Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
59.7%
Resolved
112
Trades
162
lifetime
Volume
$303
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$27
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-07 01:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Other
56% 29% +$6
Politics
38% 59% -$15
Sports
5% 13% +$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -857 -$6 1¢ $-5 +$1 07-03 04:06
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +4 $4 76¢ $3 -$1 09-23 17:40
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 09-22 16:23
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +4 $3 80¢ $3 $0 10-07 01:40
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -12 -$2 19¢ $-2 $0 08-11 01:57
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 09-24 23:09
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 09-23 17:32
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 09-23 17:32
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +2 $2 89¢ $2 $0 09-10 02:33
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-04 02:51
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $0 09-14 11:39
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 07-29 03:27
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -125 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 08-20 19:00