
05-06 19:08:34	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x339ebf…
05-06 17:10:55	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x3ee13f…
05-06 17:10:04	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x3f15c2…
05-01 07:25:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa86907…
05-01 07:25:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x181a55…
04-29 14:59:12	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5be0a4…
04-29 14:58:46	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x1aba04…
04-29 14:58:08	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xdcab47…
04-23 15:16:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0xa1032d…
04-22 18:18:30	dfb lev bay 2026 04 22 bay	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x46e6b5…
04-22 05:27:28	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0x7b6268…
04-21 05:12:32	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xc5f0da…
04-20 10:07:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0xa26c9f…
04-20 10:06:02	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xdcd52e…
04-16 17:32:06	uel cel4 scf 2026 04 16 scf	Yes	SELL	21	86¢	$18	0x315a65…
04-16 16:37:16	uel cel4 scf 2026 04 16 scf	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xd053a2…
04-14 15:32:17	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xacac46…
04-14 15:31:59	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 liv1	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb3075d…
04-13 17:10:59	bun bay stu 2026 04 19 bay	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x503c2b…
04-13 08:39:17	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x775f37…
04-13 08:33:57	Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc2120e…
04-13 08:19:21	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x17afe1…
04-13 08:18:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x3c97cb…
04-12 18:01:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	17	87¢	$15	0xa4a05a…
04-11 10:21:15	bun pau bay 2026 04 11 bay	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x2121ff…
04-11 02:32:07	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	25	69¢	$17	0xd91c42…
04-09 20:22:25	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	49	19¢	$9	0x5fffc5…
04-09 19:45:55	uel scf cel4 2026 04 09 scf	Yes	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x765d30…
04-09 14:50:13	uel scf cel4 2026 04 09 scf	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x21655a…
04-08 18:57:59	highest temperature in munich on april 9 2026 16corhigher	Yes	SELL	68	20¢	$13	0xe713e7…
04-08 18:51:59	highest temperature in munich on april 9 2026 16corhigher	Yes	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x4ffe00…
04-08 18:46:27	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x00d934…
04-08 18:42:21	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x625d7f…
04-08 18:41:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3d1c6b…
04-08 15:51:15	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x6d97b8…
04-08 15:47:09	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	Yes	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0xd8af5e…
04-08 15:46:17	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	127	31¢	$39	0xc1288a…
04-07 15:24:57	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 liv1	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xb2721d…
04-07 15:23:27	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x3c3eae…
04-07 15:22:47	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xd3ef19…
03-30 10:07:24	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x0fa434…
03-30 10:01:14	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x3d5b64…
03-28 19:28:30	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0xb559b5…
03-25 18:36:07	bun fre bay 2026 04 04 bay	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x63b62f…