Realized P&L
+$6.92K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.26K
Hit rate
63.3%
Resolved
1,140
Trades
5,925
lifetime
Volume
$341.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$12.4K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 11-04 13:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 224 days
Categories
Other
41% 37% +$2,204
Sports
28% 43% +$17,298
Politics
22% 47% -$5,273
Crypto
6% 36% -$6,847
Tech
3% 75% -$454
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +6,863 $55 59¢ $4.1K +$4,015 11-04 13:00
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +18,000 $519 8¢ $1.4K +$876 10-25 03:56
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +5,000 $1,060 22¢ $1.1K +$65 10-01 12:43
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +1,000 $810 96¢ $961 +$151 07-05 05:25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +2,000 $1,250 40¢ $810 -$440 11-04 09:06
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +6,000 $516 12¢ $723 +$207 10-13 07:30
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,179 $897 17¢ $696 -$201 09-08 03:58
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,000 $858 34¢ $685 -$173 07-27 03:00
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +10,000 $900 4¢ $450 -$450 06-04 13:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $340 12¢ $250 -$90 10-25 04:43
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +1,000 $420 20¢ $195 -$225 09-22 16:38
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,500 $345 12¢ $188 -$158 10-22 05:45
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes -200 -$734 88¢ $-177 +$557 10-06 14:44
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,000 $290 8¢ $167 -$123 06-11 21:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +500 $225 32¢ $158 -$68 10-15 10:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +700 $301 22¢ $154 -$147 10-07 18:01
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,785 $59 4¢ $63 +$4 07-02 13:17
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $78 5¢ $48 -$30 06-08 16:15
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +3,100 $418 1¢ $23 -$395 07-13 22:28
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +851 $255 2¢ $19 -$235 06-15 08:47
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $14 15¢ $15 +$1 10-05 13:58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +0 -$120 60¢ $0 +$120 10-29 13:57