Firm-Advocacy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

20.2%

Resolved

Trades

315

lifetime

Volume

$4.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$23

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 21:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 100% +$0

Other

39% — —

Sports

7% 0% $-40

Tech

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	06-06 15:14
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	+7	$5	56¢	$4	$-1	05-31 18:40
Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	+3	$3	92¢	$3	+$0	06-04 15:46
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	+3	$3	94¢	$3	$-0	06-04 15:46
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	+9	$3	34¢	$3	$-0	06-04 15:46
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	+5	$3	62¢	$3	$-0	06-04 15:46
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	+8	$3	22¢	$2	$-1	05-31 18:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lal rea bet 2026 01 04 rea	4	$322	162	162	+0	open	—	01-04 17:18
ucl bog1 mnc1 2026 01 20 bog1	2	$226	130	130	+0	open	—	01-20 21:04
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	5	$163	85	85	+0	open	—	01-20 18:56
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	5	$151	87	76	+11	open	—	02-08 20:28
Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$126	182	0	+182	open	—	01-21 02:09
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	4	$125	75	56	+19	open	—	01-25 01:50
Moonbirds FDV above $700M one day after launch?	7	$104	105	0	+105	open	—	01-27 22:04
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	3	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	02-09 13:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$90	122	0	+122	open	—	06-01 13:04
Over $100M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	4	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	02-04 17:40
will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	3	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	01-17 13:01
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 on May 31?	2	$75	75	0	+75	open	—	05-31 13:34
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$74	75	0	+75	open	—	01-31 22:25
Will Solana dip to $75 on May 21?	2	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	05-21 20:11
Will Solana dip to $75 on May 23?	2	$65	65	0	+65	open	—	05-23 19:18
Moonbirds FDV above $600M one day after launch?	4	$64	65	0	+65	open	—	01-27 21:59
Will Solana reach $95 on May 20?	3	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	05-20 20:38
will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	2	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	01-17 13:00
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 580plus	4	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	01-02 09:37
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$55	57	0	+57	open	—	05-26 06:03
si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	01-30 22:28
Will Solana dip to $65 on May 26?	2	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-26 21:45
Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	3	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-20 05:51
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	3	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	04-29 12:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on May 18?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-18 17:55
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5	6	$46	47	0	+47	open	—	05-20 20:44
Will Solana dip to $65 on May 22?	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	05-22 16:13
will solana dip to 80 on may 25	2	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	05-25 18:01
ufc der wal2 2026 01 24	4	$44	25	25	+0	open	—	01-25 04:41
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?	4	$42	25	25	+0	open	—	01-29 17:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 21:01:16	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6749e2…
06-08 19:45:34	will solana dip to 55 on june 8	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbbb63f…
06-08 05:40:09	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xf7f993…
06-07 15:38:57	solana above 70 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xbdffcc…
06-07 02:24:24	Morocco vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x082e15…
06-06 20:00:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xc91889…
06-06 15:14:42	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2d2d32…
06-06 13:14:13	bitcoin above 64k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b9967…
06-06 13:13:52	bitcoin above 58k on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8778b9…
06-06 13:05:55	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0c1306…
06-06 11:42:12	Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x690ee3…
06-05 08:01:57	San Marino vs. Bangladesh: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb5455e…
06-04 21:34:33	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2ea082…
06-04 20:43:42	France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7f1eed…
06-04 20:42:49	France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xa24753…
06-04 15:46:51	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x4f6412…
06-04 15:46:40	Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x55d9d0…
06-04 15:46:16	Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x97ae77…
06-04 15:46:00	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x522bf9…
06-03 13:51:11	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa56e16…
06-03 13:50:51	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbd7b3e…
06-03 13:29:15	Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa3bd6a…
06-03 06:47:07	Poland vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x862db4…
06-02 22:05:43	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 on June 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x04ca4a…
06-02 22:05:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on June 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x25a5a2…
06-02 22:04:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on June 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2cdf2…
06-02 22:04:06	Will Solana reach $105 on June 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4943b…
06-02 22:02:27	Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4c81d7…
06-01 20:07:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x78d68e…
06-01 14:55:36	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xcde0ab…
06-01 13:04:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x20d4aa…
06-01 13:04:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x703bcd…
06-01 12:33:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x93ca83…
06-01 12:10:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x9bb52d…
06-01 12:09:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xdd88ca…
06-01 12:09:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x248b50…
06-01 09:58:08	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3798c2…
05-31 21:11:40	Will Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x520862…
05-31 21:11:20	Will Robert Lewandowski score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b5cd0…
05-31 18:40:21	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xbbea14…
05-31 18:40:07	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x78bab9…
05-31 18:33:59	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Switzerland	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf0618d…
05-31 18:11:00	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xb848ad…
05-31 13:47:52	Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xfa6922…
05-31 13:34:42	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 on May 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x429e8b…
05-31 13:33:53	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 on May 31?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd05e3d…
05-31 13:33:41	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on May 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdd3c7b…
05-30 19:09:12	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xc1b037…
05-30 18:30:23	World Championships: Canada vs. Finland	Canada	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x47c3dd…
05-29 17:11:44	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 on May 29?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xe18cc8…
05-28 15:09:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9642e9…
05-26 21:50:35	Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on May 26?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4fdb45…
05-26 21:45:37	Will Solana dip to $65 on May 26?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xf8949e…
05-26 21:45:13	Will Solana dip to $65 on May 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e45d5…
05-26 06:03:59	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa2d0d2…
05-26 06:03:42	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xd60aed…
05-26 00:54:16	Will Solana dip to $75 on May 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x028f0d…
05-25 18:01:14	will solana dip to 80 on may 25	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd402c1…
05-25 16:07:03	Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on May 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x516277…
05-25 16:06:05	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 25?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x18da4d…
05-25 16:00:54	will solana dip to 80 on may 25	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa2db8d…
05-25 15:59:24	Will Solana dip to $70 on May 25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c08a6…
05-25 15:59:14	Will Solana dip to $70 on May 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4c10d7…
05-23 19:18:12	Will Solana dip to $75 on May 23?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6c57cf…
05-23 19:17:58	Will Solana dip to $75 on May 23?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xaf5be4…
05-23 15:20:45	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xa55cb1…
05-22 16:13:42	Will Solana dip to $70 on May 22?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x8e00d1…
05-22 16:13:32	Will Solana dip to $65 on May 22?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x9e8742…
05-21 20:11:15	Will Solana dip to $75 on May 21?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc73330…
05-21 20:10:21	Will Solana dip to $75 on May 21?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd91727…
05-21 14:54:41	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 21?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x098a9d…
05-21 14:54:23	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb02bae…
05-21 14:52:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x202d81…
05-21 14:51:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2cd08b…
05-21 14:50:15	Will Solstice launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8d96eb…
05-20 20:44:31	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x52704e…
05-20 20:39:51	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdca9c2…
05-20 20:38:44	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x370e07…
05-20 20:38:01	Will Solana reach $95 on May 20?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xebf582…
05-20 20:37:43	Will Solana reach $95 on May 20?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xfbb099…
05-20 20:37:29	Will Solana reach $95 on May 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66d3b8…
05-20 20:35:37	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x511ea3…
05-20 20:34:43	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4e8835…
05-20 20:12:14	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x49da28…
05-20 20:11:25	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x351d7d…
05-20 05:51:49	Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x90ccb4…
05-19 15:30:57	Will Solstice launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xec7ab6…
05-19 15:30:07	Will Solstice launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xadd93e…
05-19 15:29:05	Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x441f70…
05-19 15:28:53	Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xad4609…
05-19 14:16:38	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xa8baa3…
05-19 14:16:24	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xd437fa…
05-19 13:04:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc0f88f…
05-19 13:03:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x13ab10…
05-19 12:54:53	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 19?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x28337b…
05-18 19:58:45	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 on May 18?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x058f68…
05-18 18:00:11	Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on May 18?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x1af04d…
05-18 17:55:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbf602b…
05-18 08:26:25	LoL: LUA Gaming vs UB Alma Mater (BO3) - LES Regular Season	LUA Gaming	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1e846e…
05-15 21:31:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xbe374f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	103	$14.8K	6,163	06-09 21:10
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	95	$207.0K	4,370	06-10 00:11
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	95	$17.4K	3,499	06-10 00:09
(anonymous) 0xa4bd…e8a2	77	$58.9K	4,651	03-17 00:47
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	70	$26.5K	11,130	05-08 22:12
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	61	$63.0K	344	06-08 20:17
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	59	$42.0K	4,434	03-28 06:05
Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345	59	$10.4K	4,326	06-10 00:10