Realized P&L
+$1.64K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.87K
Hit rate
78.8%
Resolved
102
Trades
601
lifetime
Volume
$68.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$114
Open exposure
$2.33K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 10:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Politics
44% 93% +$157
Other
38% 87% +$832
Sports
18% 82% +$650
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No -746 -$776 90¢ $-667 +$109 10-28 10:53
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +526 $246 98¢ $515 +$269 10-07 21:32
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +500 $425 85¢ $424 -$1 10-27 15:20
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes -526 -$1,344 72¢ $-378 +$966 10-20 11:04
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes -2,340 -$675 6¢ $-129 +$546 09-08 17:58
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,000 $96 4¢ $79 -$17 10-21 22:54
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -64 -$63 99¢ $-63 $0 05-08 06:54
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,000 $22 1¢ $23 +$1 10-26 16:04
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5,032 -$10 0¢ $-18 -$8 09-30 19:26
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -6,000 -$12 0¢ $-9 +$3 10-07 17:01
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5,032 -$5 0¢ $-8 -$3 10-22 01:36
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5,032 -$10 0¢ $-8 +$3 08-21 00:01
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5,032 -$5 0¢ $-8 -$3 10-16 20:38
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,152 -$5 0¢ $-2 +$3 07-24 02:07
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -573 -$4 0¢ $-1 +$3 07-22 21:56
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -868 -$5 0¢ $-1 +$4 07-23 02:42
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -49 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 10-07 21:17