Golden-Anguish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.78K

Unrealized P&L

+$32

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved

152

Trades

1,582

lifetime

Volume

$23.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$230

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 10:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

73% 64% +$1,029

Politics

18% 80% +$800

Tech

8% 64% -$3

Sports

1% 42% +$17

Crypto

1% 57% -$59

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	-177	-$180	98¢	$-174	+$6	10-28 10:47
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	+280	$58	19¢	$53	-$5	10-25 18:07
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	-50	-$34	6¢	$-3	+$31	08-03 13:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
si hit 90 high jan 2026 157 295 494	42	$1.4K	1,494	900	+594	Yes	+$181	01-15 03:15
si hit 85 high jan 2026 851 188 261	42	$1.2K	1,022	981	+41	Yes	+$299	01-12 18:41
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	1	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Yes	+$1	01-24 07:01
will dont be dumb debut week album sales be between 100k and 125k	19	$1.0K	1,014	519	+495	Yes	+$130	01-26 00:15
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	31	$896	1,793	1,393	+400	Yes	+$278	01-23 18:25
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	19	$833	980	980	+0	Yes	+$194	02-28 14:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	10	$622	800	800	+0	Yes	+$134	02-28 14:37
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	17	$589	290	467	-177	open	—	10-28 10:47
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	48	$525	271	416	-145	Yes	+$9	07-10 15:42
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	40	$502	527	506	+21	No	+$89	05-25 19:47
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	13	$497	665	665	+0	No	+$27	06-12 16:55
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	11	$463	610	200	+410	Yes	+$203	02-28 14:43
si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	12	$431	296	346	-50	No	+$34	01-06 03:53
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	2	$384	210	210	+0	No	+$6	01-15 00:36
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	7	$364	235	157	+78	Yes	+$24	03-05 14:58
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	5	$361	220	220	+0	Yes	+$31	06-12 19:47
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	27	$330	1,400	905	+495	No	+$139	05-30 02:24
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	19	$328	1,576	1,326	+250	No	-$24	02-01 05:29
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	13	$325	230	230	+0	Yes	+$41	03-05 06:56
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	5	$319	390	150	+240	Yes	+$50	01-15 05:06
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	25	$314	397	449	-52	Yes	+$29	08-11 09:31
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	21	$298	1,122	1,122	+0	No	+$38	06-12 16:56
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	24	$290	448	347	+101	No	-$132	01-20 04:30
epstein blackmail evidence released by march 31	5	$285	110	701	-591	Yes	+$207	01-17 19:23
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	6	$260	406	126	+280	open	—	10-25 18:07
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	22	$252	1,049	282	+767	Yes	-$107	03-05 17:55
will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the us by july 31 2026	15	$238	705	107	+598	Yes	-$163	07-31 14:14
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	54	$237	4,165	1,118	+3,047	open	—	08-03 01:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	16	$227	590	440	+150	Yes	+$198	02-28 14:37
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?	1	$225	0	251	-251	No	-$26	04-29 02:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 10:47:01	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x4a444f…
10-25 18:07:11	Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	20¢	$48	0xa6b740…
10-20 18:59:24	Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	76	74¢	$56	0xb5e1be…
10-20 18:59:23	Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x8c06b1…
10-20 18:05:18	Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0xc03b64…
10-20 13:17:50	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xb89b1b…
09-19 13:40:30	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x4a4045…
09-19 13:39:15	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xa383b6…
08-21 20:29:07	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3e7233…
08-21 20:28:45	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	60	21¢	$13	0xba8527…
08-14 16:41:09	will there be at least 2750 measles cases in the uptspt by august 31 2026 20260811160340034	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfb1a27…
08-14 00:00:16	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	70	15¢	$10	0xf2ec78…
08-12 06:47:04	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	83	27¢	$23	0x3fb08a…
08-12 06:16:42	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x411529…
08-11 09:31:07	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	72¢	$28	0x7163b2…
08-08 08:15:16	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x16bdec…
08-07 17:45:01	will there be at least 2600 measles cases in the us by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x2a87d7…
08-07 16:21:21	will there be at least 2600 measles cases in the us by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xbafc94…
08-07 15:16:06	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0xb705e6…
08-06 23:19:24	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0xf9e97e…
08-06 22:06:41	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	65	27¢	$18	0x03c9a6…
08-06 20:22:41	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	55¢	$24	0xd889d9…
08-05 23:56:02	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	50¢	$30	0xd92e70…
08-05 08:17:05	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0xef24c0…
08-04 13:53:33	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	49¢	$23	0x4fb1ca…
08-03 13:17:42	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xfaae77…
08-03 01:58:57	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x49f6e3…
08-02 19:49:08	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	0¢	$0	0xe27c8a…
08-02 15:44:42	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	848	0¢	$3	0xc16650…
08-02 07:34:56	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xba9d5f…
08-02 06:38:20	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	45	10¢	$4	0x176d76…
08-02 01:32:56	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xef8f1f…
08-01 03:54:45	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x992b2f…
07-31 21:21:21	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x32a405…
07-31 18:42:12	Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x5599e9…
07-31 14:46:29	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x686cfc…
07-31 14:21:21	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xab3600…
07-31 14:18:57	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x120e48…
07-31 14:16:14	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x40fb95…
07-31 14:14:48	will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	SELL	57	1¢	$0	0x8f80ca…
07-31 13:24:54	will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	BUY	150	5¢	$8	0x7cad8a…
07-31 13:20:20	will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	BUY	95	5¢	$5	0xeaea27…
07-29 19:31:59	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0x0abe4c…
07-28 19:47:46	will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x26a8fa…
07-28 19:25:49	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xf2b941…
07-28 12:39:52	will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x0981b8…
07-27 16:24:55	will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xbe1bd6…
07-27 06:54:28	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	2¢	$2	0xa770da…
07-24 14:54:19	will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xf00f4a…
07-24 13:45:48	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145718 274	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xcc7f47…
07-24 12:20:03	will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x3d6f35…
07-24 12:19:58	will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x58732c…
07-23 23:54:27	will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x95f000…
07-23 23:07:07	will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x0a482b…
07-23 18:44:36	will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0x82d59b…
07-23 17:07:27	will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x42c43d…
07-20 20:46:48	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	17¢	$10	0x9f27e4…
07-20 20:44:51	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	14¢	$11	0xc4be3d…
07-20 20:44:27	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xbce5b5…
07-19 19:19:09	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xfde383…
07-18 12:18:33	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x190942…
07-18 12:18:30	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x1c5374…
07-16 17:33:14	Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x6bc1b4…
07-15 20:52:22	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0x24729a…
07-11 23:16:31	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	135	1¢	$1	0xae2bbf…
07-10 17:02:31	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	7¢	$3	0xe92d41…
07-10 16:53:43	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xf2412f…
07-10 15:42:20	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x8f1734…
07-10 15:41:41	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	35¢	$21	0xea0396…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0xf696d8…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xecdc33…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xc2edc5…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xb3fe62…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	88¢	$7	0x95e601…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x845678…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x841123…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x76436a…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x745d35…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x6f172a…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x6d763c…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	88¢	$2	0x68fb6c…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x675e9b…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x60cbd3…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x4ed05d…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x4a02a5…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x36d364…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x2ed71e…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x20b653…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x18a77c…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x1386da…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x0b6673…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x093d4b…
07-10 15:40:35	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xd4c58a…
07-10 15:40:35	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xb0fed1…
07-10 15:40:35	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x69c681…
07-10 15:40:35	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x13006c…
07-10 15:40:34	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x88b9b1…
07-10 15:40:34	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	84¢	$38	0x5a2437…
07-10 15:40:32	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xd40e02…
07-10 15:40:32	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xaaf494…