Testy-Nod — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

96.4%

Resolved

115

Trades

137

lifetime

Volume

$2.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$41

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-29 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

61% 97% +$8

Crypto

19% 100% +$2

Politics

13% 75% -$49

Tech

5% 100% +$0

Sports

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No		+41	$39	99¢	$40	+$1	10-29 17:44
Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+100	$0	0¢	$0	$0	08-25 15:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$173	87	87	+0	Yes	+$1	09-10 15:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$170	86	86	+0	No	+$1	09-07 12:18
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$158	79	79	+0	No	+$0	10-05 04:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	2	$146	73	73	+0	No	+$1	08-13 01:12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$134	70	70	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$90	104	0	+104	Yes	-$49	10-25 23:19
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	1	$88	89	0	+89	Yes	+$0	09-22 15:34
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	1	$88	89	0	+89	No	+$0	09-16 01:12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$88	88	0	+88	No	+$0	09-14 18:56
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$75	76	0	+76	Yes	+$0	08-05 08:28
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	1	$75	75	0	+75	No	+$1	08-10 11:27
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	1	$73	76	0	+76	No	+$3	08-13 22:06
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	1	$73	75	0	+75	No	+$1	08-09 14:22
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	08-22 17:18
Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$69	69	0	+69	Yes	+$0	08-20 21:33
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$67	68	0	+68	No	+$0	06-27 00:56
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	1	$63	64	0	+64	No	+$0	05-31 22:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-27 14:21
Will ByteDance be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	08-28 14:15
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	1	$49	49	0	+49	Yes	+$0	04-28 09:25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$48	48	0	+48	Yes	+$0	05-30 23:27
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	06-29 15:21
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	1	$40	41	0	+41	Yes	+$0	05-26 19:27
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	03-31 02:38
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$39	41	0	+41	open	—	10-29 17:44
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$37	21	21	+0	open	—	10-17 13:35
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$37	37	0	+37	Yes	+$0	08-18 07:55
will gold gc hit high 4400 by end of june copy 20260609185905943	1	$34	35	0	+35	No	+$0	06-28 12:45
will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	1	$31	32	0	+32	No	+$0	07-31 10:38
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	1	$28	29	0	+29	No	+$0	07-31 22:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:44:47	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0xa238bf…
10-25 23:19:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	41	91¢	$37	0x2d8ae0…
10-17 13:35:42	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	21	92¢	$19	0xf0e2f3…
10-15 02:32:59	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	63	84¢	$53	0x864a21…
10-12 20:39:38	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb6843d…
10-11 03:21:18	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xbad50d…
10-10 04:38:01	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xe720de…
10-05 04:48:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x0e3741…
10-03 06:27:33	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f17b7…
09-25 12:08:23	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	79	99¢	$79	0x1bf717…
09-24 09:41:27	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x892d67…
09-22 15:34:31	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$88	0x044d7c…
09-16 01:12:33	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$88	0x157b4c…
09-14 18:56:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x305b01…
09-10 15:47:27	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x3ea429…
09-10 05:17:27	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0xf806d1…
09-07 12:18:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0xd0ab3c…
09-04 14:15:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	86	98¢	$85	0x581f39…
08-28 14:15:34	Will ByteDance be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x043f8f…
08-27 14:21:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x5f707f…
08-27 04:08:25	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd6cae9…
08-26 23:53:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x16ce14…
08-25 15:37:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	96¢	$67	0x414448…
08-25 15:03:01	Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x1a8304…
08-24 19:27:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in August?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd52524…
08-24 07:38:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0x94a91d…
08-22 17:18:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x130031…
08-20 21:33:46	Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x91f6d7…
08-19 15:45:00	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9950b3…
08-18 07:55:40	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x1ec282…
08-16 17:20:39	will ethereum dip to 1300 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7939f0…
08-14 11:45:24	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x8b1ac9…
08-13 22:06:27	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	76	97¢	$73	0x52475d…
08-13 01:12:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x57cb4d…
08-12 10:38:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	73	99¢	$73	0x946e97…
08-11 14:23:04	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x6b60b0…
08-11 00:40:01	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x6dc1f8…
08-10 11:27:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	75	99¢	$75	0xc79cf4…
08-09 14:22:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	75	98¢	$73	0x820132…
08-07 14:02:37	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd0e6a5…
08-05 08:28:23	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$75	0x04e25c…
08-04 22:03:47	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaa881f…
08-04 01:44:38	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0455d6…
07-31 22:03:57	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0xdc94e9…
07-31 10:38:47	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0xee1b70…
07-31 02:45:41	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0d8569…
07-31 00:08:56	will msft dip to 360 in july 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9c5903…
07-30 23:37:05	will meta dip to 500 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x13c436…
07-29 16:54:39	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaab5c3…
07-29 10:05:47	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x301edd…
07-29 03:44:35	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4f2640…
07-28 17:46:58	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa682c5…
07-28 07:34:37	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8bd674…
07-28 05:32:40	will spy dip to 680 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x164b97…
07-28 04:30:01	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa3ad2f…
07-27 08:10:40	will xauusd dip to 3300 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x32c500…
07-26 05:34:25	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xde453b…
07-25 06:44:30	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd849c0…
07-23 13:55:25	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x89f125…
07-20 18:59:33	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2b7e32…
07-17 17:52:07	will ethereum dip to 900 in july 2026 757	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4017a6…
07-06 14:58:13	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3b69dd…
06-29 15:21:17	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xaa8bc6…
06-28 12:45:23	will gold gc hit high 4400 by end of june copy 20260609185905943	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0x25b619…
06-27 00:56:19	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$67	0x499d44…
05-31 22:35:15	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$63	0xc4cf43…
05-30 23:27:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xcc40e6…
05-28 04:11:16	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1c7b14…
05-26 19:27:18	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x615bd5…
05-14 23:41:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x874f0d…
05-10 19:34:02	Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe7bf09…
05-09 15:31:22	Will Solana reach $140 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe933d1…
05-09 15:09:32	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xef6a4f…
05-08 11:39:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x56c5fe…
05-08 03:42:42	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe708b7…
05-07 09:57:25	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x43fcfb…
05-06 11:39:18	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x47282a…
05-06 10:04:42	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1043bd…
05-05 10:43:28	Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1f51c1…
05-05 06:56:30	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x84802f…
05-05 05:56:00	Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7e3c51…
05-05 05:44:14	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x28edfe…
04-28 09:25:54	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xfa63b9…
04-25 22:08:34	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa5807e…
04-24 07:18:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xf94729…
04-22 22:07:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x30f510…
04-21 17:52:48	Will Amazon have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5f4034…
04-19 20:25:34	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x297786…
04-19 05:45:40	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x81b34d…
04-18 01:27:42	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x63183a…
04-16 19:35:30	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa71958…
04-15 19:52:02	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7ddacf…
04-14 12:56:19	Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x038f29…
04-13 16:57:41	Will BNB dip to $300 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf574d0…
04-13 08:21:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1ac484…
03-31 02:38:51	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb49a55…
03-27 20:04:27	aapl above 220 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x798e3f…
03-25 00:21:05	msft above 315 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5213a4…
03-21 10:43:51	will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7d2247…
03-19 07:09:17	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x366b61…