Firm-Advocacy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.2%

Resolved

Trades

361

lifetime

Volume

$5.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-01 17:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 100% +$0

Other

38% — —

Sports

7% 0% $-40

Tech

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lal rea bet 2026 01 04 rea	4	$322	162	162	+0	open	—	01-04 17:18
ucl bog1 mnc1 2026 01 20 bog1	2	$226	130	130	+0	open	—	01-20 21:04
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	5	$163	85	85	+0	open	—	01-20 18:56
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	5	$151	87	76	+11	open	—	02-08 20:28
Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$126	182	0	+182	open	—	01-21 02:09
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	4	$125	75	56	+19	open	—	01-25 01:50
Moonbirds FDV above $700M one day after launch?	7	$104	105	0	+105	open	—	01-27 22:04
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	3	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	02-09 13:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$90	122	0	+122	open	—	06-01 13:04
Over $100M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	4	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	02-04 17:40
will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	3	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	01-17 13:01
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 on May 31?	2	$75	75	0	+75	open	—	05-31 13:34
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$74	75	0	+75	open	—	01-31 22:25
Will Solana dip to $75 on May 21?	2	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	05-21 20:11
Will Solana dip to $75 on May 23?	2	$65	65	0	+65	open	—	05-23 19:18
Moonbirds FDV above $600M one day after launch?	4	$64	65	0	+65	open	—	01-27 21:59
spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	3	$62	32	32	+0	open	—	06-12 13:48
will bitcoin dip to 54k on june 10	1	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	06-10 20:04
Will Solana reach $95 on May 20?	3	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	05-20 20:38
will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	2	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	01-17 13:00
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 580plus	4	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	01-02 09:37
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$55	57	0	+57	open	—	05-26 06:03
si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	01-30 22:28
Will Solana dip to $65 on May 26?	2	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-26 21:45
Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	3	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-20 05:51
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	3	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	04-29 12:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on May 18?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-18 17:55
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5	6	$46	47	0	+47	open	—	05-20 20:44
Will Solana dip to $65 on May 22?	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	05-22 16:13
will bitcoin reach 70k on june 17	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	06-17 19:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 17:00:13	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8150c8…
06-29 15:32:20	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb9f2fa…
06-29 15:31:14	atp struff baez 2026 06 29	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3d2fab…
06-29 15:24:34	wta maneiro potapov 2026 06 29	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x1e014b…
06-29 15:23:31	atp walton prizmic 2026 06 29	Adam Walton	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x399b52…
06-29 15:23:17	atp kwon landalu 2026 06 29	Soon-Woo Kwon	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x297a4a…
06-29 15:23:05	atp walton prizmic 2026 06 29	Adam Walton	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xfc4120…
06-29 14:10:47	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xbe3b26…
06-29 10:31:29	atp struff baez 2026 06 29	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xb54c1a…
06-29 10:30:58	atp kovacev zandsch 2026 06 29	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xba3a33…
06-29 10:30:14	atp ruud hurkacz 2026 06 29	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0xa97abf…
06-28 15:26:59	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8e3f70…
06-28 14:59:32	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x21b0c5…
06-28 14:59:19	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x792447…
06-25 21:16:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x71d888…
06-24 15:58:10	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x13ae70…
06-23 17:05:32	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 corners team home 5pt5	Over	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf8f9b7…
06-23 17:05:20	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x71d101…
06-23 16:59:08	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb4a5d8…
06-22 16:06:38	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb2a58e…
06-21 20:46:35	mlb laa oak 2026 06 21 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0cda56…
06-21 20:46:16	mlb laa oak 2026 06 21 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x418578…
06-21 10:02:47	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x384270…
06-19 08:26:23	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x4344b5…
06-19 08:25:28	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x7967bd…
06-19 08:24:32	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x60c6db…
06-18 18:35:11	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x1e258a…
06-18 18:29:52	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xe53cf0…
06-18 18:29:41	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xff2f0c…
06-18 11:55:17	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x14dee3…
06-18 11:20:55	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x898ee2…
06-18 11:20:37	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x137061…
06-18 09:58:07	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x38558d…
06-17 19:53:16	will bitcoin reach 70k on june 17	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x97d7a0…
06-17 19:52:59	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xdbb747…
06-17 09:39:20	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x83d948…
06-17 09:38:40	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xef2c65…
06-13 10:54:51	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x1eea2f…
06-12 13:48:36	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xa2fabc…
06-12 13:29:42	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x5ea542…
06-12 13:29:30	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xa287f4…
06-12 06:26:07	irl1 wat slr 2026 06 12 btts	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x97e891…
06-11 18:39:40	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x91d8ce…
06-11 18:38:55	will colombia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120776	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc86057…
06-11 05:55:00	swe2 hel lkb 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5fd98b…
06-10 20:04:34	will bitcoin dip to 54k on june 10	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x05d1a7…
06-09 21:01:16	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6749e2…
06-08 19:45:34	will solana dip to 55 on june 8	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbbb63f…
06-08 05:40:09	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xf7f993…
06-07 15:38:57	solana above 70 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xbdffcc…
06-07 02:24:24	Morocco vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x082e15…
06-06 20:00:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xc91889…
06-06 15:14:42	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2d2d32…
06-06 13:14:13	bitcoin above 64k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b9967…
06-06 13:13:52	bitcoin above 58k on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8778b9…
06-06 13:05:55	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0c1306…
06-06 11:42:12	Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x690ee3…
06-05 08:01:57	San Marino vs. Bangladesh: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb5455e…
06-04 21:34:33	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2ea082…
06-04 20:43:42	France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7f1eed…
06-04 20:42:49	France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xa24753…
06-04 15:46:51	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x4f6412…
06-04 15:46:40	Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x55d9d0…
06-04 15:46:16	Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x97ae77…
06-04 15:46:00	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x522bf9…
06-03 13:51:11	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa56e16…
06-03 13:50:51	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbd7b3e…
06-03 13:29:15	Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa3bd6a…
06-03 06:47:07	Poland vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x862db4…
06-02 22:05:43	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 on June 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x04ca4a…
06-02 22:05:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on June 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x25a5a2…
06-02 22:04:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on June 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2cdf2…
06-02 22:04:06	Will Solana reach $105 on June 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4943b…
06-02 22:02:27	Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4c81d7…
06-01 20:07:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x78d68e…
06-01 14:55:36	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xcde0ab…
06-01 13:04:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x20d4aa…
06-01 13:04:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x703bcd…
06-01 12:33:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x93ca83…
06-01 12:10:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x9bb52d…
06-01 12:09:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xdd88ca…
06-01 12:09:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x248b50…
06-01 09:58:08	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3798c2…
05-31 21:11:40	Will Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x520862…
05-31 21:11:20	Will Robert Lewandowski score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b5cd0…
05-31 18:40:21	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xbbea14…
05-31 18:40:07	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x78bab9…
05-31 18:33:59	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Switzerland	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf0618d…
05-31 18:11:00	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xb848ad…
05-31 13:47:52	Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xfa6922…
05-31 13:34:42	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 on May 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x429e8b…
05-31 13:33:53	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 on May 31?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd05e3d…
05-31 13:33:41	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on May 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdd3c7b…
05-30 19:09:12	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xc1b037…
05-30 18:30:23	World Championships: Canada vs. Finland	Canada	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x47c3dd…
05-29 17:11:44	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 on May 29?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xe18cc8…
05-28 15:09:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9642e9…
05-26 21:50:35	Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on May 26?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4fdb45…
05-26 21:45:37	Will Solana dip to $65 on May 26?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xf8949e…
05-26 21:45:13	Will Solana dip to $65 on May 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e45d5…