Realized P&L
-$35
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
35.5%
Resolved
9
Trades
112
lifetime
Volume
$790
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$58
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-21 04:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Crypto
56%
Other
26% 57% $-15
Sports
11% 0% $-20
Politics
7%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +28 $20 78¢ $22 +$2 06-08 08:40
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +33 $15 46¢ $15 +$0 06-08 08:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -12 $-10 94¢ $-11 $-1 06-08 08:40
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 06-21 04:23