Realized P&L (30d)
-$3.71K
Unrealized P&L
+$712
Hit rate
37.0%
Resolved (30d)
3,779
Trades (30d)
13,268
52,820 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$255.1K
$634.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$4.06K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-15
last 11-08 17:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Other
48% 9% -$9,154
Crypto
25% 69% +$334
Politics
20% 4% -$2,462
Sports
3% 5% -$274
Tech
2% 4% -$282
Pop-Culture
0% 5% -$47
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 2055 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +200 $184 93¢ $187 +$3 10-18 06:33
Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3% or more? No +195 $167 96¢ $187 +$19 10-24 18:56
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? No +200 $167 86¢ $173 +$6 10-21 06:02
Will Mariana di Girolamo be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +200 $143 82¢ $163 +$20 10-23 23:47
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +163 $91 99¢ $162 +$71 09-28 15:11
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027? No +180 $161 88¢ $158 -$3 10-26 20:45
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +185 $91 82¢ $153 +$62 10-03 12:47
Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? Yes +220 $113 68¢ $151 +$37 10-18 23:11
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +200 $130 72¢ $144 +$14 10-17 13:32
Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch? No +150 $138 95¢ $142 +$4 10-20 22:47
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +280 $157 50¢ $140 -$17 10-26 19:07
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +280 $125 50¢ $140 +$15 10-26 19:07
Will Perpl launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +150 $134 93¢ $140 +$5 10-25 00:10
Will Maura Higgins win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? No +140 $119 99¢ $139 +$20 09-28 18:50
Will "Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? No +150 $123 88¢ $132 +$9 10-20 05:13
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026? No +141 $18 92¢ $131 +$113 09-27 02:48
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? Yes +260 $100 50¢ $130 +$30 10-21 07:08
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? No +260 $163 50¢ $130 -$33 10-21 07:08
Will Trump nationalize elections? No +136 $124 94¢ $129 +$5 10-23 18:08
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 10%-15%? Yes +151 $40 84¢ $126 +$86 10-25 01:12
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +170 $73 74¢ $126 +$53 09-27 23:36
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +130 $99 91¢ $118 +$19 09-24 12:00
Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +120 $113 97¢ $117 +$4 10-23 15:39
Will "Forgotten Island" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? No +200 $105 58¢ $116 +$11 10-26 22:04
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +130 $114 88¢ $114 $0 10-21 00:45
Will The Red Clay Strays win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? Yes +136 $95 78¢ $105 +$10 10-22 20:16
Will Gears of War: E-Day win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? No +110 $102 93¢ $102 +$0 10-19 16:14
Will Hotstuff launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +110 $98 93¢ $102 +$4 10-24 19:20
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +105 $24 96¢ $102 +$78 10-20 23:08
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election by 30%-35%? Yes +129 $36 79¢ $102 +$65 10-23 21:45