Realized P&L
+$6.92K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.76K
Hit rate
63.3%
Resolved
1,140
Trades
5,932
lifetime
Volume
$341.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$15.1K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 11-06 10:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 224 days
Categories
Other
41% 37% +$2,204
Sports
28% 43% +$17,298
Politics
22% 47% -$5,273
Crypto
6% 36% -$6,847
Tech
3% 75% -$454
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +6,863 $55 61¢ $4.2K +$4,100 11-04 13:00
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +20,000 $625 6¢ $1.2K +$605 11-06 04:50
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +5,000 $1,060 22¢ $1.1K +$65 10-01 12:43
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? Yes +4,000 $1,130 26¢ $1.0K -$90 10-17 03:36
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +1,000 $810 96¢ $961 +$151 07-05 05:25
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +2,567 $740 34¢ $886 +$146 10-27 12:56
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,179 $897 20¢ $855 -$42 09-08 03:58
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +6,000 $516 13¢ $804 +$288 10-13 07:30
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,000 $858 39¢ $771 -$87 07-27 03:00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,649 $1,130 39¢ $643 -$488 11-06 09:35
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +1,000 $420 50¢ $495 +$75 09-22 16:38
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +10,000 $900 4¢ $450 -$450 06-04 13:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $340 16¢ $310 -$30 10-25 04:43
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,500 $345 15¢ $218 -$127 10-22 05:45
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,000 $290 9¢ $185 -$105 06-11 21:52
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes -200 -$734 90¢ $-180 +$554 10-06 14:44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +700 $301 24¢ $168 -$133 10-07 18:01
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +500 $225 32¢ $158 -$68 10-15 10:36
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? Yes +407 $155 34¢ $140 -$14 11-01 18:58
Will the Houston Rockets be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? Yes +500 $19 14¢ $67 +$48 10-22 15:28
Will the Boston Celtics make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? No — +1,000 $160 6¢ $65 -$95 10-27 03:35
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,785 $59 4¢ $63 +$4 07-02 13:17
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $78 5¢ $48 -$30 06-08 16:15
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +851 $255 3¢ $22 -$232 06-15 08:47
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +3,100 $418 0¢ $14 -$404 07-13 22:28
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? No +20 $8 42¢ $8 +$1 11-06 10:31
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $14 8¢ $8 -$6 10-05 13:58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +0 -$120 61¢ $0 +$120 10-29 13:57