Bitter-Margin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.0%

Resolved

Trades

197

lifetime

Volume

$3.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 06-05 06:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

53% 81% +$7

Sports

31% — —

Crypto

16% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$270	135	135	+0	open	—	04-14 03:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$267	135	135	+0	open	—	04-22 03:48
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$245	123	123	+0	open	—	04-21 01:07
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$245	123	123	+0	open	—	04-07 03:58
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$245	123	123	+0	open	—	04-09 06:12
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$245	123	123	+0	No	$-0	04-10 04:42
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$243	122	122	+0	open	—	04-19 07:04
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$233	117	117	+0	open	—	04-08 03:31
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$220	110	110	+0	open	—	04-16 03:18
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$206	103	103	+0	No	$-0	04-15 02:54
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$194	97	97	+0	No	$-0	04-17 04:06
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	05-08 04:01
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 on May 18?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-18 18:59
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-08 04:04
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	2	$16	30	30	+0	Team Heretics	+$6	05-09 16:18
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above $3.50?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-15 02:53
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 5?	1	$14	14	0	+14	Yes	+$0	05-05 03:41
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	05-28 04:17
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 19?	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	05-18 18:58
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner	1	$10	11	0	+11	Team Liquid	+$1	05-09 17:56
nvda above 180 on april 17 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 04:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	05-27 04:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	05-15 02:55
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	05-24 06:30
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on May 26?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	05-26 06:21
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 May 18-24?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	05-24 06:29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	05-15 02:55
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $390 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	05-15 02:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	05-28 04:15
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above $5.50?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	05-15 02:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 06:19:10	bitcoin above 58k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xea8dd1…
06-05 06:18:00	amzn close above 240 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfa689b…
06-05 06:17:42	ethereum above 1500 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5d8465…
06-05 06:16:28	googl close above 350 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8872dd…
05-28 04:17:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbffd9d…
05-28 04:16:45	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6431d…
05-28 04:15:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8f42d5…
05-28 04:15:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1542f…
05-28 04:14:52	Will Meta (META) close above $590 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82b244…
05-27 04:35:14	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 on May 27?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x81a5b7…
05-27 04:26:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x46da2a…
05-27 04:26:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfa1a9d…
05-27 04:26:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3ddd8e…
05-27 04:25:36	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x90fda2…
05-26 06:22:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc4f775…
05-26 06:21:41	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on May 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa58814…
05-26 06:21:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x450fed…
05-24 06:30:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9e039c…
05-24 06:30:02	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x96ec16…
05-24 06:29:48	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 18-24?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf0d346…
05-24 06:29:37	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 May 18-24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf83db…
05-24 06:29:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x97ea6d…
05-18 18:59:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8c5fb0…
05-18 18:59:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 on May 18?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x4dd7fe…
05-18 18:58:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8af279…
05-18 18:58:07	will bitcoin dip to 71k on may 18	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x10ec3d…
05-15 02:56:33	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdfab5a…
05-15 02:56:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa10866…
05-15 02:55:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcbd661…
05-15 02:55:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb6ceb…
05-15 02:55:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeabf20…
05-15 02:54:22	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above $5.50?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbac275…
05-15 02:54:04	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above $6.00?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdc1368…
05-15 02:53:49	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above $3.50?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2f0e8d…
05-15 02:53:26	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $390 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70c062…
05-14 03:32:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa8d161…
05-14 03:31:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x462beb…
05-14 03:31:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f5ae9…
05-14 03:30:54	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $375 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6f0eac…
05-13 03:02:21	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $280 on May 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54a55a…
05-13 03:02:07	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $470 on May 13?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x12a1c3…
05-13 03:01:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdc9410…
05-13 03:01:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x149061…
05-12 02:59:08	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05cbef…
05-12 02:58:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa9b182…
05-12 02:57:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc7b20e…
05-12 02:57:37	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe67fa1…
05-11 01:51:48	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1915e5…
05-11 01:50:13	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3f42a0…
05-11 01:48:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x898c20…
05-11 01:47:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x29019e…
05-09 17:56:01	Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x726f9c…
05-09 16:18:44	Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	BBL Esports	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0xff6c2a…
05-09 16:02:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 10?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd08e53…
05-09 16:02:12	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x97e156…
05-09 16:01:16	Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	BBL Esports	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xbe4c11…
05-09 03:38:32	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x221809…
05-09 03:38:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe82e8e…
05-09 03:38:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x83a9b0…
05-08 04:04:00	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xaf2fd8…
05-08 04:03:14	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1786ca…
05-08 04:02:34	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x407e08…
05-08 04:01:49	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x390d20…
05-08 03:59:11	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $260 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa36c5c…
05-08 03:54:36	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe35841…
05-08 03:54:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x28b31c…
05-08 03:54:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2d408c…
05-07 03:45:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6bb883…
05-07 03:45:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8b5d86…
05-05 03:44:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd310dd…
05-05 03:41:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1eb4d0…
05-05 03:41:14	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xd46a04…
05-04 03:45:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6fdd9b…
05-04 03:45:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3eae61…
05-04 03:45:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 4?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xfe7e6f…
05-04 03:44:50	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x97eb7d…
05-03 03:58:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x907b55…
05-03 03:58:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc413cb…
05-02 03:56:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdf5c9d…
05-02 03:56:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8e1d64…
05-02 03:56:04	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x677efd…
05-01 04:42:08	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd43b0b…
05-01 04:41:44	Will Meta (META) close above $690 on May 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81b3b4…
05-01 04:41:28	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa7a736…
05-01 04:41:16	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on May 1?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc95074…
05-01 04:40:56	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfc6f5d…
05-01 04:40:40	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $325 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x11b173…
05-01 04:40:28	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x309c7f…
05-01 04:40:20	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $315 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0e4c94…
05-01 04:40:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4573a0…
05-01 04:39:42	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $180 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x81e352…
05-01 04:39:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6b7c59…
05-01 04:39:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x22a4f9…
04-30 03:19:54	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf07cd2…
04-30 03:19:36	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 30?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xfa95c4…
04-30 03:19:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc57837…
04-29 03:41:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3153f3…
04-29 03:41:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3e1619…
04-29 03:41:36	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcf60da…
04-27 03:19:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc39f17…