Frosty-Objective — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$397

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

Trades

334

lifetime

Volume

$6.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-11 18:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

49% — —

Politics

33% 100% +$406

Crypto

9% 33% $-9

Pop-Culture

8% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will one battle after another win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	43	$936	1,570	790	+781	open	—	03-15 18:42
will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	37	$716	847	650	+197	open	—	03-15 22:51
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	2	$400	0	400	-400	open	—	01-26 01:18
will let god sort em out clipse pusha t malice win best rap album at the 68th annual grammy awards	9	$357	1,314	0	+1,314	open	—	01-29 06:25
will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	78	$323	2,964	0	+2,964	open	—	03-08 01:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$294	700	0	+700	Yes	+$406	01-14 08:49
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$240	400	0	+400	open	—	03-21 23:40
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$196	130	130	+0	open	—	02-22 18:17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$150	340	0	+340	open	—	03-25 11:16
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	3	$140	300	300	+0	open	—	03-26 16:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$122	200	0	+200	open	—	01-13 09:00
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$120	304	0	+304	open	—	03-28 20:14
will sentimental value win best international feature film at the 98th academy awards	4	$116	200	0	+200	open	—	01-26 01:07
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	3	$108	200	0	+200	open	—	05-04 15:20
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$104	400	0	+400	open	—	01-03 14:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$100	250	0	+250	open	—	04-21 12:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$98	170	0	+170	open	—	02-28 18:48
will hamnet win best film at the 2026 bafta awards	4	$92	200	0	+200	open	—	01-26 03:29
will teyana taylor win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	1	$91	350	0	+350	open	—	03-11 14:36
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$90	130	0	+130	open	—	03-18 12:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$72	120	0	+120	open	—	04-21 12:34
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	1	$70	100	0	+100	open	—	01-14 23:49
will uk strike iran by march 31	1	$70	200	0	+200	open	—	03-02 02:14
will sean penn one battle after another win best supporting actor motion picture at the 83rd golden globes	13	$70	476	0	+476	open	—	01-11 15:28
will kanye tweet again by march 31	7	$62	103	0	+103	open	—	03-23 02:05
nothing ever happens january 581	2	$62	100	0	+100	open	—	01-16 14:49
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	5	$60	120	0	+120	open	—	03-07 23:58
ice shooter charged by march 31	1	$60	100	0	+100	open	—	01-10 20:31
will kanye release bully by march 27	2	$60	200	0	+200	open	—	03-18 19:34
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	7	$54	600	0	+600	open	—	03-16 09:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 18:42:30	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	BUY	70	38¢	$27	0x32b3b1…
06-02 12:56:20	Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0xb2a36e…
05-14 12:04:54	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xfdbbf4…
05-14 12:03:07	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x925034…
05-14 12:02:55	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	114	37¢	$42	0x7ff66d…
05-11 23:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe24f4f…
05-10 22:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x369702…
05-10 22:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xac346d…
05-04 15:20:00	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xbbeef7…
05-04 15:19:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xee4ac9…
05-04 15:19:40	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x020967…
04-30 15:30:46	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x2df3cc…
04-21 12:34:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	40¢	$21	0x00aa4f…
04-21 12:34:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	120	60¢	$72	0x013151…
04-21 12:32:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0xb44ef5…
04-21 12:21:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x0d0c5f…
04-21 12:21:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	70	73¢	$51	0x0ae42c…
04-21 12:16:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	176	40¢	$70	0x822081…
04-14 17:23:54	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x87a010…
03-28 20:14:24	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	146	41¢	$60	0xe29d27…
03-27 18:24:55	will bully ye debut week album sales be between 300k and 400k	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xaf8c42…
03-27 18:24:55	will bully ye debut week album sales be between 300k and 400k	Yes	BUY	92	25¢	$23	0x1f6edb…
03-27 03:26:11	will bully ye debut week album sales be between 300k and 400k	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x917c8c…
03-27 03:25:51	will bully ye debut week album sales be between 300k and 400k	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x9723a5…
03-27 03:25:51	will bully ye debut week album sales be between 300k and 400k	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x82f080…
03-27 02:14:39	will bully ye debut week album sales be between 300k and 400k	Yes	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0x7b086a…
03-27 02:14:37	will bully ye debut week album sales be between 300k and 400k	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$7	0x6088f6…
03-27 00:28:13	will bully ye debut week album sales be between 300k and 400k	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x5a3acf…
03-26 16:07:01	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	300	13¢	$40	0x2d72fa…
03-26 16:06:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	158	38¢	$60	0x062f01…
03-25 11:16:37	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x5e73d0…
03-23 02:05:17	will kanye tweet again by march 31	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x2e9083…
03-22 15:44:43	will kanye tweet again by march 31	No	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x4480ee…
03-22 15:20:47	will kanye tweet again by march 31	No	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0xd6a504…
03-22 15:05:33	will kanye tweet again by march 31	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x89fcd5…
03-22 12:55:15	will kanye tweet again by march 31	No	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xa470e8…
03-21 23:40:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	362	60¢	$217	0x665d59…
03-21 22:48:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	34	60¢	$20	0xccdbc4…
03-21 22:48:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x5b858d…
03-18 19:34:35	will kanye release bully by march 27	No	BUY	55	30¢	$16	0x579962…
03-18 19:33:23	will kanye release bully by march 27	No	BUY	145	30¢	$44	0x8cad6b…
03-18 17:39:53	will 30 34 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0xb00dba…
03-18 17:03:59	will 30 34 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$0	0x11d012…
03-18 14:17:45	will 30 34 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xb8e62a…
03-18 14:17:45	will 30 34 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x6ab823…
03-18 14:17:45	will 30 34 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	BUY	73	13¢	$10	0x4aaed6…
03-18 13:27:23	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	140	46¢	$64	0xe5c536…
03-18 13:23:57	will 30 34 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	BUY	26	13¢	$3	0x15f235…
03-18 12:57:55	will kanye tweet again by march 31	No	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x34dec8…
03-18 12:44:15	will kanye tweet again by march 31	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xda5aa5…
03-18 12:35:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	130	69¢	$90	0xbeb048…
03-17 13:32:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$6	0x0731a2…
03-17 13:14:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	68	27¢	$18	0xa85312…
03-17 13:09:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x4f9d5c…
03-16 09:31:19	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	382	9¢	$34	0xec33b5…
03-16 08:27:27	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xd00175…
03-16 08:09:23	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x60443a…
03-15 23:02:41	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0xb77344…
03-15 22:56:41	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x267f14…
03-15 22:51:47	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	591	79¢	$467	0x31f8c9…
03-15 22:50:41	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xfc1363…
03-15 22:34:11	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x18a2e4…
03-15 22:30:37	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	51	79¢	$40	0xa60105…
03-15 22:29:31	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	43	9¢	$4	0x7e1e24…
03-15 21:49:59	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	42	9¢	$4	0x7f1850…
03-15 18:42:19	will one battle after another win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	631	75¢	$473	0x6297c7…
03-15 18:38:57	will one battle after another win exactly 7 awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0x1ab649…
03-15 18:37:09	will one battle after another win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	133	75¢	$100	0xbb7b62…
03-15 18:29:49	will one battle after another win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xac05b6…
03-15 18:25:31	will one battle after another win exactly 7 awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	23	19¢	$4	0x0167d2…
03-15 18:21:25	will one battle after another win exactly 7 awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9522e4…
03-15 18:20:27	will one battle after another win exactly 7 awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xd16ffd…
03-15 18:20:15	will one battle after another win exactly 7 awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	103	19¢	$20	0x4eab0f…
03-15 18:17:11	will one battle after another win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x4efcc8…
03-15 18:07:59	will one battle after another win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x90ea11…
03-15 17:52:19	will one battle after another win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x19c847…
03-11 14:36:03	will teyana taylor win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	350	26¢	$91	0xbdcbaa…
03-10 13:57:15	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	250	33¢	$83	0xc4eeec…
03-10 11:22:11	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$17	0xde9b89…
03-08 01:24:25	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	56	6¢	$3	0xab9f92…
03-08 00:38:09	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xd04092…
03-08 00:34:31	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xb72ecb…
03-08 00:06:37	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0x597cd1…
03-08 00:06:37	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	308	6¢	$19	0x2f82b3…
03-08 00:06:37	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x06887a…
03-07 23:58:21	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	BUY	45	50¢	$23	0xb2e3ff…
03-07 23:56:51	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8fc3a4…
03-07 23:56:47	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf391a7…
03-07 23:56:13	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb80d53…
03-07 23:44:09	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc0f0eb…
03-07 23:26:47	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x294e73…
03-07 23:26:41	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xde1c94…
03-07 23:26:41	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x448c8c…
03-07 23:23:37	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x85b916…
03-07 23:23:33	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0xf17d4b…
03-07 23:23:33	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x60d5f1…
03-07 23:23:23	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0xef1bd4…
03-07 23:22:39	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xf992a7…
03-07 23:14:15	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x990041…
03-07 23:14:09	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	43	6¢	$3	0x4cedcc…