Realized P&L
+$263
Unrealized P&L
-$85
Hit rate
55.0%
Resolved
195
Trades
284
lifetime
Volume
$4.23K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$303
18 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 10-15 06:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Other
62% 50% +$158
Crypto
28% 48% +$13
Sports
9% 88% +$99
Politics
1% 0% -$15
Tech
1% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -100 -$71 86¢ $-86 -$16 07-20 02:59
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -40 -$22 93¢ $-37 -$15 07-20 14:01
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -40 -$17 90¢ $-36 -$19 07-20 19:26
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -30 -$20 70¢ $-21 -$1 07-20 23:00
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -20 -$11 98¢ $-19 -$9 07-22 08:38
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -20 -$16 94¢ $-19 -$3 07-21 04:50
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -20 -$16 94¢ $-19 -$2 07-20 13:32
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -20 -$15 89¢ $-18 -$3 07-28 12:42
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -40 -$16 35¢ $-14 +$2 07-31 03:36
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -30 -$12 36¢ $-11 +$2 07-14 17:05
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +40 $21 20¢ $8 -$13 06-29 07:20
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -40 -$8 18¢ $-7 +$1 07-15 09:06
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +80 $19 5¢ $4 -$15 06-28 17:15
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -20 -$6 6¢ $-1 +$4 05-14 02:36
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +7 $2 10¢ $1 -$2 05-07 02:56
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -21 -$5 2¢ $-0 +$4 07-20 17:25
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -30 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$0 10-15 06:15
ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch Yes +1 $0 3¢ $0 $0 06-13 03:06