Cautious-Mapping — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$16.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$235

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 05-16 00:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 100% +$26

Politics

5% — —

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	1	$1.0K	1,031	0	+1,031	Yes	+$1	05-12 22:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	1	$1000	1,007	0	+1,007	open	—	05-14 00:17
bitcoin above 70k on april 15	1	$1000	1,005	0	+1,005	open	—	04-15 00:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	1	$1000	1,009	0	+1,009	open	—	05-16 00:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	1	$994	996	0	+996	No	+$2	05-10 00:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	1	$975	980	0	+980	No	+$5	05-11 23:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	1	$950	955	0	+955	Yes	+$5	05-09 00:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	1	$950	962	0	+962	Yes	+$12	05-05 22:56
bitcoin above 78k on april 19	1	$950	959	0	+959	open	—	04-19 00:51
ethereum above 2100 on april 16	1	$950	952	0	+952	open	—	04-16 00:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	1	$950	951	0	+951	Yes	+$1	05-07 00:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	1	$950	951	0	+951	open	—	04-26 00:42
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	1	$940	942	0	+942	open	—	04-17 00:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?	1	$930	937	0	+937	open	—	04-26 21:14
ethereum above 1800 on february 19	1	$641	651	0	+651	open	—	02-18 23:38
ethereum above 1900 on february 18	1	$615	641	0	+641	open	—	02-18 00:35
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	13	$475	643	643	+0	open	—	03-08 12:07
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	4	$268	600	600	+0	open	—	03-09 21:36
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 115 139	3	$167	250	150	+100	open	—	03-10 19:25
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 17	1	$113	114	0	+114	open	—	03-16 20:04
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	8	$92	154	273	-119	open	—	03-10 20:04
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	2	$77	57	57	+0	open	—	03-09 22:25
donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 200plus	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	03-08 21:45
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	04-16 00:26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on April 26?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-26 00:43
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-26 21:15
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	3	$25	24	24	+0	open	—	03-08 11:37
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-16 00:25
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on April 27?	1	$23	24	0	+24	open	—	04-26 21:15
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 16c	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-17 00:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 00:52:45	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x94c871…
05-16 00:52:38	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd65a0f…
05-16 00:52:31	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfb50b7…
05-16 00:50:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1,009	99¢	$1,000	0x30b5ef…
05-14 00:17:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1,007	99¢	$1,000	0x68e552…
05-12 22:53:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1,031	100¢	$1,030	0xfe9fcb…
05-11 23:05:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	980	100¢	$975	0x4813a3…
05-10 00:34:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	996	100¢	$994	0xe937c2…
05-09 00:50:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	955	99¢	$950	0x61b19f…
05-07 00:17:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	951	100¢	$950	0x472408…
05-05 22:56:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	962	99¢	$950	0xecf50c…
04-26 21:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 27?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xde58f4…
04-26 21:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xb4cb59…
04-26 21:14:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	937	99¢	$930	0x521db1…
04-26 00:43:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on April 26?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x093989…
04-26 00:43:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xbad4b5…
04-26 00:42:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	951	100¢	$950	0x52a6b0…
04-19 00:52:50	highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 31corhigher	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x99205b…
04-19 00:52:36	highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 30c	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xfe3fa0…
04-19 00:52:16	highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 27c	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe4c187…
04-19 00:51:08	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	959	99¢	$950	0x56b399…
04-17 00:01:32	highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 16c	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x3c7beb…
04-17 00:01:18	highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 11c	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x34729d…
04-17 00:00:36	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	942	100¢	$940	0xcfa2e4…
04-16 00:26:08	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x32d4b7…
04-16 00:25:50	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x081786…
04-16 00:21:34	ethereum above 2100 on april 16	Yes	BUY	952	100¢	$950	0x20e443…
04-15 00:15:44	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	292	4¢	$12	0x121121…
04-15 00:13:14	bitcoin above 70k on april 15	Yes	BUY	1,005	99¢	$1,000	0x11795e…
03-16 20:04:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 17	No	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0xce04f5…
03-10 20:04:03	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	Yes	SELL	223	20¢	$44	0xa7695e…
03-10 20:03:53	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x38b0d7…
03-10 19:39:43	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x698195…
03-10 19:39:33	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x81af88…
03-10 19:37:45	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xad4fcc…
03-10 19:35:57	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	Yes	BUY	24	24¢	$6	0xdd00b7…
03-10 19:32:29	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xe3692d…
03-10 19:31:31	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x8fbfe8…
03-10 19:25:11	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 115 139	Yes	SELL	150	39¢	$58	0x16d590…
03-10 19:23:13	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 115 139	Yes	BUY	150	43¢	$64	0x624831…
03-10 19:18:01	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 115 139	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xca61c3…
03-09 22:25:51	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	SELL	57	67¢	$38	0x2fdf17…
03-09 22:25:37	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	BUY	57	68¢	$39	0xc44412…
03-09 21:36:59	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0x98d310…
03-09 20:39:11	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x2c5715…
03-09 19:56:19	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	400	23¢	$92	0x3e7e44…
03-09 19:55:41	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	400	24¢	$96	0x815211…
03-08 21:45:13	donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 200plus	No	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x510907…
03-08 21:44:49	donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 200plus	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x6d4084…
03-08 12:07:45	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0xd129f6…
03-08 12:07:19	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	200	25¢	$51	0x4adb3a…
03-08 11:51:23	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0x495aec…
03-08 11:48:15	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$2	0x5f9970…
03-08 11:48:03	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	178	28¢	$51	0x3d8dcb…
03-08 11:47:55	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xd71959…
03-08 11:47:55	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xbc4eb9…
03-08 11:37:07	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	24	52¢	$12	0x36f9f8…
03-08 11:36:37	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	43	29¢	$12	0x3230cc…
03-08 11:36:27	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xd8330d…
03-08 11:36:03	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x5ddb72…
03-08 11:35:59	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x640778…
03-08 11:35:59	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0x36080e…
03-06 23:56:47	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0xa03d8c…
03-06 23:53:03	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0xcea421…
03-06 23:47:55	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	200	60¢	$119	0x414095…
02-22 00:05:02	odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 30 in february	No	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0xa00553…
02-22 00:00:42	odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 30 in february	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xdac25b…
02-21 22:53:10	odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 30 in february	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf8dd93…
02-18 23:38:10	ethereum above 1800 on february 19	Yes	BUY	651	99¢	$641	0x0e9e98…
02-18 00:35:35	ethereum above 1900 on february 18	Yes	BUY	641	96¢	$615	0xfb053a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	33	$117.8K	2,143	05-16 10:57
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	27	$1.39K	120	05-15 22:37
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	21	$55.2K	4,411	05-18 08:53
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	20	$50.4K	3,716	04-27 06:56
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	20	$1.94K	439	05-15 16:56
Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a	18	$118.8K	1,446	04-25 20:09
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	18	$22.6K	411	05-13 12:22
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	17	$101.0K	629	05-16 15:27