(anonymous) 0x1ef01d…f9e28e
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$3.44K
Unrealized P&L
+$168
Hit rate
28.4%
Resolved (7d)
1,389
Trades (7d)
2,130
51,719 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$35.1K
$611.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$2.81K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-15
last 11-02 11:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Other
50% 9% -$8,361
Crypto
23% 70% +$699
Politics
21% 5% -$2,109
Sports
3% 5% -$237
Tech
2% 4% -$280
Pop-Culture
0% 5% -$47
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 2055 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +200 $184 92¢ $183 -$1 10-18 06:33
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? No +200 $167 86¢ $172 +$5 10-21 06:02
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +130 $114 89¢ $116 +$2 10-21 00:45
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +130 $99 88¢ $115 +$16 09-24 12:00
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +163 $91 68¢ $112 +$21 09-28 15:11
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? No +120 $99 85¢ $102 +$3 10-22 01:03
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? No +100 $91 100¢ $100 +$9 09-26 06:47
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +100 $94 99¢ $99 +$4 09-28 04:17
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +100 $94 98¢ $98 +$3 10-17 11:35
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +100 $90 95¢ $95 +$5 09-24 15:15
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +100 $88 94¢ $94 +$6 09-23 13:34
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +100 $86 94¢ $94 +$8 09-23 22:57
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? No — +100 $92 93¢ $93 +$1 10-15 17:55
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +100 $91 92¢ $92 +$1 10-19 13:28
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? No +100 $81 90¢ $90 +$9 10-19 09:57
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +100 $82 90¢ $90 +$8 09-26 14:51
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +170 $73 52¢ $89 +$17 09-27 23:36
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No +100 $85 86¢ $86 +$1 10-24 16:36
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +100 $56 84¢ $84 +$28 10-08 00:34
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +170 $98 48¢ $81 -$17 09-27 23:36
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +90 $26 89¢ $80 +$53 09-21 20:13
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? Yes +100 $71 80¢ $80 +$8 09-24 23:48
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +100 $69 77¢ $77 +$8 10-07 20:52
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +100 $79 76¢ $76 -$3 09-23 10:29
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No +100 $77 74¢ $75 -$2 10-26 19:56
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +90 $67 81¢ $73 +$6 10-14 19:18
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +100 $92 72¢ $72 -$19 09-24 14:14
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +70 $64 95¢ $67 +$3 09-28 15:19
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +100 $80 66¢ $66 -$15 10-21 11:51
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +70 $64 92¢ $64 +$0 10-27 18:09