Which-Estate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.11K

Unrealized P&L

+$489

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,866

lifetime

Volume

$121.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$3.38K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 07-01 16:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

42% — —

Other

24% — —

Crypto

16% — —

Sports

14% 0% $-4,112

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 759 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	+1,935	$812	76¢	$1.5K	+$669	06-10 15:53
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	+2,500	$1,461	54¢	$1.3K	$-124	06-26 20:20
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	+1,000	$540	44¢	$445	$-95	06-24 15:06
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	-910	$-153	12¢	$-114	+$39	06-17 12:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	108	$17.7K	10,493	10,493	+0	open	—	05-11 07:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	15	$9.4K	2,000	8,830	-6,830	open	—	06-10 05:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	13	$6.8K	4,620	4,619	+1	open	—	04-24 11:36
Fed rate hike in 2026?	13	$4.6K	5,430	2,930	+2,500	open	—	06-26 20:20
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$4.0K	11,100	0	+11,100	No	$-3,986	04-24 14:40
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	24	$3.8K	7,300	7,300	+0	open	—	06-14 23:57
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmic	1	$3.6K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	04-24 13:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	6	$3.3K	4,600	4,600	+0	open	—	06-15 00:02
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-26?	10	$3.3K	2,300	2,259	+41	open	—	04-26 13:29
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	13	$3.1K	2,005	2,005	+0	open	—	04-24 12:48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$2.9K	24,000	0	+24,000	open	—	06-01 23:07
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$2.2K	3,560	0	+3,560	open	—	04-12 02:52
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	6	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-04 12:43
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$1.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-23 02:47
btc updown 5m 1776003000	65	$1.1K	2,300	0	+2,300	open	—	04-12 14:10
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	3	$1.1K	700	700	+0	open	—	06-11 06:35
btc updown 5m 1776006000	149	$994	3,440	0	+3,440	open	—	04-12 15:01
btc updown 5m 1776005700	101	$957	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	04-12 14:56
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	3	$920	1,500	2,500	-1,000	open	—	06-15 00:01
dota2 aur1 lgd 2026 06 06	4	$883	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	06-06 14:42
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff	2	$870	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	04-26 11:26
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	2	$870	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-27 00:34
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	13	$847	2,030	0	+2,030	open	—	06-10 15:53
btc updown 5m 1776000300	28	$796	1,769	0	+1,769	open	—	04-12 13:26
dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	2	$795	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	06-06 09:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	5	$748	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-23 02:47
btc updown 5m 1775999700	96	$708	1,771	0	+1,771	open	—	04-12 13:15
btc updown 5m 1774580100	15	$695	500	500	+0	open	—	03-27 02:59
mlb nym lad 2026 04 13	2	$670	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	04-13 04:01
fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 first half total 1pt5	1	$640	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	06-15 18:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 16:11:29	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	BUY	500	58¢	$290	0x815505…
06-30 19:20:26	mlb det nyy 2026 06 30	New York Yankees	BUY	500	52¢	$260	0x909d3e…
06-30 10:05:37	lol kc tl2 2026 06 30	Team Liquid	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x28e1cf…
06-29 13:25:31	world cup goals h2h mbappe vspt kane 20260604010452299	Mbappe	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x2725f2…
06-28 15:15:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	95	84¢	$80	0xabe9a6…
06-28 14:10:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc4e829…
06-27 00:34:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	1,000	54¢	$540	0x6bc7f6…
06-26 20:20:08	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	257	52¢	$133	0xb608fa…
06-26 19:14:58	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xbcb8a5…
06-26 17:42:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	736	52¢	$383	0xd93623…
06-26 15:54:47	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	57	31¢	$18	0xf06866…
06-26 15:54:47	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x79eba2…
06-26 15:54:43	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	43	31¢	$13	0x8f2150…
06-26 00:19:17	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	400	71¢	$284	0x9eb751…
06-25 00:51:04	fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	2,000	24¢	$480	0xe8c55c…
06-24 15:06:49	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	995	54¢	$537	0xde8dda…
06-24 11:05:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	57¢	$570	0x2be48f…
06-24 06:18:34	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xdd70c0…
06-23 23:44:56	mlb nyy det 2026 06 23	New York Yankees	BUY	388	29¢	$113	0x0dc389…
06-23 23:44:49	mlb nyy det 2026 06 23	New York Yankees	BUY	300	29¢	$87	0xd9b298…
06-23 23:44:46	mlb nyy det 2026 06 23	New York Yankees	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x99d6f0…
06-23 23:44:43	mlb nyy det 2026 06 23	New York Yankees	BUY	338	29¢	$98	0xe2c24f…
06-23 23:44:43	mlb nyy det 2026 06 23	New York Yankees	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x636317…
06-23 23:44:43	mlb nyy det 2026 06 23	New York Yankees	BUY	112	29¢	$32	0x385928…
06-23 23:44:43	mlb nyy det 2026 06 23	New York Yankees	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x2f2640…
06-23 23:35:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	60¢	$600	0x94ecad…
06-23 10:54:56	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	58¢	$580	0x87158a…
06-23 10:54:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	58¢	$580	0x3f670f…
06-17 17:27:58	mlb sf atl 2026 06 17	Atlanta Braves	BUY	400	58¢	$232	0xae55de…
06-17 12:02:19	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xe6ba46…
06-17 03:11:46	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	15¢	$10	0xa3127c…
06-17 02:01:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	1,000	33¢	$330	0xbd51d9…
06-16 15:47:05	mlb tb lad 2026 06 16 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	500	47¢	$235	0xbc9a2c…
06-16 08:36:21	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	300	55¢	$165	0x5460e9…
06-15 21:17:45	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x90ffb6…
06-15 18:00:04	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2,000	32¢	$640	0x088a86…
06-15 14:28:12	wta deichma sobolie 2026 06 15	Anastasiia Sobolieva	BUY	209	57¢	$119	0xdf9467…
06-15 14:28:12	wta deichma sobolie 2026 06 15	Anastasiia Sobolieva	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xae32d9…
06-15 14:28:12	wta deichma sobolie 2026 06 15	Anastasiia Sobolieva	BUY	268	57¢	$153	0x8d4904…
06-15 13:37:39	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xc894c3…
06-15 13:09:40	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x452f2a…
06-15 12:18:45	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0xbb42d3…
06-15 11:57:25	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	766	37¢	$284	0x57e8d8…
06-15 10:59:09	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1ddf0c…
06-15 10:27:18	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8ba783…
06-15 10:22:15	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x28fb1c…
06-15 10:22:13	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	138	37¢	$51	0xfe5055…
06-15 10:22:07	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	60	37¢	$22	0x9ec304…
06-15 10:13:07	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	302	55¢	$166	0xb92ee2…
06-15 09:18:10	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x757b7e…
06-15 08:46:18	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x82d443…
06-15 07:15:24	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xdba8d1…
06-15 04:59:01	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	147	55¢	$81	0x6e695f…
06-15 04:58:48	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	196	55¢	$108	0x47c230…
06-15 03:17:01	mlb tb lad 2026 06 15	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	423	60¢	$254	0x68ce1f…
06-15 02:51:45	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xec3a8e…
06-15 02:50:12	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	BUY	96	59¢	$57	0xfd98c2…
06-15 02:50:09	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4d544c…
06-15 02:47:45	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd7e164…
06-15 02:46:49	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x38c436…
06-15 02:45:45	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x68c360…
06-15 02:42:30	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	BUY	26	59¢	$16	0x921d50…
06-15 02:42:12	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb155c2…
06-15 02:40:00	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd668cd…
06-15 02:39:40	mlb tb lad 2026 06 15	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xc91fa2…
06-15 02:39:27	mlb tb lad 2026 06 15	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x4e2e4c…
06-15 02:39:25	mlb tb lad 2026 06 15	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x570e4f…
06-15 02:39:24	mlb tb lad 2026 06 15	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	53	60¢	$32	0xb01a31…
06-15 02:39:24	mlb tb lad 2026 06 15	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	53	60¢	$32	0x67ff60…
06-15 02:36:58	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x40130a…
06-15 02:35:19	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x9884c4…
06-15 02:11:09	mlb tb lad 2026 06 15	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x9dcd71…
06-15 00:02:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4,600	7¢	$322	0xdda6b9…
06-15 00:01:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	2,500	5¢	$125	0x00e990…
06-14 23:57:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	SELL	7,300	3¢	$214	0xf569f2…
06-14 13:08:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	314	37¢	$116	0x23fde0…
06-14 13:08:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x65c67f…
06-14 13:08:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2,484	37¢	$919	0xae7d87…
06-14 08:48:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x802da3…
06-12 16:29:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	500	45¢	$225	0xbcdb21…
06-12 12:09:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x277465…
06-12 02:16:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	1,000	57¢	$570	0xb2cd49…
06-11 15:31:21	Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	22¢	$110	0xb11cd4…
06-11 14:44:45	Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x9b7e72…
06-11 13:54:36	Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	312	20¢	$62	0x519a01…
06-11 12:54:49	Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x5fce23…
06-11 12:40:21	Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x22c092…
06-11 10:47:27	Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x18c4c0…
06-11 08:48:43	Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xec6049…
06-11 08:37:25	Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	SELL	817	17¢	$139	0x94d928…
06-11 07:43:43	Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x938ead…
06-11 06:35:28	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	SELL	685	98¢	$671	0x6a4e75…
06-11 06:34:46	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x059b66…
06-10 19:29:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,182	57¢	$674	0x07efc9…
06-10 18:28:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xba6708…
06-10 16:11:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xc7d614…
06-10 16:06:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,010	57¢	$576	0x8cf8c3…
06-10 15:53:54	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	765	43¢	$329	0x662f13…
06-10 15:41:33	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	385	44¢	$169	0x95e4b3…
06-10 15:41:16	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	285	43¢	$123	0x565bfc…