Firm-Advocacy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.2%

Resolved

Trades

424

lifetime

Volume

$5.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-17 18:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 100% +$0

Other

38% — —

Sports

7% 0% $-40

Tech

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lal rea bet 2026 01 04 rea	4	$322	162	162	+0	open	—	01-04 17:18
ucl bog1 mnc1 2026 01 20 bog1	2	$226	130	130	+0	open	—	01-20 21:04
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	5	$163	85	85	+0	open	—	01-20 18:56
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	5	$151	87	76	+11	open	—	02-08 20:28
solana above 70 on july 5 2026	3	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	07-05 12:08
Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$126	182	0	+182	open	—	01-21 02:09
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	4	$125	75	56	+19	open	—	01-25 01:50
Moonbirds FDV above $700M one day after launch?	7	$104	105	0	+105	open	—	01-27 22:04
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	3	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	02-09 13:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$90	122	0	+122	open	—	06-01 13:04
Over $100M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	4	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	02-04 17:40
will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	3	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	01-17 13:01
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 on May 31?	2	$75	75	0	+75	open	—	05-31 13:34
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$74	75	0	+75	open	—	01-31 22:25
Will Solana dip to $75 on May 21?	2	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	05-21 20:11
Will Solana dip to $75 on May 23?	2	$65	65	0	+65	open	—	05-23 19:18
Moonbirds FDV above $600M one day after launch?	4	$64	65	0	+65	open	—	01-27 21:59
spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	3	$62	32	32	+0	open	—	06-12 13:48
will bitcoin dip to 54k on june 10	1	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	06-10 20:04
Will Solana reach $95 on May 20?	3	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	05-20 20:38
will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	2	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	01-17 13:00
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 580plus	4	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	01-02 09:37
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$55	57	0	+57	open	—	05-26 06:03
si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	01-30 22:28
Will Solana dip to $65 on May 26?	2	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-26 21:45
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	3	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	04-29 12:39
Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	3	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-20 05:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on May 18?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-18 17:55
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5	6	$46	47	0	+47	open	—	05-20 20:44
Will Solana dip to $65 on May 22?	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	05-22 16:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 18:56:40	bitcoin above 70k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfa75de…
07-17 18:56:13	bitcoin above 56k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x646ce5…
07-17 08:24:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xf5d25f…
07-17 08:23:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x557f19…
07-17 08:02:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x3f5fa8…
07-17 08:01:48	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x58647b…
07-15 14:12:52	will solana dip to 70 on july 15	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x669951…
07-15 12:21:56	bitcoin above 68k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x095bff…
07-15 12:20:55	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xc202ee…
07-15 12:20:19	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x4298eb…
07-15 12:20:10	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x37f904…
07-12 22:07:38	bitcoin above 68k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xecb147…
07-12 22:04:40	bitcoin above 68k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb20f0…
07-11 23:19:05	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa9f786…
07-11 22:57:20	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x90bf33…
07-11 22:28:07	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb8e1ad…
07-11 22:27:52	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x813846…
07-11 22:27:41	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4a79d3…
07-11 22:26:01	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2d5fcf…
07-11 17:17:34	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xf63a54…
07-11 17:17:17	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xe341df…
07-11 17:17:04	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 totals 0pt5	Over	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x4bba7b…
07-10 22:02:44	bitcoin above 68k on july 11 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xcb81c4…
07-10 22:02:34	bitcoin above 60k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x71dd19…
07-10 07:07:47	bitcoin above 60k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x821d2b…
07-09 06:11:40	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x08beea…
07-09 06:10:38	solana above 80 on july 9 2026	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1df649…
07-09 06:08:37	bitcoin above 60k on july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2ab2a0…
07-09 06:08:19	bitcoin above 58k on july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf84208…
07-07 19:13:07	col it sar 2026 07 16 btts	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x970e2d…
07-07 19:11:59	ucl flo sab 2026 07 08 btts	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0d1c99…
07-07 19:10:34	ucl eto vik 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xf2bd18…
07-07 19:06:55	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x70e80d…
07-07 15:47:04	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd36f40…
07-07 15:46:47	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xc810b2…
07-06 21:41:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	16	85¢	$13	0xba48e7…
07-06 21:11:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xeb3a47…
07-06 21:08:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x351e9c…
07-06 21:05:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x37bec8…
07-06 19:03:26	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x50c088…
07-06 19:01:43	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x862dcc…
07-06 19:01:34	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xb572c1…
07-06 13:36:01	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x7d6f3e…
07-06 13:35:43	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x4949f9…
07-05 22:50:22	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8594c2…
07-05 16:09:02	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5d7e04…
07-05 16:07:11	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x40d661…
07-05 16:05:58	atp hurkacz struff 2026 07 05	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x15d94c…
07-05 16:05:11	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 spread home 5pt5	Norway	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4bc393…
07-05 16:04:26	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbfef4d…
07-05 12:08:44	solana above 70 on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa918e8…
07-05 12:07:31	solana above 70 on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x59f934…
07-05 12:07:16	solana above 70 on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x194f82…
07-05 11:22:22	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x846290…
07-05 11:22:08	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4871a9…
07-05 11:21:58	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x59c208…
07-04 21:38:11	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfefbf0…
07-04 07:47:38	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb7fbdb…
07-03 22:38:38	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4d0526…
07-03 22:38:29	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x26843e…
07-03 22:38:14	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaa59dd…
07-03 22:36:58	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xac679c…
07-03 17:39:58	will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x767862…
07-01 17:00:13	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8150c8…
06-29 15:32:20	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb9f2fa…
06-29 15:31:14	atp struff baez 2026 06 29	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3d2fab…
06-29 15:24:34	wta maneiro potapov 2026 06 29	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x1e014b…
06-29 15:23:31	atp walton prizmic 2026 06 29	Adam Walton	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x399b52…
06-29 15:23:17	atp kwon landalu 2026 06 29	Soon-Woo Kwon	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x297a4a…
06-29 15:23:05	atp walton prizmic 2026 06 29	Adam Walton	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xfc4120…
06-29 14:10:47	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xbe3b26…
06-29 10:31:29	atp struff baez 2026 06 29	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xb54c1a…
06-29 10:30:58	atp kovacev zandsch 2026 06 29	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xba3a33…
06-29 10:30:14	atp ruud hurkacz 2026 06 29	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0xa97abf…
06-28 15:26:59	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8e3f70…
06-28 14:59:32	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x21b0c5…
06-28 14:59:19	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x792447…
06-25 21:16:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x71d888…
06-24 15:58:10	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x13ae70…
06-23 17:05:32	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 corners team home 5pt5	Over	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf8f9b7…
06-23 17:05:20	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x71d101…
06-23 16:59:08	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb4a5d8…
06-22 16:06:38	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb2a58e…
06-21 20:46:35	mlb laa oak 2026 06 21 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0cda56…
06-21 20:46:16	mlb laa oak 2026 06 21 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x418578…
06-21 10:02:47	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x384270…
06-19 08:26:23	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x4344b5…
06-19 08:25:28	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x7967bd…
06-19 08:24:32	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x60c6db…
06-18 18:35:11	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x1e258a…
06-18 18:29:52	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xe53cf0…
06-18 18:29:41	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xff2f0c…
06-18 11:55:17	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x14dee3…
06-18 11:20:55	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x898ee2…
06-18 11:20:37	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x137061…
06-18 09:58:07	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x38558d…
06-17 19:53:16	will bitcoin reach 70k on june 17	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x97d7a0…
06-17 19:52:59	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xdbb747…
06-17 09:39:20	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x83d948…
06-17 09:38:40	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xef2c65…