Multicolored-Bell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.5%

Resolved

Trades

280

lifetime

Volume

$281

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-30 08:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

49% 33% $-0

Politics

31% 0% $-0

Tech

7% — —

Sports

6% 0% $-0

Crypto

6% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	16	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	03-01 01:15
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	9	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-26 04:02
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by April 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-07 02:32
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$-0	04-08 02:19
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-24 06:31
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-19 04:47
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 03:54
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 0 39	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 01:14
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-08 02:14
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-14 01:25
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-24 00:58
Will Liverpool qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-06 01:49
hood up or down on february 19 2026	3	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	02-19 06:07
Clavicular sentenced to prison?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-10 01:18
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-06 03:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-15 01:36
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-10 01:19
will bayern mnchen reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-13 01:37
us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-27 02:45
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	04-27 01:48
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-09 02:11
nvda close above 175 on march 11 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 01:50
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-17 08:12
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-24 02:00
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 01:48
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-30 08:43
Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 02:18
Will Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-14 02:26
labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-25 03:03
saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-04 07:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 02:07:38	Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf89e60…
07-01 01:54:53	Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x752d5f…
07-01 01:54:02	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4bd598…
07-01 01:45:35	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x38e08e…
06-30 08:43:59	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x05eca0…
06-30 08:18:01	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7db2e5…
06-30 08:17:31	will kuwait be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522906	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3a8f5e…
06-30 08:11:50	will kuwait be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522906	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb0781…
06-29 02:24:25	will spacex have 14 launches in june 2026	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5b8199…
06-29 02:08:49	will spacex have 14 launches in june 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0aa54e…
06-27 02:45:07	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x86af7c…
06-27 02:34:40	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x63e6f7…
06-26 08:26:59	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5ac3d7…
06-26 08:00:11	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4cab4e…
06-26 07:59:08	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x04cafc…
06-26 07:48:59	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x98692e…
06-25 03:30:29	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5be9d9…
06-25 03:04:16	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x828e03…
06-25 03:03:43	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb2b7bb…
06-25 02:57:50	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x789eec…
06-24 02:00:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xacc714…
06-24 01:47:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x344512…
06-23 02:48:47	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0359b4…
06-23 02:25:16	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x04176a…
06-22 09:33:34	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb185b4…
06-22 09:03:04	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcd4d53…
06-18 02:38:23	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xad793f…
06-18 02:38:10	will masoud pezeshkian sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950072	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfc7579…
06-18 02:32:04	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8235e9…
06-18 02:22:46	will masoud pezeshkian sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950072	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa56e5a…
06-17 08:14:26	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x47df51…
06-17 08:12:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x533a1a…
06-17 07:54:17	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x02cd48…
06-17 07:48:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x810799…
06-16 03:12:45	will standx launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x158fab…
06-16 02:56:12	will standx launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe94838…
06-15 03:07:24	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x64d281…
06-15 02:37:55	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x38f226…
06-13 02:56:00	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf6eae5…
06-13 02:55:49	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x171ed7…
06-13 02:29:51	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x70cac3…
06-13 02:25:06	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x39ddaa…
06-12 03:06:04	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd60e5f…
06-12 02:45:46	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xed4f9f…
06-11 02:56:55	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5ce6b6…
06-11 02:56:04	will surf launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4e8ede…
06-11 02:38:01	will surf launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4cf5bd…
06-10 02:54:13	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd81ec4…
06-10 02:53:10	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf74f72…
06-10 02:24:31	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd2c973…
06-10 02:20:45	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8ea8ca…
06-09 03:06:07	will reppo launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2f5687…
06-09 03:05:21	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x272956…
06-09 02:59:13	will reppo launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3fcdb9…
06-09 02:49:39	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x79f989…
06-08 02:15:04	Will Richard Pan advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa93d2a…
06-08 02:14:00	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcca9d5…
06-08 01:56:54	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xde226f…
06-08 01:52:13	Will Richard Pan advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0aab55…
06-06 03:00:45	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbfead3…
06-06 02:36:48	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe619fb…
06-05 02:53:00	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x54dd95…
06-05 02:27:48	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa88a46…
06-04 07:09:51	meta close above 590 on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x588756…
06-04 07:09:12	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x69886a…
06-04 06:34:27	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x714bb9…
06-04 06:29:13	meta close above 590 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb7fcdb…
06-03 08:48:38	Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa1dba0…
06-03 08:14:13	Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x64cdf1…
06-02 02:13:44	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x784374…
06-01 03:18:19	Israeli forces enter Choukine by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf85d83…
06-01 02:53:47	Israeli forces enter Choukine by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd18245…
05-30 02:45:33	Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x93b16c…
05-30 02:11:33	Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd59884…
05-29 02:54:26	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x39ae1f…
05-29 02:39:27	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc2c8a0…
05-28 03:04:03	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfc9474…
05-28 02:37:21	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x39d6fe…
05-25 03:22:41	Will New York Knicks advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3046b5…
05-25 03:04:04	Will New York Knicks advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x867454…
05-21 02:29:05	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa4830b…
05-21 02:07:30	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdc9219…
05-18 01:47:39	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd50a44…
05-18 01:33:58	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5072a8…
05-15 03:02:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe11b9a…
05-15 03:01:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x752a47…
05-15 02:50:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x339844…
05-15 02:44:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfc3e89…
05-14 02:27:24	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe2e1eb…
05-14 02:26:19	Will Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xed2851…
05-14 02:10:01	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd3b5fa…
05-14 02:06:43	Will Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x870825…
05-09 02:49:04	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbdbff4…
05-09 02:47:09	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc0d1fa…
05-09 02:27:54	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8bb133…
05-09 02:11:20	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9197d1…
05-08 02:31:17	Citrea FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x65dde1…
05-08 01:48:33	Citrea FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3391de…
05-06 01:49:06	Will Liverpool qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x3a55cf…
05-06 01:36:40	Will Liverpool qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x97fc3e…