Taut-Pate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

97.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$136

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-30

last 06-14 15:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

39% 100% +$22

Politics

31% 90% +$5

Crypto

17% 100% +$2

Tech

10% 75% -$10

Sports

3% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+53	$50	99¢	$53	+$3	06-11 13:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+42	$40	99¢	$42	+$2	06-11 12:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+42	$40	100¢	$42	+$2	06-11 12:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	4	$130	136	0	+136	No	+$6	06-14 15:40
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	7	$111	72	41	+31	No	+$0	06-10 19:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	9	$100	112	12	+100	No	+$20	06-13 16:34
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	2	$55	56	0	+56	Yes	+$1	06-08 10:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	06-11 13:06
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	4	$40	45	0	+45	No	+$5	06-10 10:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	06-11 12:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	06-11 12:55
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$40	42	0	+42	No	+$2	06-10 19:21
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-07 18:11
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$30	31	0	+31	Yes	+$1	06-10 19:18
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	3	$25	26	0	+26	No	+$1	05-30 12:16
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	06-03 08:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-30 12:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-05 07:41
bitcoin above 56k on june 4 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	06-04 11:10
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	1	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	+$1	06-08 09:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	05-30 09:36
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-30 12:25
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-30 12:25
spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	3	$12	16	0	+16	No	-$12	06-11 13:26
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-30 17:20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-30 12:14
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-30 17:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	-$10	06-05 07:42
Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-30 09:48
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-05 11:02
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-05 11:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-30 17:03
Kash Patel out by May 31?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-30 17:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 15:40:15	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0x81541c…
06-13 16:34:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x20b650…
06-13 16:34:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xdb17e4…
06-13 12:21:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xfbdf8d…
06-13 12:03:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x687057…
06-13 11:59:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x252575…
06-13 10:13:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x5d25a0…
06-13 09:38:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xdf51a9…
06-11 13:26:37	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0f14ae…
06-11 13:26:09	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4a521d…
06-11 13:25:36	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x1ba82f…
06-11 13:06:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xf3d718…
06-11 12:56:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x781ad2…
06-11 12:55:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xff7139…
06-11 12:55:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x5475e3…
06-11 12:55:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xc0b2c3…
06-11 12:55:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x4f39b6…
06-11 12:54:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x023550…
06-10 19:21:09	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfaaf68…
06-10 19:19:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x930250…
06-10 19:18:43	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7c9691…
06-10 10:33:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6ae5fd…
06-10 10:32:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5a01a2…
06-10 10:23:15	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x14a39d…
06-10 10:22:57	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x10ce71…
06-08 12:59:45	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9219e0…
06-08 10:23:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x8f35b0…
06-08 09:58:34	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf3b93c…
06-08 09:58:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x206107…
06-08 08:25:01	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0e5b59…
06-07 18:24:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x98c241…
06-07 18:18:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0x9d9422…
06-07 18:11:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0xfd7f13…
06-07 18:11:36	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xbfdde2…
06-06 14:04:52	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x313c05…
06-06 13:57:58	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xeea837…
06-06 13:57:43	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xa5055e…
06-06 13:54:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x29e9b6…
06-05 11:02:57	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x958dc9…
06-05 11:02:46	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb6afde…
06-05 11:01:07	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x0b8db9…
06-05 07:48:16	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x4376d9…
06-05 07:47:48	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xeeed56…
06-05 07:45:43	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x70105b…
06-05 07:45:07	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x530585…
06-05 07:43:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x486273…
06-05 07:43:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x7f8ab4…
06-05 07:42:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x134c38…
06-05 07:41:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd05ef9…
06-04 11:10:07	bitcoin above 56k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9aa35a…
06-03 08:25:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x29e600…
05-30 17:27:00	Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc037d2…
05-30 17:24:23	Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbae12d…
05-30 17:20:51	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x251488…
05-30 17:09:18	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ff5d0…
05-30 17:05:30	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd29bef…
05-30 17:03:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6d64e6…
05-30 12:25:37	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc95462…
05-30 12:25:15	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf8cff2…
05-30 12:22:58	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb0687…
05-30 12:20:26	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaf771e…
05-30 12:16:38	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9731b4…
05-30 12:15:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53bb46…
05-30 12:14:20	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x83ad87…
05-30 12:13:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x69c285…
05-30 11:16:05	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5f5e10…
05-30 10:17:49	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8da37b…
05-30 09:48:21	Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeacb01…
05-30 09:44:01	Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2f9cf9…
05-30 09:36:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf5cc17…
05-30 09:32:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x9b4f9c…
05-30 09:28:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf162b7…