Realized P&L
+$9.45K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.56K
Hit rate
58.0%
Resolved
55
Trades
1,520
lifetime
Volume
$203.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$134
Open exposure
$3.42K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-18 09:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Crypto
58% 48% +$6,116
Politics
21% 50% +$4,093
Tech
13% 60% +$205
Other
7% 47% -$962
Sports
1% 50% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +843 $405 96¢ $805 +$400 05-25 08:34
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +1,021 -$383 76¢ $771 +$1,154 10-14 19:18
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch No +750 $330 81¢ $607 +$277 07-18 20:47
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +729 -$586 79¢ $576 +$1,162 10-05 13:08
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -3,042 -$2,146 11¢ $-319 +$1,827 05-15 20:50
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -2,587 -$1,014 7¢ $-181 +$833 05-12 15:55
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No +191 $87 80¢ $154 +$67 07-18 20:48
anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31 OpenAI +52 $8 8¢ $4 -$4 07-10 18:31
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +0 -$690 56¢ $0 +$690 09-11 05:12
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +0 -$40 20¢ $0 +$40 08-11 01:04
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -0 -$115 3¢ $-0 +$115 08-26 20:59