Imaginative-Powder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$107

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

38.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$521

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$96

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 07-21 00:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

42% 33% -$60

Other

36% 10% -$48

Crypto

17% 100% +$0

Sports

2% 33% $0

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-1,866	-$53	4¢	$-70	-$17	07-21 00:55
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	-8	-$7	97¢	$-8	-$1	05-23 18:40
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	-8	-$2	98¢	$-7	-$5	05-23 18:41
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	-6	-$5	99¢	$-6	-$1	05-23 18:41
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-2,380	-$10	0¢	$-4	+$6	07-21 00:55
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	+56	$5	3¢	$1	-$4	05-27 14:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$85	61	61	+0	Yes	-$15	04-14 16:06
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$53	0	1,866	-1,866	open	—	07-21 00:55
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$42	42	0	+42	Yes	+$0	04-08 11:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	3	$41	25	16	+9	No	+$0	04-25 11:14
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$28	130	5	+125	No	-$20	03-27 01:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	04-24 14:49
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	1	$25	1,020	0	+1,020	No	-$25	04-06 05:13
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	5	$21	149	6	+143	No	-$9	04-14 16:07
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	2	$16	11	11	+0	No	$0	03-24 02:33
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	2	$16	17	17	+0	Yes	$0	03-24 02:32
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-05 02:23
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?	1	$12	153	0	+153	No	-$12	03-27 01:44
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?	3	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-26 04:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	$0	03-24 02:23
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?	1	$10	167	0	+167	No	-$10	03-27 01:46
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$10	0	2,380	-2,380	open	—	07-21 00:55
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	2	$9	138	0	+138	No	-$9	03-23 17:04
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	3	$9	41	41	+0	No	$0	03-23 17:32
will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$1	03-24 11:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$8	12	0	+12	Yes	-$8	04-10 14:33
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$8	10	0	+10	No	+$2	03-24 20:21
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	03-24 02:05
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	03-24 02:22
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	03-31 05:35
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	04-27 20:29
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	1	$7	0	8	-8	open	—	05-23 18:40
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$0	03-24 02:23
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	1	$5	0	6	-6	open	—	05-23 18:41
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	1	$5	56	0	+56	open	—	05-27 14:53
will houston win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	03-24 02:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 00:55:57	Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2,380	0¢	$10	0x3aec1a…
07-21 00:55:43	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,866	3¢	$53	0xcd9472…
05-27 14:53:55	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x969f75…
05-23 18:41:46	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xb44c1f…
05-23 18:41:06	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0xf35468…
05-23 18:40:21	Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x255bf5…
04-27 20:29:22	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xde5bc5…
04-26 04:53:42	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5e4cc6…
04-25 23:04:38	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe3df3d…
04-25 23:04:38	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xabe991…
04-25 11:14:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x793042…
04-24 14:49:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xe84036…
04-24 14:48:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x607eeb…
04-14 16:07:13	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xd2cbda…
04-14 16:06:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	61	58¢	$35	0xc3aa91…
04-12 11:54:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc8cb2c…
04-10 14:33:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x2b4f99…
04-08 18:11:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbdfd4c…
04-08 11:53:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb464c…
04-07 22:22:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x128ee5…
04-07 02:56:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb00be…
04-06 05:17:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x0231b7…
04-06 05:13:53	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,020	2¢	$25	0xad07f2…
04-06 02:23:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xef5a34…
04-05 18:01:31	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa59d75…
04-05 02:23:03	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x81ee7e…
03-31 12:46:05	will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x22349e…
03-31 05:35:25	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xaaa44a…
03-27 01:46:17	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xe2fdb6…
03-27 01:44:27	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?	Yes	BUY	153	8¢	$12	0xdded90…
03-27 01:44:17	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x7b215d…
03-27 01:38:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x233d52…
03-24 20:21:35	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x05e618…
03-24 20:21:33	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	9	80¢	$8	0x9920c1…
03-24 11:14:37	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x67cb42…
03-24 05:42:41	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1be4f0…
03-24 03:32:07	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xe9f3f5…
03-24 03:31:57	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x6e0213…
03-24 02:33:59	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	No	SELL	11	71¢	$8	0xd4f833…
03-24 02:32:17	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	17	45¢	$8	0x08fd35…
03-24 02:23:21	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x3c0162…
03-24 02:23:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xcba0d6…
03-24 02:22:51	Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x90a1d6…
03-24 02:22:45	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0xdf870f…
03-24 02:05:45	will houston win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xcfc7d6…
03-24 02:05:41	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xdd5ff7…
03-23 21:19:37	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	No	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x50f29e…
03-23 20:55:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xea3972…
03-23 17:32:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xede39d…
03-23 17:32:31	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	SELL	41	10¢	$4	0xafcaef…
03-23 17:29:21	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xf6d1ac…
03-23 17:05:03	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xb01c59…
03-23 17:05:03	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x1d2219…
03-23 17:05:01	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x9ba56a…
03-23 17:05:01	Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x3f8678…
03-23 17:04:59	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	23	11¢	$3	0x9cfe82…
03-23 17:04:59	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x68089d…
03-23 17:04:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x2f0f80…
03-23 17:04:59	will houston win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x182cdf…
03-23 17:04:59	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	Yes	BUY	63	6¢	$4	0x00769e…
03-23 17:04:57	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	Yes	BUY	75	6¢	$5	0x615e47…