Sparse-Mythology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

69.6%

Resolved

Trades

234

lifetime

Volume

$108

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 07-05 18:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

56% 72% -$2

Politics

37% 70% +$0

Sports

5% 50% -$2

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	-1	-$1	97¢	$-1	$0	05-05 08:02
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+1	$1	92¢	$1	+$0	05-02 00:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-1	-$1	82¢	$-1	$0	04-30 20:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	5	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-27 05:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-30 09:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	17	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-24 15:51
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 total 0pt5	1	$2	18	0	+18	Over	-$2	07-03 18:00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	+$0	04-19 10:29
MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins	2	$2	1	1	+0	Ngannou	+$0	05-17 02:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-05 17:30
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	12	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-05 03:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-06 17:50
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	15	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-19 16:01
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	12	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-26 23:39
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-30 09:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-21 18:01
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 190m and 200m	4	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-06 20:51
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-05 04:13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	9	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-19 16:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	4	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-07 23:33
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	10	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-16 02:46
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-30 09:58
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	4	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	04-19 16:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	6	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-16 18:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	05-06 05:47
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	04-19 15:59
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	04-19 10:29
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	23	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	05-19 17:36
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	04-06 00:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	6	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	04-06 09:39
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-31 07:08
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	04-19 16:00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-19 15:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 18:01:01	Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x73ef87…
07-03 18:00:40	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	18	14¢	$2	0xe4466b…
05-20 06:37:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x34e681…
05-20 05:57:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3d5741…
05-20 05:43:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x9c3ee7…
05-20 05:17:59	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc9701e…
05-20 03:18:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xe8cae6…
05-20 03:16:19	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x00eee0…
05-20 03:15:23	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3b8fa9…
05-19 17:36:26	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x55bdfe…
05-19 17:36:26	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x4168cf…
05-19 17:36:26	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x323ae5…
05-19 17:36:14	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xe6237e…
05-19 17:36:14	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xe33578…
05-19 17:36:14	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xdbcf45…
05-19 17:36:14	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xa863ff…
05-19 17:36:14	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x5cc385…
05-19 17:35:51	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xf15b57…
05-19 17:35:51	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xbc9e01…
05-19 17:35:51	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xaae7f2…
05-19 17:35:51	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x42fb18…
05-19 17:35:49	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x578cf2…
05-19 17:35:49	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x006582…
05-19 17:35:40	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xbb8359…
05-19 17:35:40	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x8afd87…
05-19 17:35:33	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xf88930…
05-19 17:35:30	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xf7c6a1…
05-19 17:35:25	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xd3b89b…
05-19 17:35:23	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x1ca74f…
05-19 17:35:23	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x013b9a…
05-19 17:35:21	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xb0ef30…
05-19 02:20:25	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4f445a…
05-18 22:13:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x488d40…
05-18 12:53:53	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x2d8355…
05-17 17:47:39	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x5e2322…
05-17 15:21:42	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x564f9e…
05-17 15:19:57	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xac0498…
05-17 13:16:51	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdb94de…
05-17 07:39:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc06e20…
05-17 02:56:53	UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	Arnold Allen	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc2c19c…
05-17 02:30:27	MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins	Ngannou	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5b7f7e…
05-16 18:50:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x0d1d8d…
05-16 08:50:50	MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins	Ngannou	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8a8a5a…
05-16 02:42:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x3c90e6…
05-13 08:42:23	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xbd92b7…
05-12 11:17:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x6c675f…
05-09 09:53:20	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xec047b…
05-08 22:07:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xb9d0f0…
05-07 00:27:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1adbcb…
05-06 23:55:59	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xfac178…
05-06 05:47:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc80f70…
05-05 18:33:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x72b65a…
05-05 10:14:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x03702b…
05-05 08:02:44	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x450ba7…
05-02 06:14:22	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd19af6…
05-02 03:23:36	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1023d3…
05-02 02:38:38	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xec1365…
05-02 00:10:28	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x67bf46…
05-01 15:46:48	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x63d327…
05-01 11:14:40	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xc103ba…
04-30 21:16:30	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb689a7…
04-30 20:32:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x0a661f…
04-30 20:31:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x4ddbe3…
04-30 00:36:06	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x75925d…
04-29 23:40:54	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xfa66de…
04-29 23:40:54	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xec92e7…
04-29 23:40:54	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xe81710…
04-29 23:40:54	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xde6299…
04-29 23:40:54	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xdd0c32…
04-29 23:40:54	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xda599a…
04-29 23:40:54	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x4de57a…
04-29 23:40:54	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x2c92d0…
04-29 23:40:54	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x1775c6…
04-29 23:40:54	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x0154d9…
04-29 23:14:30	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x0a0cfc…
04-29 21:01:16	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x703825…
04-29 21:00:34	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x6cd763…
04-29 07:07:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x0619c0…
04-27 20:59:36	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4ab6cb…
04-26 23:39:44	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xe1b716…
04-26 22:09:52	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xf9a077…
04-26 22:09:52	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x9222ce…
04-26 22:09:50	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xed5bca…
04-26 22:09:50	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x880374…
04-26 22:09:50	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x0358a7…
04-26 16:37:06	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xaaef00…
04-26 16:36:54	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xe8c413…
04-26 16:36:54	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xd6b49c…
04-26 15:43:08	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3dc1a3…
04-26 15:27:34	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xa96b51…
04-26 02:19:52	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x893f4c…
04-25 21:01:40	Will "Michael" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfbb0d8…
04-25 17:42:58	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x20ed67…
04-24 16:17:56	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc17106…
04-24 15:51:48	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe7b09c…
04-24 15:48:16	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x859eaf…
04-24 11:48:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$0	0x6a278e…
04-24 00:38:52	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xbd6abc…
04-23 05:22:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x3c8c76…
04-22 09:05:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe15a57…