Tense-Minimalism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

318

lifetime

Volume

$320

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-04 02:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

46% 0% $-0

Politics

20% — —

Crypto

19% 0% $-0

Tech

11% — —

Sports

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	8	$8	4	4	-0	open	—	01-15 08:06
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-31 07:11
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-23 03:54
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-06 03:32
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-13 00:45
bitcoin above 56k on april 5	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-01 02:57
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	04-09 02:45
will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 06:31
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 02:51
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-10 06:18
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-02 02:51
will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 04:52
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 08:44
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 08:44
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-09 02:32
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 06:23
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-09 02:44
will cd win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-16 04:45
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	06-09 06:11
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 09:10
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	07-04 02:57
will elon musk be richest person on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 02:46
is earth flat 20260608195956112	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-10 06:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 02:53
another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026 12	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-03 09:52
Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 03:06
bitcoin above 80k on january 9	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-04 07:44
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-11 01:38
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 19 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-19 06:18
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 4	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-04 03:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 02:57:55	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0a29ea…
07-04 02:57:08	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x898fe4…
07-04 02:50:52	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa08127…
07-04 02:45:07	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4e9868…
07-03 09:54:11	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb95b96…
07-03 09:52:02	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026 12	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x820f44…
07-03 09:24:53	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa6ba98…
07-03 09:14:43	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0d8cb1…
07-01 03:45:10	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x500769…
07-01 03:44:28	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf3c1ca…
07-01 03:24:52	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3bf3bf…
06-30 09:56:40	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf25eb6…
06-27 03:51:37	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5ae762…
06-27 03:35:53	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x59270d…
06-26 02:05:40	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf2760d…
06-26 01:44:22	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xae0de6…
06-25 06:37:13	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbcb790…
06-25 04:53:55	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa86bed…
06-24 00:46:20	will yeet launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x732d1e…
06-24 00:29:34	will yeet launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe10a94…
06-23 06:13:46	will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x813067…
06-23 04:45:59	will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0a69a3…
06-22 01:24:01	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x853cdb…
06-22 01:09:49	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x461f5c…
06-21 06:38:23	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbe470e…
06-21 04:55:13	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfeb13b…
06-17 06:56:37	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9cbc99…
06-17 06:11:11	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc5020b…
06-16 04:41:06	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xda483c…
06-16 04:24:24	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x20ecd0…
06-15 04:43:51	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xde2ddb…
06-15 04:43:07	bitcoin above 54k on june 19 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7cef38…
06-12 04:42:33	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 300 high 20260608191407794	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x78ea01…
06-12 04:41:42	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x71e7da…
06-12 04:20:24	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 300 high 20260608191407794	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x094062…
06-12 03:50:25	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x032745…
06-11 04:31:07	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x09dd01…
06-11 04:29:24	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbd2aa7…
06-11 03:51:00	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1bb97e…
06-11 03:41:03	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x999d36…
06-10 06:32:03	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2f27e3…
06-10 06:31:15	is earth flat 20260608195956112	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc22752…
06-10 04:56:19	is earth flat 20260608195956112	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe31b30…
06-10 04:42:52	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8a4c0d…
06-09 06:11:21	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x648c3d…
06-08 04:30:58	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x710f44…
06-08 04:30:19	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0c693c…
06-08 03:08:51	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa708d0…
06-08 03:02:36	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x25141f…
06-06 04:52:18	will hotstuff launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x38a778…
06-06 04:51:04	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7da421…
06-06 03:54:46	will hotstuff launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x306335…
06-06 03:50:52	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6c355d…
06-05 04:10:49	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x895305…
06-05 03:36:46	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5b897c…
06-04 08:19:34	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb902bf…
06-04 08:12:16	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3edb31…
06-03 06:51:28	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x81cd34…
06-03 04:56:07	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2fa165…
06-02 03:27:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbff8cf…
06-02 03:05:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x151090…
06-01 07:03:24	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe278d6…
06-01 06:33:53	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa1b2af…
05-30 10:02:00	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd4d393…
05-30 04:36:22	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd1ba7b…
05-28 04:28:50	Claude 4.8 released by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd64330…
05-28 04:28:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa6faa8…
05-28 03:49:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x34cb9b…
05-28 03:41:33	Claude 4.8 released by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe62ca3…
05-25 04:28:13	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x465699…
05-21 04:31:11	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe0fbcc…
05-21 03:39:28	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8b4c55…
05-20 04:47:23	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe1f69a…
05-20 04:46:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x647972…
05-20 04:20:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd161fd…
05-20 03:34:00	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5493ec…
05-16 03:40:42	Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 19?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb84a40…
05-16 03:12:09	Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 19?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x43ed81…
05-14 03:33:57	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x729946…
05-14 03:17:36	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5860b9…
05-13 03:53:22	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $7.5B in Q3?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x55224d…
05-13 03:12:56	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $7.5B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3861c3…
05-12 03:56:12	Will Citrea launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf8f77c…
05-12 03:55:16	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x331897…
05-12 03:33:55	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6b1ce7…
05-12 03:27:39	Will Citrea launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6cef06…
05-09 06:37:04	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa82c52…
05-09 04:47:03	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc744dd…
05-07 03:43:51	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x892147…
05-07 03:43:01	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x722172…
05-07 03:18:08	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1818e4…
05-07 03:14:01	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x238c99…
05-06 03:08:16	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x539b97…
05-06 03:03:24	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf66a84…
05-05 03:22:26	DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3104a8…
05-05 03:16:18	DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xde3eda…
04-30 02:08:52	Another crypto hack over $100m by April 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xecf0bb…
04-30 02:02:46	Another crypto hack over $100m by April 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe09256…
04-29 03:06:50	Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x319bb0…
04-29 03:01:06	Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x430a01…