(anonymous) 0x26507a…2644f7
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$197
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
45.2%
Resolved
1,264
Trades
5,736
lifetime
Volume
$5.90K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$60
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-11
last 10-27 05:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Other
53% 45% -$56
Crypto
24% 40% -$63
Politics
12% 48% -$25
Sports
10% 48% -$50
Tech
1% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 286 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +47 $7 13¢ $6 -$1 10-26 19:08
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $9 28¢ $4 -$4 10-21 17:10
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +44 $4 10¢ $4 +$0 10-05 09:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +11 $4 34¢ $4 +$0 10-22 07:54
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +4 $3 82¢ $3 $0 10-02 18:34
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? Yes +21 $3 14¢ $3 $0 10-15 13:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $3 37¢ $3 +$0 10-26 08:51
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +13 $3 16¢ $2 -$1 10-19 02:41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +3 $2 60¢ $2 +$0 10-24 18:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 10-14 21:04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +2 $2 87¢ $2 $0 10-02 15:37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +5 $2 40¢ $2 $0 10-24 03:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +8 $2 23¢ $2 $0 10-26 05:29
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +2 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 10-27 01:57
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +11 $2 16¢ $2 $0 10-21 01:37
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $2 62¢ $2 $0 10-20 07:51
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $3 29¢ $1 -$2 10-04 20:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $0 10-26 11:11
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 10-21 14:40
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 10-25 02:48
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? Yes +2 $1 48¢ $1 +$0 10-26 05:05
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3 $1 36¢ $1 +$0 10-26 02:41
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +1 $1 79¢ $1 +$0 10-02 04:24
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 10-21 04:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +4 $1 30¢ $1 +$0 10-24 02:59
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +9 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 10-21 04:45
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-24 16:45
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +25 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-04 00:48
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-20 23:18
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-19 22:42