Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.20K

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

42.1%

Resolved

189

Trades

1,957

lifetime

Volume

$116.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

$22

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 11-09 19:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

55% 31% -$406

Politics

27% 31% -$1,231

Sports

11% 10% -$1,083

Crypto

4% 100% +$157

Tech

3% 33% -$639

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	+50	$10	20¢	$10	-$1	11-09 15:12
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?	No	+50	$14	16¢	$8	-$6	11-09 13:58
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	+29	$5	15¢	$4	-$1	11-07 18:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	51	$8.0K	5,432	5,432	+0	No	-$3	07-12 00:44
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	88	$6.8K	5,217	5,020	+197	No	-$31	07-18 02:53
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	118	$6.0K	6,900	6,900	+0	No	+$21	07-19 18:40
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	199	$4.9K	5,041	5,041	+0	No	+$14	07-21 17:31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	51	$4.9K	3,264	3,264	+0	No	+$5	08-28 02:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	6	$4.7K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	-$900	05-11 03:26
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	57	$3.5K	2,798	2,798	+0	open	—	10-08 22:31
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$17	03-29 14:57
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$3.0K	1,660	1,660	+0	No	-$2	05-06 06:13
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	28	$2.9K	5,160	5,160	+0	No	-$251	05-25 05:42
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	45	$2.7K	2,329	2,329	+0	No	+$15	07-24 15:30
Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?	19	$2.6K	1,359	1,358	+0	Yes	+$137	05-04 22:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	22	$2.4K	2,000	1,999	+1	No	-$8	07-02 13:33
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$2.3K	4,730	4,730	+0	open	—	06-09 07:06
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	10	$2.2K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	$0	06-29 04:56
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	24	$2.0K	1,756	1,756	+0	Yes	-$67	09-07 03:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	9	$1.8K	2,072	2,072	+0	open	—	06-03 19:02
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	25	$1.7K	1,510	1,510	+0	open	—	11-02 07:13
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	28	$1.3K	1,753	1,753	+0	No	-$447	06-25 15:31
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	15	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$39	09-01 14:12
will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	12	$1.2K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$2	07-08 14:05
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	9	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$6	09-01 14:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	12	$1.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	-$22	09-03 13:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	15	$1.1K	1,064	1,064	+0	Yes	-$34	09-01 07:49
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.0K	2,751	0	+2,751	Yes	-$1,029	06-10 16:32
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	14	$1.0K	800	800	+0	No	+$0	07-14 15:24
spx up or down on april 1 2026	4	$1.0K	750	750	+0	Up	+$7	04-01 09:50
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	4	$990	600	600	+0	No	+$0	07-12 23:33
Mezo FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$976	490	490	+0	No	+$4	04-02 00:41
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	10	$937	600	600	+0	open	—	11-05 01:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 20:36:24	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0x25c26e…
11-09 19:37:28	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	SELL	23	73¢	$17	0x2638eb…
11-09 15:19:09	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0xf6906f…
11-09 15:12:51	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xb7731e…
11-09 15:12:51	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	49	21¢	$10	0x92e51a…
11-09 15:04:00	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x04ead1…
11-09 14:40:21	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	SELL	27	73¢	$20	0x3d4b3e…
11-09 14:33:31	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0xbc72eb…
11-09 13:58:55	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?	No	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x921ce7…
11-09 13:55:22	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x985614…
11-09 13:55:03	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x896890…
11-09 13:51:18	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xfb9603…
11-09 13:51:18	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	BUY	45	73¢	$33	0x5ff9bc…
11-09 09:47:43	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?	Yes	SELL	8	71¢	$5	0x60548f…
11-09 09:47:37	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?	Yes	BUY	8	72¢	$5	0x8438aa…
11-09 08:09:49	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	Yes	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0xf65fb5…
11-09 07:47:21	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	Yes	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0x627826…
11-08 22:09:51	Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x96a753…
11-08 22:09:46	Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xbac5c1…
11-08 00:57:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$35	0x33342a…
11-08 00:25:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$33	0x17e76b…
11-07 18:55:01	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	21	19¢	$4	0x8eeaf8…
11-07 12:42:39	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x14fba6…
11-07 12:42:36	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xcae401…
11-07 07:46:37	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	55¢	$27	0x567783…
11-07 06:31:01	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	200	81¢	$162	0x848359…
11-06 20:02:51	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	200	81¢	$161	0x42a17d…
11-06 18:56:48	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	29	19¢	$5	0xd45870…
11-06 18:56:46	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x4b700a…
11-06 13:41:27	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x2b9e62…
11-06 13:30:12	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x1d868a…
11-06 13:11:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0x9d3ad1…
11-06 13:11:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x5ec7af…
11-06 11:26:10	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	No	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x39b874…
11-06 10:08:28	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$161	0xfe175a…
11-06 09:38:21	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x890382…
11-06 09:38:21	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	53	71¢	$38	0x54600a…
11-06 09:38:21	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	27	71¢	$19	0x531b4c…
11-06 09:38:15	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xab5814…
11-06 08:20:42	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xfb4bbe…
11-06 07:15:30	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x949314…
11-06 07:09:24	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x1d9c8f…
11-05 23:44:30	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xacbab3…
11-05 23:44:27	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x32640f…
11-05 21:39:42	Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xd21272…
11-05 21:12:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	17	75¢	$13	0xac4e2a…
11-05 21:12:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	183	74¢	$135	0x3bbdd9…
11-05 20:59:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x4058ef…
11-05 16:31:07	Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x06daf9…
11-05 16:24:12	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$167	0x696b96…
11-05 14:34:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0xc9e754…
11-05 14:34:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x0798a3…
11-05 14:22:09	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	145	72¢	$104	0x09e9a8…
11-05 14:04:45	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	55	72¢	$40	0x87cac5…
11-05 14:03:12	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x4a36c7…
11-05 09:20:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	147	0¢	$0	0xb39185…
11-05 08:08:57	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x9c249e…
11-05 07:21:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	147	2¢	$3	0xe54a09…
11-05 03:50:21	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x97b0f1…
11-05 03:50:03	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0xb83c54…
11-05 02:13:13	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xd1ac3c…
11-05 01:21:06	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	120	93¢	$112	0x76f3fa…
11-05 01:20:58	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x8bed89…
11-05 01:20:58	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x29f5ff…
11-05 01:20:55	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0xc1c716…
11-05 01:20:54	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x069d23…
11-05 01:20:52	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x4215d9…
11-04 17:46:01	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x6520fa…
11-04 17:43:04	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xbfe95c…
11-04 17:43:01	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xe0edc8…
11-04 17:28:33	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x6cf05d…
11-04 15:15:40	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$27	0x9acdec…
11-04 12:33:49	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x5e4d3d…
11-04 12:33:43	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x29daa5…
11-04 12:07:36	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0xa320df…
11-04 12:07:19	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xa9b829…
11-04 11:51:39	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x39cbfa…
11-04 11:25:49	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x4e8207…
11-04 11:25:42	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xf34666…
11-04 10:01:28	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xfce75f…
11-04 09:58:15	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xddc04f…
11-04 09:49:06	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0xc0816d…
11-04 09:48:57	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x7c008b…
11-04 09:42:48	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x529cfc…
11-04 09:42:48	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x20f328…
11-04 09:40:48	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	88¢	$53	0xcad85a…
11-04 09:40:45	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0xaec703…
11-04 09:40:30	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x786a8f…
11-04 08:28:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xebeb88…
11-04 08:28:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	62	27¢	$17	0xc99a16…
11-04 08:28:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	12	27¢	$3	0x8221c6…
11-04 08:28:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	116	27¢	$31	0x45faa7…
11-04 08:28:04	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	42	84¢	$35	0xb32679…
11-04 08:28:04	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x404dbf…
11-04 08:28:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x9410ea…
11-04 08:27:21	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x7ff8d1…
11-04 08:14:57	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x36067b…
11-04 08:12:07	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x28183a…
11-04 02:59:13	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x90b3f5…
11-04 02:00:06	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x770a17…