Realized P&L
-$2.34K
Unrealized P&L
+$158
Hit rate
70.8%
Resolved
377
Trades
1,868
lifetime
Volume
$319.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$171
Open exposure
$3.18K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-28 11:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 151 days
Categories
Politics
56% 66% -$3,700
Other
38% 74% +$1,100
Crypto
4% 67% +$1,076
Sports
1% 38% -$643
Tech
1% 73% -$177
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -626 -$514 82¢ $-517 -$3 05-29 16:02
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +506 $385 99¢ $502 +$118 10-21 18:28
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -500 -$336 84¢ $-418 -$82 05-29 16:52
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +549 $344 72¢ $393 +$49 10-04 04:33
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +400 $276 73¢ $292 +$15 10-17 16:33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +250 $185 78¢ $196 +$11 09-19 23:13
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +230 $148 72¢ $164 +$16 09-17 18:50
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +200 $172 74¢ $147 -$25 09-20 13:47
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $98 72¢ $143 +$45 09-13 14:04
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $120 72¢ $143 +$23 08-23 05:33
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +200 $126 70¢ $141 +$15 10-19 20:41
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -146 -$103 86¢ $-125 -$22 06-03 07:06
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $2 72¢ $0 -$2 10-14 16:22