Realized P&L
-$205
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
48.5%
Resolved
108
Trades
655
lifetime
Volume
$12.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$1.44K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-05 01:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Other
57% 30% -$395
Politics
25% 44% +$344
Crypto
8% 38% +$47
Pop-Culture
6% 20% -$334
Sports
4% 25% +$134
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +2,115 $302 22¢ $457 +$155 09-23 15:16
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +440 $198 46¢ $202 +$4 09-01 16:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +217 $100 88¢ $192 +$92 07-20 21:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +741 $200 18¢ $133 -$67 07-20 21:08
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +100 $57 86¢ $86 +$29 09-23 18:32
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +400 $94 21¢ $85 -$10 09-24 20:23
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $66 16¢ $82 +$17 09-23 23:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +300 $84 22¢ $68 -$17 09-24 10:35
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +300 $81 16¢ $46 -$35 09-23 13:43
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +1,000 $70 4¢ $39 -$31 08-30 13:59
Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026? Yes +164 $31 15¢ $25 -$7 09-03 14:10
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +43 $23 44¢ $19 -$4 09-24 02:28
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +200 $52 2¢ $3 -$49 09-23 14:40
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? Yes +250 $72 0¢ $0 -$72 08-26 10:17