Realized P&L
-$505
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
70.6%
Resolved
1,309
Trades
4,551
lifetime
Volume
$27.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$114
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 11-06 07:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 141 days
Categories
Sports
38% 73% -$331
Other
38% 77% -$89
Crypto
22% 76% -$76
Politics
1% 94% +$1
Tech
0% 50% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -21 -$20 99¢ $-21 -$2 06-15 17:17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07? Yes +24 $20 86¢ $20 +$0 11-02 01:41
Will France win on 2026-11-12? Yes +36 $20 55¢ $20 $0 11-06 07:40
Will Spain win on 2026-11-12? Yes +24 $20 84¢ $20 $0 11-06 07:42
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07? Yes +26 $15 56¢ $15 $0 11-06 07:21
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +6 $5 81¢ $5 +$0 08-09 15:23
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 08-21 16:23
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +24 $5 19¢ $5 $0 08-09 15:23
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes +125 $5 2¢ $3 -$2 08-21 16:23
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -1 -$1 100¢ $-1 $0 08-08 03:12
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -2 -$1 4¢ $-0 +$1 04-29 10:48
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes -7 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 04-29 10:47