Married-Maize — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

39.5%

Resolved

Trades

279

lifetime

Volume

$998

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 06-04 03:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% $-10

Politics

17% 0% $-0

Crypto

16% 100% +$0

Sports

15% 67% $-9

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	+9	$5	79¢	$7	+$2	06-03 06:01
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+9	$5	48¢	$4	$-1	06-02 17:00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	+10	$5	20¢	$2	$-3	06-02 15:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	8	$43	62	60	+1	open	—	04-08 12:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	3	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	06-01 09:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	8	$25	32	32	+0	open	—	04-16 11:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	6	$22	18	18	+0	open	—	04-08 12:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	3	$19	21	14	+7	open	—	04-14 13:55
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	05-04 01:53
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	3	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	04-12 22:38
will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 8m and 9m	4	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	04-13 11:57
atp schwaer samuel 2026 04 10	2	$15	14	14	+0	open	—	04-10 11:26
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	06-03 02:19
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	3	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	04-12 00:00
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	04-10 10:51
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	4	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	04-06 14:30
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	4	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	04-06 09:36
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-10 12:44
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	3	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	04-09 23:07
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$11	13	13	+0	open	—	04-13 12:31
atp boulais sekulic 2026 04 12	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	04-15 10:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 10:59
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	2	$10	14	14	+0	open	—	04-10 12:38
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	2	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	05-05 01:30
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$10	17	17	+0	open	—	04-06 07:59
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	04-07 00:55
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-08 23:05
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	05-05 02:28
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-06 07:31
cs2 b8 3dmax 2026 04 06	2	$10	14	14	+0	open	—	04-06 10:50
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	3	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-06 07:52
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$10	7	7	+0	No	+$0	04-09 23:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	1	$10	24	0	+24	Yes	$-10	05-05 02:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 03:17:34	wta kawa joint 2026 06 03	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x3e8505…
06-03 22:37:42	lol fly tl2 2026 06 06	FlyQuest	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x97afc1…
06-03 22:02:43	will bitcoin dip to 64k june 1 7 2026	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0a8363…
06-03 22:00:55	mlb pit hou 2026 06 03	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x10307b…
06-03 21:46:18	mlb sf mil 2026 06 03	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x2183d5…
06-03 06:06:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x73f008…
06-03 06:01:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf0131b…
06-03 02:25:04	Tyler: Henry Searle vs Mitchell Krueger	Henry Searle	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0xfc3225…
06-03 02:25:04	Tyler: Henry Searle vs Mitchell Krueger	Henry Searle	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x7b0810…
06-03 02:19:26	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x8ecbb0…
06-03 01:45:13	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8d16da…
06-02 22:16:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x1c4349…
06-02 21:24:18	Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andrade	Timo Legout	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa1b9ca…
06-02 21:03:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x897ca4…
06-02 19:30:22	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals	Miami Marlins	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x266454…
06-02 17:00:01	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7337eb…
06-02 15:38:47	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb3e710…
06-02 14:15:05	Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)	Mensik	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf23ade…
06-02 14:05:03	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc927c5…
06-02 11:30:31	Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Harriet Dart	Harriet Dart	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x9ab246…
06-02 11:30:24	Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Harriet Dart	Harriet Dart	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe51a16…
06-02 11:29:54	Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Harriet Dart	Harriet Dart	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9375ee…
06-02 11:26:47	Birmingham: Mary Stoiana vs Lulu Sun	Mary Stoiana	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x646b6e…
06-02 11:23:54	Birmingham: Mary Stoiana vs Lulu Sun	Mary Stoiana	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x825ed9…
06-02 11:21:15	Birmingham: Mary Stoiana vs Lulu Sun	Mary Stoiana	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7676ba…
06-01 14:27:24	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x95dcb2…
06-01 09:54:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x14a361…
05-05 02:28:14	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	1	42¢	$1	0x8d6f77…
05-05 02:14:24	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0xc339ca…
05-05 02:06:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x4f12e3…
05-05 02:06:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x56222e…
05-05 02:06:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xc2235b…
05-05 02:02:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x3c2043…
05-05 01:49:22	Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x0c7eac…
05-05 01:30:46	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0xe2e951…
05-05 01:30:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	SELL	12	44¢	$5	0x3371fa…
05-05 01:27:36	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x149bad…
05-04 05:49:26	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x17422f…
05-04 02:39:56	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8b4d24…
05-04 01:53:36	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning	Habs	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x0c765e…
05-03 03:52:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xfd80a5…
05-03 03:36:06	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning	Habs	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x0f3043…
05-03 01:37:38	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x01f373…
04-26 13:13:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xd772c6…
04-16 11:25:32	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0x47b851…
04-16 11:25:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	44¢	$3	0x9b5d2f…
04-16 05:44:22	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0xccae82…
04-16 05:38:08	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xcfb89c…
04-16 02:22:58	col str mai 2026 04 16 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9715b3…
04-15 23:29:08	atp dickers prado 2026 04 15	Ryan Dickerson	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x723c03…
04-15 23:27:38	atp dickers prado 2026 04 15	Ryan Dickerson	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xaba77c…
04-15 22:27:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x65aef8…
04-15 22:02:30	Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x25b3af…
04-15 21:08:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0xc1fc55…
04-15 18:55:58	atp royer rodiono 2026 04 15	Valentin Royer	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xba2562…
04-15 18:34:44	atp royer rodiono 2026 04 15	Valentin Royer	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x23c541…
04-15 18:16:26	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x93f4d5…
04-15 15:53:56	atp draxl silv 2026 04 15	Liam Draxl	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xc997f0…
04-15 14:45:40	atp houkes lajovic 2026 04 15	Dusan Lajovic	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x56c708…
04-15 13:59:56	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0xd09deb…
04-15 13:57:08	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0x2652a3…
04-15 13:53:18	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x79bea9…
04-15 13:34:08	lol wb ig1 2026 04 15	Weibo Gaming	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x73f70e…
04-15 13:17:36	Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xa57920…
04-15 13:05:04	spx opens up or down on april 15 2026	Up	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0xe4384f…
04-15 13:04:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x040801…
04-15 13:00:30	wta rakhimo annli 2026 04 14	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xa803c0…
04-15 12:51:28	atp minaur medjedo 2026 04 15	Alex de Minaur	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x53cfa5…
04-15 12:36:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x4f8df4…
04-15 12:24:02	spx opens up or down on april 15 2026	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xda4940…
04-15 11:45:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0xf61ab0…
04-15 11:02:08	Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x51ecde…
04-15 10:45:54	atp boulais sekulic 2026 04 12	Justin Boulais	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x883494…
04-15 10:15:12	lol kt dk 2026 04 15	Dplus KIA	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0xc8fe2b…
04-15 09:16:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xcbbb48…
04-15 08:39:22	bitcoin above 74k on april 16	Yes	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xb26212…
04-15 08:06:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xfe0c0f…
04-15 07:22:16	lol kt dk 2026 04 15	Dplus KIA	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x456084…
04-15 07:21:26	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 0 39	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7f7c29…
04-15 06:56:54	bitcoin above 74k on april 16	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xf469d2…
04-15 06:55:08	bitcoin above 74k on april 16	Yes	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xe40aac…
04-15 06:44:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x2095db…
04-15 06:44:02	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 0 39	Yes	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x6c9c50…
04-15 06:29:28	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x540110…
04-15 06:29:20	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 0 39	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x268001…
04-15 06:14:52	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x9993a0…
04-15 06:00:24	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0x047765…
04-15 05:01:40	Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x7aeb15…
04-15 04:56:44	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xb14b83…
04-15 04:52:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x86f5c4…
04-15 04:50:20	Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x0d831d…
04-15 04:50:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x4dac5e…
04-15 04:47:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x0b3371…
04-15 03:50:22	bitcoin above 74k on april 15	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xfff359…
04-15 03:35:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x02a33d…
04-15 03:18:38	bitcoin above 74k on april 15	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0b4692…
04-15 02:31:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x5c141d…
04-15 02:31:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x0fa5b6…
04-15 02:10:16	atp boulais sekulic 2026 04 12	Justin Boulais	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xa493ed…
04-15 01:47:24	mlb sea sd 2026 04 14	San Diego Padres	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x575074…