Prudent-Compromise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

2,468

Trades

2,524

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 10-25 09:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 235 days

Categories

Other

81% 98% +$0

Sports

15% 100% +$2

Crypto

3% 97% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Notre Dame vs. BYU	3	$15	15	0	+15	BYU	+$0	10-18 03:35
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	+$0	05-30 04:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will Lorenzo Musetti be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 06:41
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	2	$10	10	0	+10	Brandon Nakashima	+$0	10-22 20:15
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-30 04:47
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:03
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-05 08:56
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:53
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:03
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$10	5	5	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:36
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5	3	$10	5	5	+0	Under	+$0	03-20 01:09
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Win ATP Montreal	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-06 09:11
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:09
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:36
will the nyse trading floor be closed on monday	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	02-23 21:02
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 22:00
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$10	5	5	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-30 04:47
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 09:31:02	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f5b37…
10-24 19:01:00	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x142378…
10-24 13:22:29	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x20848f…
10-23 16:52:32	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd638c7…
10-23 06:10:05	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa24959…
10-22 20:15:33	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1c4b35…
10-20 18:47:41	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc61fc0…
10-20 18:35:32	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x963e9e…
10-19 18:51:57	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc9c7b…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc1f361…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x099892…
10-15 19:37:41	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9154a3…
10-14 20:56:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4685a2…
10-14 11:41:29	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe0184f…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4b36c…
10-13 15:56:03	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x57ae77…
10-13 14:15:23	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc3f130…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf16f5a…
10-12 09:02:03	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f7022…
10-09 02:09:56	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x24d4ec…
10-06 20:46:24	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb981b9…
10-06 16:07:35	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xea29ca…
10-04 23:23:19	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x084caf…
10-04 20:17:41	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe33ca6…
10-03 14:50:32	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa44b00…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x225a81…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf3a94e…
10-01 20:46:18	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc1752b…
09-30 23:55:00	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x332f0b…
09-30 02:03:00	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x733d80…
09-29 13:58:50	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x942d77…
09-29 13:17:48	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb601ae…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb7832d…
09-28 10:07:54	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8d28a0…
09-27 20:16:14	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6674f5…
09-27 13:30:41	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x63e519…
09-27 12:29:14	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x596c83…
09-27 01:56:06	UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ailin Perez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x61f375…
09-26 19:53:23	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x229e6c…
09-26 19:43:18	Wake Forest vs. Louisville	Wake Forest	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x39a9a2…
09-26 12:18:24	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x300bb6…
09-25 10:33:24	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa788ae…
09-24 20:45:11	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6fc493…
09-23 22:37:43	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x50589c…
09-21 19:09:03	will msft dip to 495 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0131ec…
09-21 18:44:33	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x429ff8…
09-21 02:19:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x51d744…
09-20 22:25:44	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6f736d…
09-20 21:08:28	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84908c…
09-20 02:59:39	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c0b07…
09-20 01:26:39	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcb4513…
09-17 19:33:09	cs2 ence kamui 2026 09 17	KAMUI	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x77a40a…
09-17 17:27:07	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa488cc…
09-17 17:00:22	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f8d81…
09-17 16:02:39	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x905e36…
09-17 14:00:49	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb7ebcc…
09-17 00:30:52	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd08617…
09-16 06:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3089f6…
09-16 01:32:15	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2cddf1…
09-15 09:46:24	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4880fa…
09-14 01:32:19	wta bucsa andrees 2026 09 13	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd472fd…
09-13 22:59:31	Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Texas Rangers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfb4564…
09-13 14:59:06	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5c0eda…
09-13 13:43:58	South Africa Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs South Africa	South Africa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x798ddd…
09-12 17:08:25	European T20 Premier League: Dublin Guardians vs Glasgow Cosmic	Glasgow Cosmic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x39f778…
09-11 21:06:33	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a224a…
09-11 10:52:40	Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Masur	Daniel Masur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x96a009…
09-11 02:58:28	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xecf13f…
09-10 19:00:03	USA vs. Hungary/Japan	USA	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8dee7f…
09-10 18:48:13	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbf7589…
09-10 17:31:49	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5f7162…
09-10 01:18:22	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5aa49b…
09-09 22:45:54	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x666d77…
09-09 18:51:13	Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8869fd…
09-09 18:30:57	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x55bef7…
09-09 11:52:25	ILT20 Continent Cup: Uganda vs Sierra Leone	Uganda	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xed242f…
09-09 07:42:07	cs2 tyloo the9 2026 09 09	TYLOO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x90d310…
09-09 04:08:04	Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe5453…
09-08 23:11:33	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4cf9b9…
09-08 20:57:18	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x40e664…
09-08 14:43:00	Antalya 4: Federica Urgesi vs Miriam Bulgaru	Miriam Bulgaru	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x41c309…
09-08 05:01:37	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6604fa…
09-07 21:28:01	Set 2 Winner: Osaka vs Rybakina	Rybakina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbb1ad5…
09-07 21:25:34	wta osaka rybakin 2026 09 07	Elena Rybakina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa042e9…
09-07 19:01:00	Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Blockx	Blockx	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xde2f2a…
09-07 18:26:45	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe5f914…
09-04 15:07:31	cs2 fokus aim1 2026 09 04	FOKUS	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x00aada…
09-03 10:13:07	itf jadou popovi 2026 09 03	Stevan Popovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x473cef…
09-03 09:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd4bee3…
09-02 18:33:57	Will AEK vs. OFI end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcfa527…
09-02 18:29:37	Will OFI win on 2026-09-02?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x64585b…
09-02 11:11:04	itf paque strakho 2026 09 02	Valeriya Strakhova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd5e052…
09-01 14:41:16	Como: Raul Brancaccio vs Duje Ajdukovic	Duje Ajdukovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x91a972…
09-01 13:27:46	Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Infinite	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xafed5a…
09-01 11:46:18	ACC Men's Premier Cup 50-Over: Saudi Arabia vs Malaysia	Malaysia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x742fa5…
09-01 04:53:51	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2b151…
09-01 04:02:49	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb4205…
09-01 04:02:36	Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1aa37b…
09-01 04:02:34	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb8ae74…
08-31 14:43:42	China vs. Lebanon	China	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdbedb1…